ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - ACFF Belgium ACFF - 12 2026

Richelle United vs Entité Manageoise

Richelle United Home · Elo 1,478
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Entité Manageoise Away · Elo 1,467
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Entité Manageoise win
Richelle United win
35.9%
Draw
28.2%
Entité Manageoise winPick
35.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.4%
No45.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.1%
Under 2.546.9%

How much we know

Richelle United history33 matches
Entité Manageoise history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (35.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Entité Manageoise are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,478 against 1,467. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.27 goals a game over 33 matches for Richelle United, against 1.26 over 46 for Entité Manageoise.

  • Richelle United concede fewer

    Richelle United concede 1.30 a game, Entité Manageoise 1.70.

  • Entité Manageoise games more often go over 2.5 goals

    48% of Richelle United matches, against 57% for Entité Manageoise. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Richelle United
Entité Manageoise
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1477.9
ELO
1467.0
33
ELO · Matches
46
1477.9
Current Team ELO
1467.0
1467.0
Current Opponent ELO
1477.9
10.95
Current ELO Difference
-10.95
0.52
Expected score
0.48
33
History Matches
46
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.04
48.46
Overperformance
46.98
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.20
1.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.60
Goals against per game
3.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.30
1.40
Goals for per game
1.70
1.20
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.47
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.60
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.26
Overall performance9 signals
90
33
Matches
46
1.24
PPG
1.17
33.3%
Win rate
28.3%
24.2%
Draw rate
32.6%
42.4%
Loss rate
39.1%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
73.9%
48.5%
Over 2.5 rate
56.5%
21.2%
Over 3.5 rate
41.3%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
Venue performance10 signals
100
18
Matches
25
1.61
PPG
1.16
44.4%
Win rate
28.0%
27.8%
Draw rate
32.0%
27.8%
Loss rate
40.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
72.0%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
52.0%
22.2%
Over 3.5 rate
36.0%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
18
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.27
Goals for per game
1.26
75.8%
Scoring rate
71.7%
54.5%
BTTS rate
56.5%
1.39
Goals for per game
1.16
83.3%
Scoring rate
68.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
56.0%
0.00
Goals for per game
1.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
33
History Matches
46
1.27
Goals Mean
1.26
1.14
Goals Std
1.03
75.8%
Scored 1+ rate
71.7%
30.3%
Scored 2+ rate
41.3%
12.1%
Scored 3+ rate
10.9%
1.39
Venue Goals Mean
1.16
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.30
Goals against per game
1.70
72.7%
Conceding rate
71.7%
1.06
Goals against per game
1.60
61.1%
Conceding rate
76.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
33
History Matches
46
1.30
Conceded Mean
1.70
1.06
Conceded Std
1.53
42.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.5%
12.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
34.8%
1.06
Venue Conceded Mean
1.60
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.3%
38.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.3%
38.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
33
History Matches
46
0.98
Result entropy
0.99
1.70
Goal Difference Std
1.80
2.29
Stability score
0.81
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
18
Eligible Matches
24
6
Lead Matches
6
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
0.72
5
Trailing Matches
8
20.0%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
18
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
0.94
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.92
1.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.13
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
76.25
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
18
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
14
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
4
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.06
—
Portability PPG Range
0.11
—
Portability Score
89.69
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
33
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO10.95
PPG0.07
GF0.01
GA-0.39
PPG-1.00
PPG0.45
PPG0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate14.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches-13
Goals Mean0.01
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate4.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate1.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.23
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches-13
Conceded Mean-0.39
Conceded Std-0.47
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate-0.23
Venue Conceded Mean-0.54
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.72
History Matches-13
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.11
Stability score1.47
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.66
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.22
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate7.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.43
Second Half Goals For Mean0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.12
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.21
Current Team ELO10.95
Current Opponent ELO-10.95
Current ELO Difference21.90
Expected score0.03
History Matches-13
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Richelle United

W
Richelle United3–2La Calamine24 Oct · home
Pick: Richelle United 37% · hit
L
Stade Mouscronnois6–2Richelle United17 Oct · away
Pick: Stade Mouscronnois 39% · hit
D
AS Eupen II0–0Richelle United4 Oct · away
Pick: AS Eupen II 46% · missed
W
Richelle United2–0Union Namur29 Aug · home
Pick: Richelle United 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Entité Manageoise

L
Entité Manageoise2–3Acren-Lessines25 Oct · home
Pick: Entité Manageoise 40% · missed
W
Aywaille0–2Entité Manageoise18 Oct · away
Pick: Entité Manageoise 39% · hit
L
Entité Manageoise1–3Ostiches30 Aug · home
Pick: Ostiches 40% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Richelle United and Entité Manageoise meet in Second Amateur Division - ACFF on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Richelle United win 35.9%, draw 28.2%, Entité Manageoise win 35.9%. The pick is Entité Manageoise win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.1%. Both teams to score: 54.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.