ScoreProb
Regionalliga - SudWest Germany Sudwest - 15 2026

SV Sandhausen vs Eintracht Frankfurt II

SV Sandhausen Home · Elo 1,527
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Eintracht Frankfurt II Away · Elo 1,673
Hardtwaldstadion, Sandhausen Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: SV Sandhausen win
SV Sandhausen winPick
42.7%
Draw
22.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt II win
35.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.9%
No40.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.3%
Under 2.530.7%

How much we know

SV Sandhausen history67 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt II history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why SV Sandhausen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Eintracht Frankfurt II are rated 146 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,673 against 1,527. On rating alone Eintracht Frankfurt II would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt II score more

    1.58 goals a game over 67 matches for SV Sandhausen, against 2.40 over 58 for Eintracht Frankfurt II.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt II concede fewer

    SV Sandhausen concede 1.93 a game, Eintracht Frankfurt II 1.17.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    72% of SV Sandhausen matches, against 66% for Eintracht Frankfurt II. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
SV Sandhausen
Eintracht Frankfurt II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1527.1
ELO
1672.7
67
ELO · Matches
58
1527.1
Current Team ELO
1672.7
1672.7
Current Opponent ELO
1527.1
-145.6
Current ELO Difference
145.6
0.30
Expected score
0.70
67
History Matches
58
0.03
Residual Mean
0.14
52.22
Overperformance
60.17
0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.20
2.60
Goals for per game
1.60
2.20
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.80
2.40
Goals for per game
2.40
2.40
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.80
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.36
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.84
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.33
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
58
1.25
PPG
2.17
35.8%
Win rate
69.0%
17.9%
Draw rate
10.3%
46.3%
Loss rate
20.7%
80.6%
Over 1.5 rate
82.8%
71.6%
Over 2.5 rate
65.5%
50.7%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
32
1.08
PPG
2.09
27.8%
Win rate
65.6%
25.0%
Draw rate
12.5%
47.2%
Loss rate
21.9%
72.2%
Over 1.5 rate
78.1%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
52.8%
Over 3.5 rate
40.6%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.86
36
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.58
Goals for per game
2.40
77.6%
Scoring rate
86.2%
67.2%
BTTS rate
51.7%
1.44
Goals for per game
2.03
75.0%
Scoring rate
81.3%
61.1%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
67
History Matches
58
1.58
Goals Mean
2.40
1.36
Goals Std
1.68
77.6%
Scored 1+ rate
86.2%
44.8%
Scored 2+ rate
69.0%
22.4%
Scored 3+ rate
46.6%
1.44
Venue Goals Mean
2.03
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.93
Goals against per game
1.17
85.1%
Conceding rate
62.1%
1.94
Goals against per game
1.38
77.8%
Conceding rate
65.6%
2.67
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
67
History Matches
58
1.93
Conceded Mean
1.17
1.26
Conceded Std
1.29
64.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
32.8%
29.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.1%
1.94
Venue Conceded Mean
1.38
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.9%
Clean-sheet rate
37.9%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
34.4%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
14.9%
Clean-sheet rate
37.9%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
13.8%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
34.4%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
14.9%
Clean-sheet rate
37.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
58
0.94
Result entropy
0.74
1.72
Goal Difference Std
2.09
6.03
Stability score
25.64
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
67
Eligible Matches
57
19
Lead Matches
29
84.2%
Lead Win Rate
89.7%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.92
28
Trailing Matches
9
28.6%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
10.7%
Trailing Win Rate
33.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
67
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
1.04
1.04
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.84
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.30
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
49
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.06
16
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.38
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.46
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
1.00
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.49
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
6
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.64
1.12
Portability PPG Range
1.65
55.12
Portability Score
43.82
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-145.6
PPG-0.92
GF-0.81
GA0.75
PPG0.33
PPG-1.01
PPG0.40
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Failed-to-score rate8.6%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate6.3%
History Matches9
Goals Mean-0.81
Goals Std-0.32
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.24
Scored 3+ rate-0.24
Venue Goals Mean-0.59
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.18
History Matches9
Conceded Mean0.75
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Conceded 2+ rate31.4%
Conceded 3+ rate17.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.57
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.49
History Matches9
Result entropy0.20
Goal Difference Std-0.38
Stability score-19.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.78
Eligible Matches10
Lead Matches-10
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches19
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate-0.23
Halftime Coverage Matches10
First Half Goals For Mean-0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean0.59
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.23
Portability PPG Range-0.53
Portability Score11.30
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches18
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.82
Long Rest History Matches-8
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.08
Current Team ELO-145.6
Current Opponent ELO145.6
Current ELO Difference-291.1
Expected score-0.40
History Matches9
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-7.95
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

SV Sandhausen

L
FSV Mainz 05 II2–1SV Sandhausen30 Oct · away
Pick: FSV Mainz 05 II 41% · hit
L
SV Sandhausen0–1VfR Aalen24 Oct · home
Pick: SV Sandhausen 44% · missed
W
SV Sandhausen1–0Kickers Offenbach16 Oct · home
Pick: Kickers Offenbach 43% · missed
L
Eintracht Trier2–0SV Sandhausen29 Aug · away
Pick: Eintracht Trier 49% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Eintracht Frankfurt II

L
Eintracht Frankfurt II2–4Kickers Offenbach1 Nov · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II 39% · missed
L
Freiburg II2–1Eintracht Frankfurt II27 Oct · away
Pick: Freiburg II 52% · hit
W
FSV Frankfurt1–2Eintracht Frankfurt II24 Oct · away
Pick: FSV Frankfurt 51% · missed
W
Eintracht Frankfurt II2–1Kaiserslautern II17 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II 61% · hit
L
Eintracht Frankfurt II0–1VfR Mannheim14 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II 45% · missed

About this match

SV Sandhausen and Eintracht Frankfurt II meet in Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Hardtwaldstadion, Sandhausen. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: SV Sandhausen win 42.7%, draw 22.0%, Eintracht Frankfurt II win 35.3%. The pick is SV Sandhausen win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.3%. Both teams to score: 59.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.