ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Štětí vs Brandýs nad Labem

Štětí Home · Elo 1,435
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Brandýs nad Labem Away · Elo 1,490
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Brandýs nad Labem win
Štětí win
38.0%
Draw
21.2%
Brandýs nad Labem winPick
40.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.9%
No34.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%

How much we know

Štětí history53 matches
Brandýs nad Labem history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Brandýs nad Labem are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Brandýs nad Labem are rated 55 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,490 against 1,435. On rating alone Brandýs nad Labem would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.60 goals a game over 53 matches for Štětí, against 1.68 over 53 for Brandýs nad Labem.

  • Defences are close

    Štětí concede 2.02 a game, Brandýs nad Labem 1.83.

  • Štětí games more often go over 2.5 goals

    75% of Štětí matches, against 64% for Brandýs nad Labem. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Štětí
Brandýs nad Labem
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1434.8
ELO
1490.3
53
ELO · Matches
53
1434.8
Current Team ELO
1490.3
1490.3
Current Opponent ELO
1434.8
-55.48
Current ELO Difference
55.48
0.42
Expected score
0.58
53
History Matches
53
-0.06
Residual Mean
0.00
46.00
Overperformance
49.73
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
2.00
2.20
Goals against per game
2.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.50
2.20
Goals for per game
2.30
2.20
Goals against per game
1.90
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
1.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.90
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.89
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.58
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
3.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
53
1.17
PPG
1.26
34.0%
Win rate
32.1%
15.1%
Draw rate
30.2%
50.9%
Loss rate
37.7%
86.8%
Over 1.5 rate
92.5%
75.5%
Over 2.5 rate
64.2%
49.1%
Over 3.5 rate
41.5%
2.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
25
1.39
PPG
1.04
39.3%
Win rate
24.0%
21.4%
Draw rate
32.0%
39.3%
Loss rate
44.0%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
88.0%
60.7%
Over 2.5 rate
68.0%
39.3%
Over 3.5 rate
32.0%
2.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
28
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.60
Goals for per game
1.68
77.4%
Scoring rate
81.1%
62.3%
BTTS rate
67.9%
1.57
Goals for per game
1.40
75.0%
Scoring rate
76.0%
60.7%
BTTS rate
64.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
53
1.60
Goals Mean
1.68
1.36
Goals Std
1.49
77.4%
Scored 1+ rate
81.1%
45.3%
Scored 2+ rate
43.4%
22.6%
Scored 3+ rate
24.5%
1.57
Venue Goals Mean
1.40
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.02
Goals against per game
1.83
81.1%
Conceding rate
86.8%
1.79
Goals against per game
1.72
82.1%
Conceding rate
88.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
3.50
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
53
2.02
Conceded Mean
1.83
1.63
Conceded Std
1.31
56.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.8%
35.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.4%
1.79
Venue Conceded Mean
1.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
13.2%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
13.2%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
18.9%
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
13.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
53
0.91
Result entropy
1.00
2.41
Goal Difference Std
2.17
9.36
Stability score
0.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
52
16
Lead Matches
15
68.8%
Lead Win Rate
73.3%
0.75
Lead Points Retention
0.80
16
Trailing Matches
19
25.0%
Non-loss rate
36.8%
18.8%
Trailing Win Rate
5.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.82
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
1.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
21
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.24
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.04
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
2
1.00
PPG
1.50
33.3%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
50.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
3
Current Competition Matches
2
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.18
Portability PPG Std
0.39
0.50
Portability PPG Range
0.87
73.21
Portability Score
56.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-55.48
PPG-0.09
GF-0.08
GA0.19
PPG-0.50
PPG0.35
PPG-0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate5.7%
Failed-to-score rate3.8%
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate5.9%
Failed-to-score rate1.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.08
Goals Std-0.12
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate1.9%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.24
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.19
Conceded Std0.32
Clean-sheet rate5.7%
Conceded 2+ rate3.8%
Conceded 3+ rate9.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.07
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.09
Goal Difference Std0.24
Stability score8.95
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.34
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.12
Trailing Win Rate13.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.37
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.37
Portability Score16.84
Rest days-7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.20
Current Team ELO-55.48
Current Opponent ELO55.48
Current ELO Difference-111.0
Expected score-0.16
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.73
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Štětí

L
Sokol Hostouň5–1Štětí1 Nov · away
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 66% · hit
W
Štětí1–0Tempo Praha24 Oct · home
Pick: Tempo Praha 46% · missed
W
Ostrov1–4Štětí17 Oct · away
Pick: Štětí 40% · hit
L
Baník Sokolov3–1Štětí30 Aug · away
Pick: Baník Sokolov 59% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Brandýs nad Labem

W
Brandýs nad Labem3–0Meteor Praha31 Oct · home
Pick: Brandýs nad Labem 50% · hit
L
Chomutov1–0Brandýs nad Labem24 Oct · away
Pick: Chomutov 63% · hit
W
Brandýs nad Labem3–1Baník Sokolov17 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Sokolov 43% · missed
L
Brandýs nad Labem1–2Tempo Praha29 Aug · home
Pick: Brandýs nad Labem 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Štětí and Brandýs nad Labem meet in 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Štětí win 38.0%, draw 21.2%, Brandýs nad Labem win 40.8%. The pick is Brandýs nad Labem win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.7%. Both teams to score: 65.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.