ScoreProb
Pro League United Arab Emirates Round 8 2026

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Sharjah FC Home · Elo 1,529
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Away · Elo 1,630
Sharjah Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win
Sharjah FC win
22.0%
Draw
24.9%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai winPick
53.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.2%
No43.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.0%
Under 2.542.0%

How much we know

Sharjah FC history69 matches
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai history71 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.1%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,755 matches.

Why Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are rated 101 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,630 against 1,529. On rating alone Shabab Al Ahli Dubai would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Shabab Al Ahli Dubai score more

    1.35 goals a game over 69 matches for Sharjah FC, against 1.97 over 71 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

  • Shabab Al Ahli Dubai concede fewer

    Sharjah FC concede 1.48 a game, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.01.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    52% of Sharjah FC matches, against 56% for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sharjah FC
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1528.8
ELO
1630.2
69
ELO · Matches
71
1528.8
Current Team ELO
1630.2
1630.2
Current Opponent ELO
1528.8
-101.4
Current ELO Difference
101.4
0.36
Expected score
0.64
69
History Matches
71
0.02
Residual Mean
0.07
51.59
Overperformance
55.63
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.80
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
1.50
1.50
Goals for per game
1.70
1.40
Goals against per game
1.30
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.49
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.36
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
69
Matches
71
1.35
PPG
1.87
37.7%
Win rate
53.5%
21.7%
Draw rate
26.8%
40.6%
Loss rate
19.7%
78.3%
Over 1.5 rate
77.5%
52.2%
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
31.9%
Over 3.5 rate
39.4%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
42
1.18
PPG
1.62
35.3%
Win rate
45.2%
11.8%
Draw rate
26.2%
52.9%
Loss rate
28.6%
79.4%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
59.5%
32.4%
Over 3.5 rate
35.7%
2.14
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
34
History Matches
42
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.35
Goals for per game
1.97
72.5%
Scoring rate
83.1%
55.1%
BTTS rate
54.9%
1.26
Goals for per game
1.74
64.7%
Scoring rate
78.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
52.4%
1.50
Goals for per game
3.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
69
History Matches
71
1.35
Goals Mean
1.97
1.24
Goals Std
1.46
72.5%
Scored 1+ rate
83.1%
34.8%
Scored 2+ rate
60.6%
17.4%
Scored 3+ rate
31.0%
1.26
Venue Goals Mean
1.74
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.48
Goals against per game
1.01
79.7%
Conceding rate
62.0%
1.62
Goals against per game
1.10
82.4%
Conceding rate
61.9%
1.50
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
69
History Matches
71
1.48
Conceded Mean
1.01
1.23
Conceded Std
1.08
40.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.9%
15.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.3%
1.62
Venue Conceded Mean
1.10
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
27.5%
Failed-to-score rate
16.9%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
38.1%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
27.5%
Failed-to-score rate
16.9%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
38.1%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
20.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
69
History Matches
71
0.97
Result entropy
0.92
1.93
Goal Difference Std
1.79
3.01
Stability score
8.30
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
68
Eligible Matches
71
16
Lead Matches
27
62.5%
Lead Win Rate
81.5%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.85
26
Trailing Matches
14
30.8%
Non-loss rate
57.1%
15.4%
Trailing Win Rate
21.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
68
Halftime Coverage Matches
71
0.51
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.82
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.23
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.95
Rest days
77.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
2
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
51
Normal Rest History Matches
51
1.22
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.98
14
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.57
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
3.00
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
12
Competition Season Count
12
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
7
0.67
Portability PPG Std
0.46
2.00
Portability PPG Range
1.23
42.71
Portability Score
52.07
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
69
Clean History Matches
71
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-101.4
PPG-0.53
GF-0.62
GA0.46
PPG-1.50
PPG-0.44
PPG0.60
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate10.6%
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Failed-to-score rate13.9%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.62
Goals Std-0.23
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.26
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean-0.47
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.46
Conceded Std0.15
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate16.6%
Conceded 3+ rate4.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.52
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.58
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.14
Stability score-5.28
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.80
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate-0.26
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.40
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.21
Portability PPG Range0.77
Portability Score-9.37
Rest days-1.11
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.76
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.13
Current Team ELO-101.4
Current Opponent ELO101.4
Current ELO Difference-202.8
Expected score-0.28
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-4.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.24

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sharjah FC

W
Sharjah FC1–0Al Urooba24 Oct · home
Pick: Sharjah FC 51% · hit
W
Ajman1–3Sharjah FC18 Oct · away
Pick: Ajman 38% · missed
W
Hatta SC0–3Sharjah FC30 Aug · away
Pick: Sharjah FC 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

L
Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–0Shabab Al Ahli Dubai3 Nov · away
Pick: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 54% · hit
W
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2–0Esteghlal FC27 Oct · home
Pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 57% · hit
W
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2–0Al Ain17 Oct · home
Pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 49% · hit
W
Al-Ittihad FC1–2Shabab Al Ahli Dubai13 Oct · away
Pick: Al-Ittihad FC 47% · missed
W
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2–1Dubai United8 Oct · home
Pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 58% · hit

About this match

Sharjah FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai meet in Pro League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. The match is played at Sharjah Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Sharjah FC win 22.0%, draw 24.9%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win 53.1%. The pick is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.0%. Both teams to score: 56.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.