ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Slaný vs Sokol Hostouň

Slaný Home · Elo 1,540
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sokol Hostouň Away · Elo 1,508
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slaný win
Slaný winPick
44.6%
Draw
22.7%
Sokol Hostouň win
32.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.7%
No37.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.1%
Under 2.532.9%

How much we know

Slaný history49 matches
Sokol Hostouň history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Slaný are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Slaný are rated 32 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,540 against 1,508. On rating alone Slaný would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Slaný score far more

    2.12 goals a game over 49 matches for Slaný, against 1.24 over 63 for Sokol Hostouň.

  • Sokol Hostouň concede fewer

    Slaný concede 1.55 a game, Sokol Hostouň 1.38.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    61% of Slaný matches, against 54% for Sokol Hostouň. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slaný
Sokol Hostouň
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1540.3
ELO
1507.9
49
ELO · Matches
63
1540.3
Current Team ELO
1507.9
1507.9
Current Opponent ELO
1540.3
32.41
Current ELO Difference
-32.41
0.55
Expected score
0.45
49
History Matches
63
0.05
Residual Mean
0.00
53.21
Overperformance
50.14
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.80
3.00
Goals for per game
2.40
1.40
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.80
2.60
Goals for per game
1.90
1.50
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.64
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.95
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.46
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
63
1.65
PPG
1.27
46.9%
Win rate
33.3%
24.5%
Draw rate
27.0%
28.6%
Loss rate
39.7%
89.8%
Over 1.5 rate
74.6%
61.2%
Over 2.5 rate
54.0%
51.0%
Over 3.5 rate
30.2%
2.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
33
1.65
PPG
1.15
50.0%
Win rate
30.3%
15.4%
Draw rate
24.2%
34.6%
Loss rate
45.5%
92.3%
Over 1.5 rate
81.8%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
57.7%
Over 3.5 rate
27.3%
2.65
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
26
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.12
Goals for per game
1.24
77.6%
Scoring rate
63.5%
61.2%
BTTS rate
46.0%
2.19
Goals for per game
1.12
73.1%
Scoring rate
63.6%
57.7%
BTTS rate
51.5%
4.00
Goals for per game
3.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
63
2.12
Goals Mean
1.24
1.81
Goals Std
1.29
77.6%
Scored 1+ rate
63.5%
61.2%
Scored 2+ rate
38.1%
36.7%
Scored 3+ rate
12.7%
2.19
Venue Goals Mean
1.12
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.55
Goals against per game
1.38
81.6%
Conceding rate
69.8%
1.69
Goals against per game
1.52
84.6%
Conceding rate
78.8%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
63
1.55
Conceded Mean
1.38
1.20
Conceded Std
1.16
46.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.0%
14.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.0%
1.69
Venue Conceded Mean
1.52
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.2%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
36.5%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.2%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
36.5%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
63
0.96
Result entropy
0.99
2.31
Goal Difference Std
1.85
3.74
Stability score
1.11
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
63
21
Lead Matches
18
76.2%
Lead Win Rate
77.8%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.85
12
Trailing Matches
16
25.0%
Non-loss rate
18.8%
8.3%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.92
Rest days
77.20
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.73
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
21
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.52
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.67
PPG
2.00
33.3%
Win rate
66.7%
66.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
3.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.67
Current Competition PPG
2.00
2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
6
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.05
Portability PPG Std
0.34
0.12
Portability PPG Range
0.94
91.14
Portability Score
59.69
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO32.41
PPG0.38
GF0.88
GA0.17
PPG-0.33
PPG0.50
PPG-0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-14
Goals Mean0.88
Goals Std0.52
Scored 1+ rate14.1%
Scored 2+ rate23.1%
Scored 3+ rate24.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.07
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.86
History Matches-14
Conceded Mean0.17
Conceded Std0.04
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate0.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean0.18
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.26
History Matches-14
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.46
Stability score2.64
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.49
Eligible Matches-14
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate6.3%
Trailing Win Rate2.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-14
First Half Goals For Mean0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.39
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.67
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.29
Portability PPG Range-0.82
Portability Score31.45
Rest days-0.28
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-12
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.65
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.10
Current Team ELO32.41
Current Opponent ELO-32.41
Current ELO Difference64.82
Expected score0.09
History Matches-14
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slaný

D
Tempo Praha2–2Slaný31 Oct · away
Pick: Tempo Praha 40% · missed
W
Slaný4–0Ostrov24 Oct · home
Pick: Slaný 59% · hit
D
Karlovy Vary1–1Slaný17 Oct · away
Pick: Karlovy Vary 41% · missed
L
Rapid Psáry2–1Slaný29 Aug · away
Pick: Slaný 55% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Sokol Hostouň

W
Sokol Hostouň5–1Štětí1 Nov · home
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 66% · hit
W
Meteor Praha2–4Sokol Hostouň25 Oct · away
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 51% · hit
L
Sokol Hostouň1–3Chomutov18 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 41% · missed
D
Sokol Hostouň1–1Rapid Psáry4 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 66% · missed
W
Ústí nad Labem II0–4Sokol Hostouň29 Aug · away
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 69% · hit

About this match

Slaný and Sokol Hostouň meet in 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Slaný win 44.6%, draw 22.7%, Sokol Hostouň win 32.7%. The pick is Slaný win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.1%. Both teams to score: 62.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.