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3. Division Denmark Round 16 2026

Ringsted vs Frem

Ringsted Home · Elo 1,551
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Frem Away · Elo 1,494
Ringsted Stadion Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Frem win
Ringsted win
35.6%
Draw
19.4%
Frem winPick
45.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.2%
No42.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.0%
Under 2.541.0%

How much we know

Ringsted history37 matches
Frem history67 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.0%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Frem are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Ringsted are rated 57 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,551 against 1,494. On rating alone Ringsted would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Ringsted score far more

    2.05 goals a game over 37 matches for Ringsted, against 1.18 over 67 for Frem.

  • Frem concede fewer

    Ringsted concede 1.65 a game, Frem 1.19.

  • Ringsted games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Ringsted matches, against 42% for Frem. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ringsted
Frem@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1551.3
ELO
1494.2
37
ELO · Matches
67
1551.3
Current Team ELO
1494.2
1494.2
Current Opponent ELO
1551.3
57.11
Current ELO Difference
-57.11
0.58
Expected score
0.42
37
History Matches
67
0.08
Residual Mean
0.00
55.03
Overperformance
49.87
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
2.00
0.60
Goals for per game
1.40
2.20
Goals against per game
0.80
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.10
1.70
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.36
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.75
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.90
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
67
1.86
PPG
1.27
54.1%
Win rate
34.3%
24.3%
Draw rate
23.9%
21.6%
Loss rate
41.8%
86.5%
Over 1.5 rate
64.2%
62.2%
Over 2.5 rate
41.8%
51.4%
Over 3.5 rate
20.9%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
33
1.81
PPG
1.27
52.4%
Win rate
33.3%
23.8%
Draw rate
27.3%
23.8%
Loss rate
39.4%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
69.7%
61.9%
Over 2.5 rate
48.5%
47.6%
Over 3.5 rate
21.2%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
21
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.05
Goals for per game
1.18
86.5%
Scoring rate
67.2%
70.3%
BTTS rate
47.8%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.18
81.0%
Scoring rate
69.7%
61.9%
BTTS rate
57.6%
0.75
Goals for per game
1.25
50.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
37
History Matches
67
2.05
Goals Mean
1.18
1.47
Goals Std
1.26
86.5%
Scored 1+ rate
67.2%
59.5%
Scored 2+ rate
26.9%
35.1%
Scored 3+ rate
14.9%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.65
Goals against per game
1.19
81.1%
Conceding rate
73.1%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.36
76.2%
Conceding rate
78.8%
2.50
Goals against per game
1.25
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
67
1.65
Conceded Mean
1.19
1.65
Conceded Std
1.08
35.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.4%
21.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.9%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.36
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
32.8%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
32.8%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.3%
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
67
0.92
Result entropy
0.98
2.05
Goal Difference Std
1.71
8.29
Stability score
2.27
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
35
Eligible Matches
66
16
Lead Matches
16
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
93.8%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.96
6
Trailing Matches
19
16.7%
Non-loss rate
15.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
66
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
1.20
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
1.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.00
Rest days
80.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
14
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.64
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
22
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.95
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.58
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.25
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.25
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-1.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
8
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.84
Portability PPG Std
0.21
2.30
Portability PPG Range
0.50
37.30
Portability Score
70.28
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
67
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO57.11
PPG0.60
GF0.87
GA0.45
PPG-0.75
PPG0.54
PPG-1.80
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-30
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate2.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-30
Goals Mean0.87
Goals Std0.21
Scored 1+ rate19.3%
Scored 2+ rate32.6%
Scored 3+ rate20.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.82
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.41
History Matches-30
Conceded Mean0.45
Conceded Std0.57
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate6.8%
Conceded 3+ rate9.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.35
History Matches-30
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.33
Stability score6.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.97
Eligible Matches-31
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate0.9%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-31
First Half Goals For Mean0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean0.59
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.75
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.63
Portability PPG Range1.80
Portability Score-32.98
Rest days3.17
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-24
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.56
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.38
Current Team ELO57.11
Current Opponent ELO-57.11
Current ELO Difference114.2
Expected score0.16
History Matches-30
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.29

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ringsted

L
Holstebro2–1Ringsted7 Nov · away
Pick: Holstebro 61% · hit
L
FC Helsingor1–0Ringsted30 Oct · away
Pick: FC Helsingor 65% · hit
D
Ringsted1–1Ishøj24 Oct · home
Pick: Ringsted 43% · missed
L
Brønshøj4–1Ringsted17 Oct · away
Pick: Brønshøj 60% · hit
W
Ringsted2–0Sundby29 Aug · home
Pick: Sundby 39% · missed

Frem

W
Frem3–1Ishøj7 Nov · home
Pick: Frem 57% · hit
D
ASA Aarhus2–2Frem31 Oct · away
Pick: ASA Aarhus 45% · missed
D
Frem1–1FC Helsingor23 Oct · home
Pick: Frem 44% · missed
D
Hørsholm-Usserød1–1Frem17 Oct · away
Pick: Hørsholm-Usserød 42% · missed
D
Vanløse2–2Frem29 Aug · away
Pick: Vanløse 52% · missed

About this match

Ringsted and Frem meet in 3. Division on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Ringsted Stadion. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Ringsted win 35.6%, draw 19.4%, Frem win 45.0%. The pick is Frem win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.0%. Both teams to score: 57.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.