ScoreProb
Challenge League Switzerland Round 13 2026

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil

SC Kriens Home · Elo 1,608
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rapperswil Away · Elo 1,526
Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: SC Kriens win
SC Kriens winPick
55.6%
Draw
18.8%
Rapperswil win
25.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.5%
No38.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%

How much we know

SC Kriens history64 matches
Rapperswil history68 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why SC Kriens are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • SC Kriens are rated 82 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,608 against 1,526. On rating alone SC Kriens would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • SC Kriens score more

    2.36 goals a game over 64 matches for SC Kriens, against 1.93 over 68 for Rapperswil.

  • Defences are close

    SC Kriens concede 1.34 a game, Rapperswil 1.38.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of SC Kriens matches, against 66% for Rapperswil. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
SC Kriens
Rapperswil@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1608.3
ELO
1526.3
64
ELO · Matches
68
1608.3
Current Team ELO
1526.3
1526.3
Current Opponent ELO
1608.3
82.02
Current ELO Difference
-82.02
0.62
Expected score
0.38
64
History Matches
68
0.08
Residual Mean
0.02
56.17
Overperformance
51.19
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.20
Goals for per game
2.40
1.40
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.60
1.50
Goals for per game
2.10
1.40
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.87
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.51
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.28
Overall performance9 signals
90
64
Matches
68
1.98
PPG
1.62
60.9%
Win rate
50.0%
15.6%
Draw rate
11.8%
23.4%
Loss rate
38.2%
90.6%
Over 1.5 rate
85.3%
67.2%
Over 2.5 rate
66.2%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.8%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
35
2.38
PPG
1.57
75.0%
Win rate
48.6%
12.5%
Draw rate
11.4%
12.5%
Loss rate
40.0%
96.9%
Over 1.5 rate
91.4%
81.3%
Over 2.5 rate
62.9%
59.4%
Over 3.5 rate
31.4%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.27
32
History Matches
35
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.36
Goals for per game
1.93
90.6%
Scoring rate
80.9%
60.9%
BTTS rate
57.4%
2.97
Goals for per game
2.03
96.9%
Scoring rate
85.7%
65.6%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.50
75.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
64
History Matches
68
2.36
Goals Mean
1.93
1.64
Goals Std
1.63
90.6%
Scored 1+ rate
80.9%
65.6%
Scored 2+ rate
54.4%
37.5%
Scored 3+ rate
27.9%
2.97
Venue Goals Mean
2.03
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.34
Goals against per game
1.38
68.8%
Conceding rate
70.6%
1.19
Goals against per game
1.29
68.8%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.25
Goals against per game
2.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
64
History Matches
68
1.34
Conceded Mean
1.38
1.19
Conceded Std
1.33
45.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.8%
14.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.1%
1.19
Venue Conceded Mean
1.29
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.4%
9.4%
Failed-to-score rate
19.1%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
3.1%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.4%
9.4%
Failed-to-score rate
19.1%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
3.1%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
64
History Matches
68
0.85
Result entropy
0.88
2.12
Goal Difference Std
2.20
15.17
Stability score
12.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
68
31
Lead Matches
29
90.3%
Lead Win Rate
86.2%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.89
15
Trailing Matches
14
33.3%
Non-loss rate
7.1%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
68
1.05
First Half Goals For Mean
0.97
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
1.36
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.85
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.10
Rest days
77.01
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
4
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
31
Normal Rest History Matches
39
1.84
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.69
26
Long Rest History Matches
24
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.46
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
0.75
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.75
0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
7
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.39
Portability PPG Std
0.66
0.99
Portability PPG Range
1.60
56.37
Portability Score
43.23
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
64
Clean History Matches
68
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO82.02
PPG0.37
GF0.43
GA-0.04
PPG0.75
PPG0.80
PPG0.00
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate1.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate2.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.43
Goals Std0.01
Scored 1+ rate9.7%
Scored 2+ rate11.2%
Scored 3+ rate9.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.94
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.84
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.04
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate1.8%
Conceded 2+ rate8.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.33
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score3.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.77
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate4.1%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate26.2%
Trailing Win Rate12.9%
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean0.40
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.25
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.27
Portability PPG Range-0.61
Portability Score13.13
Rest days-0.91
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.15
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.54
Current Team ELO82.02
Current Opponent ELO-82.02
Current ELO Difference164.0
Expected score0.23
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance4.98
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

SC Kriens

D
Étoile Carouge2–2SC Kriens30 Oct · away
Pick: Étoile Carouge 45% · missed
L
Yverdon Sport5–2SC Kriens25 Oct · away
Pick: Yverdon Sport 53% · hit
D
Rapperswil1–1SC Kriens1 Sep · away
Pick: SC Kriens 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Rapperswil

L
Rapperswil1–4Stade Nyonnais30 Oct · home
Pick: Rapperswil 49% · missed
D
FC WIL 19002–2Rapperswil23 Oct · away
Pick: Rapperswil 49% · missed
L
Rapperswil0–2FC ST. Gallen16 Oct · home
Pick: Rapperswil 48% · missed
D
Rapperswil1–1SC Kriens1 Sep · home
Pick: SC Kriens 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

SC Kriens and Rapperswil meet in Challenge League on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:30 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: SC Kriens win 55.6%, draw 18.8%, Rapperswil win 25.6%. The pick is SC Kriens win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.3%. Both teams to score: 61.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.