Rakow II vs Kluczbork
Rakow II
Full time
0–0
Half time 0–0
Wed 4 Nov · 11:30 UTC
Kluczbork
What we said before kickoff Result: Draw
Rakow II win
24.8%
Draw Result
23.0%
Kluczbork winPick
52.2%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickKluczbork win · 52.2%
What happenedDraw · we gave it 23.0%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 68.9%
What happenedUnder · No goals
Missed Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 58.6%
What happenedNo · 0–0
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Draw. In our numbers it ranked third of the three.
23%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 4.3
on average A pick at 52% is expected to miss about 5 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Timeline
Newest at the bottom
80'
Red cardD. Wojtyra
Both teams to score
Yes58.6%
No41.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.568.9%
Under 2.531.1%
How much we know
Rakow II history7 matches
Kluczbork history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 11:30 UTC
- Full time: 0–0None of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Kluczbork are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Kluczbork are rated 81 Elo points higher
Elo 1,546 against 1,465. On rating alone Kluczbork would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.
-
Kluczbork score more
1.57 goals a game over 7 matches for Rakow II, against 2.03 over 62 for Kluczbork.
-
Kluczbork concede fewer
Rakow II concede 2.71 a game, Kluczbork 1.11.
-
Rakow II games more often go over 2.5 goals
86% of Rakow II matches, against 58% for Kluczbork. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Rakow II
Kluczbork
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1465.0
ELO
1546.3
7
ELO · Matches
62
1465.0
Current Team ELO
1546.3
1546.3
Current Opponent ELO
1465.0
-81.32
Current ELO Difference
81.32
0.39
Expected score
0.61
7
History Matches
62
-0.26
Residual Mean
0.04
43.20
Overperformance
52.66
-0.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
3.00
Goals against per game
1.40
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
7
Matches
10
0.57
PPG
1.80
1.57
Goals for per game
2.20
2.71
Goals against per game
1.20
14.3%
Win rate
60.0%
1.57
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.09
2.71
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.39
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.72
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.65
Overall performance9 signals 90
7
Matches
62
0.57
PPG
1.73
14.3%
Win rate
53.2%
14.3%
Draw rate
12.9%
71.4%
Loss rate
33.9%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
83.9%
85.7%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
71.4%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals 100
3
Matches
31
1.00
PPG
1.42
33.3%
Win rate
45.2%
0.0%
Draw rate
6.5%
66.7%
Loss rate
48.4%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
77.4%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
3
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.57
Goals for per game
2.03
71.4%
Scoring rate
82.3%
71.4%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.71
66.7%
Scoring rate
74.2%
66.7%
BTTS rate
48.4%
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
60.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
7
History Matches
62
1.57
Goals Mean
2.03
1.40
Goals Std
1.62
71.4%
Scored 1+ rate
82.3%
42.9%
Scored 2+ rate
53.2%
28.6%
Scored 3+ rate
37.1%
1.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.71
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.71
Goals against per game
1.11
100.0%
Conceding rate
67.7%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.35
100.0%
Conceding rate
74.2%
3.00
Goals against per game
1.40
100.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
7
History Matches
62
2.71
Conceded Mean
1.11
1.39
Conceded Std
1.11
71.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.8%
57.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.9%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.35
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
17.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
17.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
7
History Matches
62
0.72
Result entropy
0.88
1.64
Goal Difference Std
2.14
27.52
Stability score
12.02
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
7
Eligible Matches
60
1
Lead Matches
19
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
94.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.96
4
Trailing Matches
13
25.0%
Non-loss rate
38.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
15.4%
Goal timing5 signals 50
7
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
1.14
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.30
1.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
72.94
Rest days
73.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
4
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
3
Normal Rest History Matches
33
0.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
3
Long Rest History Matches
24
0.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.92
Competition & season17 signals 170
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.20
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
80.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.20
Current Competition PPG
1.20
-1.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.60
2
Competition Season Count
6
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.52
—
Portability PPG Range
1.20
—
Portability Score
49.13
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
7
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-81.32
PPG-1.15
GF-0.46
GA1.60
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.42
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.23
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-55
Clean-sheet rate-0.32
Failed-to-score rate10.8%
History Matches-28
Clean-sheet rate-0.26
Failed-to-score rate7.5%
History Matches-55
Goals Mean-0.46
Goals Std-0.22
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Goals Mean-0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.63
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.69
History Matches-55
Conceded Mean1.60
Conceded Std0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.32
Conceded 2+ rate45.6%
Conceded 3+ rate44.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.51
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.51
History Matches-55
Result entropy-0.15
Goal Difference Std-0.50
Stability score15.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.00
Eligible Matches-53
Lead Matches-18
Lead Win Rate5.3%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate-0.15
Halftime Coverage Matches-53
First Half Goals For Mean-0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean0.48
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.13
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days-0.92
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest History Matches-30
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.58
Long Rest History Matches-21
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.58
Current Team ELO-81.32
Current Opponent ELO81.32
Current ELO Difference-162.6
Expected score-0.23
History Matches-55
Residual Mean-0.30
Overperformance-9.45
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.30
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Rakow II
L
Rakow II1–3ROW Rybnik30 Oct · home
Pick: ROW Rybnik 55% · hit L
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra3–1Rakow II24 Oct · away
Pick: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 75% · hit W
Rakow II3–2Warta Gorzów17 Oct · home
Pick: Warta Gorzów 54% · missed L
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–0Rakow II14 Oct · away
Pick: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 70% · hit D
Rakow II0–0Goczałkowice Zdrój29 Aug · home
Pick: Goczałkowice Zdrój 40% · missed Kluczbork
D
Kluczbork2–2Karkonosze Jelenia Góra30 Oct · home
Pick: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 40% · missed W
Warta Gorzów0–2Kluczbork24 Oct · away
Pick: Warta Gorzów 45% · missed W
Kluczbork2–0Miedź Legnica II17 Oct · home
Pick: Kluczbork 53% · hit L
Kluczbork1–2Lechia Gdansk1 Sep · home
Pick: Kluczbork 48% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Rakow II and Kluczbork finished 0–0 in III Liga - Group 3 on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Rakow II win 24.8%, draw 23.0%, Kluczbork win 52.2%. None of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.