ScoreProb
Superliga Denmark Round 14 2026

Silkeborg vs Lyngby

Silkeborg Home · Elo 1,488
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Lyngby Away · Elo 1,592
JYSK Park, Silkeborg Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Silkeborg win
Silkeborg winPick
47.7%
Draw
21.8%
Lyngby win
30.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%

How much we know

Silkeborg history77 matches
Lyngby history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Silkeborg are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Lyngby are rated 104 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,592 against 1,488. On rating alone Lyngby would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Lyngby score more

    1.58 goals a game over 77 matches for Silkeborg, against 1.86 over 66 for Lyngby.

  • Lyngby concede fewer

    Silkeborg concede 1.73 a game, Lyngby 1.24.

  • Silkeborg games more often go over 2.5 goals

    68% of Silkeborg matches, against 59% for Lyngby. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Silkeborg
Lyngby
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1488.3
ELO
1591.9
77
ELO · Matches
66
1488.3
Current Team ELO
1591.9
1591.9
Current Opponent ELO
1488.3
-103.7
Current ELO Difference
103.7
0.36
Expected score
0.64
77
History Matches
66
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.06
49.01
Overperformance
54.60
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.40
0.80
Goals for per game
1.20
1.60
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.10
1.50
Goals for per game
1.70
1.60
Goals against per game
1.70
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.68
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals
90
77
Matches
66
1.27
PPG
1.70
36.4%
Win rate
48.5%
18.2%
Draw rate
24.2%
45.5%
Loss rate
27.3%
84.4%
Over 1.5 rate
84.8%
67.5%
Over 2.5 rate
59.1%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
36.4%
2.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
36
1.42
PPG
1.58
41.7%
Win rate
44.4%
16.7%
Draw rate
25.0%
41.7%
Loss rate
30.6%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
52.8%
Over 2.5 rate
58.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
38.9%
2.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
36
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.58
Goals for per game
1.86
70.1%
Scoring rate
83.3%
57.1%
BTTS rate
57.6%
1.58
Goals for per game
1.75
66.7%
Scoring rate
86.1%
47.2%
BTTS rate
61.1%
0.80
Goals for per game
1.20
80.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
77
History Matches
66
1.58
Goals Mean
1.86
1.62
Goals Std
1.35
70.1%
Scored 1+ rate
83.3%
42.9%
Scored 2+ rate
56.1%
23.4%
Scored 3+ rate
31.8%
1.58
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.73
Goals against per game
1.24
84.4%
Conceding rate
69.7%
1.36
Goals against per game
1.33
77.8%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.60
Goals against per game
2.00
80.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
77
History Matches
66
1.73
Conceded Mean
1.24
1.33
Conceded Std
1.07
50.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.9%
22.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.6%
1.36
Venue Conceded Mean
1.33
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
15.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
29.9%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
13.9%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
15.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
29.9%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
13.9%
15.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
77
History Matches
66
0.94
Result entropy
0.95
2.39
Goal Difference Std
1.71
5.68
Stability score
4.53
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
76
Eligible Matches
63
25
Lead Matches
25
64.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.72
Lead Points Retention
0.84
30
Trailing Matches
21
20.0%
Non-loss rate
38.1%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
76
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.82
First Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.89
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.65
0.76
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.05
0.84
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.04
Rest days
75.17
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
4
2.17
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
47
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.32
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.54
23
Long Rest History Matches
26
0.96
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.65
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.40
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
60.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.75
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.80
Current Competition PPG
0.40
-0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.80
8
Competition Season Count
6
8
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.39
Portability PPG Std
0.87
1.25
Portability PPG Range
2.60
56.45
Portability Score
36.59
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
77
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-103.7
PPG-0.42
GF-0.28
GA0.48
PPG0.40
PPG-0.17
PPG0.40
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate13.2%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate19.4%
History Matches11
Goals Mean-0.28
Goals Std0.28
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.13
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches11
Conceded Mean0.48
Conceded Std0.25
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate9.7%
Conceded 3+ rate11.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.03
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.28
History Matches11
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.68
Stability score1.15
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.57
Eligible Matches13
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.16
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate-0.18
Trailing Win Rate-0.03
Halftime Coverage Matches13
First Half Goals For Mean0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean0.24
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.28
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std-0.48
Portability PPG Range-1.35
Portability Score19.86
Rest days-1.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.83
Normal Rest History Matches12
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.22
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.70
Current Team ELO-103.7
Current Opponent ELO103.7
Current ELO Difference-207.3
Expected score-0.29
History Matches11
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-5.58
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Silkeborg

L
Odense4–1Silkeborg1 Nov · away
Pick: Odense 46% · hit
D
Silkeborg1–1FC Nordsjaelland25 Oct · home
Pick: FC Nordsjaelland 45% · missed
L
Sonderjyske4–0Silkeborg18 Oct · away
Pick: Silkeborg 42% · missed
D
Silkeborg1–1FC Midtjylland30 Aug · home
Pick: FC Midtjylland 55% · missed
L
Brondby3–1Silkeborg24 Aug · away
Pick: Brondby 61% · hit

Lyngby

W
Lyngby1–0Randers FC3 Nov · home
Pick: Lyngby 42% · hit
W
Lyngby2–1Randers FC30 Oct · home
Pick: Lyngby 48% · hit
L
FC Midtjylland3–2Lyngby25 Oct · away
Pick: FC Midtjylland 67% · hit
D
Lyngby3–3FC Nordsjaelland18 Oct · home
Pick: Lyngby 39% · missed
D
Lyngby1–1Odense30 Aug · home
Pick: Lyngby 43% · missed

About this match

Silkeborg and Lyngby meet in Superliga on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at JYSK Park, Silkeborg. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Silkeborg win 47.7%, draw 21.8%, Lyngby win 30.5%. The pick is Silkeborg win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.5%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.