ScoreProb
Oberliga - Westfalen Germany Westfalen - 13 2026

Victoria Clarholz vs Hiltrup

Victoria Clarholz Home · Elo 1,488
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hiltrup Away · Elo 1,426
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Victoria Clarholz win
Victoria Clarholz winPick
68.0%
Draw
17.4%
Hiltrup win
14.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%

How much we know

Victoria Clarholz history57 matches
Hiltrup history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (68.0%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Victoria Clarholz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Victoria Clarholz are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,488 against 1,426. On rating alone Victoria Clarholz would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Victoria Clarholz score more

    1.54 goals a game over 57 matches for Victoria Clarholz, against 1.13 over 38 for Hiltrup.

  • Victoria Clarholz concede fewer

    Victoria Clarholz concede 1.60 a game, Hiltrup 1.87.

  • Victoria Clarholz games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Victoria Clarholz matches, against 55% for Hiltrup. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Victoria Clarholz
Hiltrup
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1488.3
ELO
1426.1
57
ELO · Matches
38
1488.3
Current Team ELO
1426.1
1426.1
Current Opponent ELO
1488.3
62.20
Current ELO Difference
-62.20
0.59
Expected score
0.41
57
History Matches
38
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.10
49.35
Overperformance
43.33
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
0.20
2.60
Goals against per game
3.00
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.00
1.90
Goals for per game
0.70
2.30
Goals against per game
2.30
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
1.55
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.15
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
57
Matches
38
1.35
PPG
1.03
36.8%
Win rate
26.3%
24.6%
Draw rate
23.7%
38.6%
Loss rate
50.0%
78.9%
Over 1.5 rate
76.3%
64.9%
Over 2.5 rate
55.3%
42.1%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
20
1.62
PPG
0.45
44.8%
Win rate
5.0%
27.6%
Draw rate
30.0%
27.6%
Loss rate
65.0%
75.9%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
34.5%
Over 3.5 rate
35.0%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
29
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.54
Goals for per game
1.13
84.2%
Scoring rate
63.2%
63.2%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.62
Goals for per game
0.70
82.8%
Scoring rate
45.0%
58.6%
BTTS rate
40.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
57
History Matches
38
1.54
Goals Mean
1.13
1.03
Goals Std
1.26
84.2%
Scored 1+ rate
63.2%
49.1%
Scored 2+ rate
23.7%
17.5%
Scored 3+ rate
15.8%
1.62
Venue Goals Mean
0.70
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.60
Goals against per game
1.87
73.7%
Conceding rate
81.6%
1.24
Goals against per game
2.40
69.0%
Conceding rate
90.0%
2.67
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
57
History Matches
38
1.60
Conceded Mean
1.87
1.40
Conceded Std
1.62
45.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
24.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.3%
1.24
Venue Conceded Mean
2.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.8%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
55.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.8%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
55.0%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
57
History Matches
38
0.98
Result entropy
0.95
1.69
Goal Difference Std
2.20
1.68
Stability score
5.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
57
Eligible Matches
38
15
Lead Matches
9
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.70
19
Trailing Matches
14
26.3%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.61
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.81
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
0.93
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.21
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.02
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
39
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.49
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.88
17
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.12
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
0.00
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-4.00
4
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.57
0.35
Portability PPG Range
1.15
76.57
Portability Score
46.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
57
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO62.20
PPG0.32
GF0.41
GA-0.27
PPG1.00
PPG1.17
PPG0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches19
Clean-sheet rate7.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate21.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.38
History Matches19
Goals Mean0.41
Goals Std-0.23
Scored 1+ rate21.1%
Scored 2+ rate25.4%
Scored 3+ rate1.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.92
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches19
Conceded Mean-0.27
Conceded Std-0.22
Clean-sheet rate7.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-1.16
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.59
History Matches19
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.51
Stability score-3.74
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.59
Eligible Matches19
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate13.3%
Lead Points Retention0.14
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches19
First Half Goals For Mean0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.30
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.42
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.33
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.42
Portability PPG Range-0.79
Portability Score29.99
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches15
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.61
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.27
Current Team ELO62.20
Current Opponent ELO-62.20
Current ELO Difference124.4
Expected score0.18
History Matches19
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance6.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Victoria Clarholz

L
Verl II3–0Victoria Clarholz25 Oct · away
Pick: Verl II 49% · hit
L
Victoria Clarholz1–3Arminia II18 Oct · home
Pick: Arminia II 40% · hit
D
Victoria Clarholz1–1TuS Hordel30 Aug · home
Pick: Victoria Clarholz 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hiltrup

L
Hiltrup1–2Preußen Münster II25 Oct · home
Pick: Preußen Münster II 67% · hit
W
Westfalia Kinderhaus0–2Hiltrup18 Oct · away
Pick: Westfalia Kinderhaus 58% · missed
L
Gievenbeck3–0Hiltrup4 Oct · away
Pick: Gievenbeck 71% · hit
W
Hiltrup2–0Eintracht Rheine30 Aug · home
Pick: Eintracht Rheine 60% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Victoria Clarholz and Hiltrup meet in Oberliga - Westfalen on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Victoria Clarholz win 68.0%, draw 17.4%, Hiltrup win 14.6%. The pick is Victoria Clarholz win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.3%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.