Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Gheorgheni
Match result probability Model pick: Odorheiu Secuiesc win
Odorheiu Secuiesc winPick
43.5%
Draw
23.8%
Gheorgheni win
32.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes56.4%
No43.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
How much we know
Odorheiu Secuiesc history36 matches
Gheorgheni history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Odorheiu Secuiesc
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
- Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre6 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Odorheiu Secuiesc are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Odorheiu Secuiesc are rated 26 Elo points higher
Elo 1,495 against 1,469. On rating alone Odorheiu Secuiesc would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
-
Gheorgheni score more
1.50 goals a game over 36 matches for Odorheiu Secuiesc, against 1.76 over 38 for Gheorgheni.
-
Odorheiu Secuiesc concede fewer
Odorheiu Secuiesc concede 1.39 a game, Gheorgheni 1.76.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
56% of Odorheiu Secuiesc matches, against 61% for Gheorgheni. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 13 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gheorgheni@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1494.9
ELO
1468.7
36
ELO · Matches
38
1494.9
Current Team ELO
1468.7
1468.7
Current Opponent ELO
1494.9
26.14
Current ELO Difference
-26.14
0.54
Expected score
0.46
36
History Matches
38
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.03
48.78
Overperformance
48.29
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.80
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
1.60
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.60
1.90
Goals for per game
1.40
2.00
Goals against per game
1.30
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.76
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.48
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.35
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.97
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.39
Overall performance9 signals 90
36
Matches
38
1.42
PPG
1.29
38.9%
Win rate
36.8%
25.0%
Draw rate
18.4%
36.1%
Loss rate
44.7%
69.4%
Over 1.5 rate
81.6%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
60.5%
30.6%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
2.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.67
Venue performance10 signals 100
16
Matches
16
1.63
PPG
1.00
43.8%
Win rate
25.0%
31.3%
Draw rate
25.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
68.8%
Over 1.5 rate
81.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
31.3%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
16
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.50
Goals for per game
1.76
66.7%
Scoring rate
68.4%
47.2%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.63
Goals for per game
1.75
68.8%
Scoring rate
81.3%
56.3%
BTTS rate
68.8%
36
History Matches
38
1.50
Goals Mean
1.76
1.67
Goals Std
1.98
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
68.4%
38.9%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
19.4%
Scored 3+ rate
18.4%
1.63
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.39
Goals against per game
1.76
72.2%
Conceding rate
76.3%
1.38
Goals against per game
1.88
75.0%
Conceding rate
81.3%
36
History Matches
38
1.39
Conceded Mean
1.76
1.38
Conceded Std
1.46
36.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.6%
13.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.3%
1.38
Venue Conceded Mean
1.88
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
36
History Matches
38
0.98
Result entropy
0.95
2.28
Goal Difference Std
2.67
1.54
Stability score
5.39
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
21
Eligible Matches
18
5
Lead Matches
3
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
33.3%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.56
6
Trailing Matches
6
16.7%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
21
Halftime Coverage Matches
18
0.62
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.17
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
99.90
Rest days
85.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
12
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.92
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.14
23
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.09
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.56
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
6
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.49
Portability PPG Std
0.41
1.11
Portability PPG Range
1.00
50.53
Portability Score
54.67
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
36
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO26.14
PPG0.13
GF-0.26
GA-0.37
PPG0.63
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate4.1%
Failed-to-score rate1.8%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate6.3%
Failed-to-score rate12.5%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.26
Goals Std-0.30
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate1.0%
Venue Goals Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.33
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.37
Conceded Std-0.08
Clean-sheet rate4.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.17
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.14
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.38
Stability score-3.85
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.41
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate46.7%
Lead Points Retention0.31
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.34
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.36
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.07
Portability PPG Range0.11
Portability Score-4.14
Rest days14.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.77
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.48
Current Team ELO26.14
Current Opponent ELO-26.14
Current ELO Difference52.28
Expected score0.08
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Odorheiu Secuiesc
L
Odorheiu Secuiesc0–2CSM Adjud30 Oct · home
Pick: Odorheiu Secuiesc 46% · missed L
FC Bacău II2–1Odorheiu Secuiesc23 Oct · away
Pick: Odorheiu Secuiesc 50% · missed D
Odorheiu Secuiesc2–2USV Iaşi16 Oct · home
Pick: Odorheiu Secuiesc 41% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Gheorgheni
L
Bradul Putna3–0Gheorgheni31 Oct · away
Pick: Gheorgheni 41% · missed D
Gheorgheni2–2CSM FC Vaslui24 Oct · home
Pick: CSM FC Vaslui 44% · missed D
Gheorgheni2–2Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ17 Oct · home
Pick: Gheorgheni 46% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Odorheiu Secuiesc and Gheorgheni meet in Liga III - Serie 1 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Odorheiu Secuiesc win 43.5%, draw 23.8%, Gheorgheni win 32.7%. The pick is Odorheiu Secuiesc win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.5%. Both teams to score: 56.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.