ScoreProb
3. liga - MSFL Czechia MSFL - 15 2026

Vítkovice vs Unie Hlubina

Vítkovice Home · Elo 1,559
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Unie Hlubina Away · Elo 1,601
Areal Vista Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Unie Hlubina win
Vítkovice win
26.1%
Draw
21.6%
Unie Hlubina winPick
52.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.4%
No35.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%

How much we know

Vítkovice history63 matches
Unie Hlubina history73 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Unie Hlubina are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Unie Hlubina are rated 42 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,601 against 1,559. On rating alone Unie Hlubina would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.87 goals a game over 63 matches for Vítkovice, against 2.03 over 73 for Unie Hlubina.

  • Vítkovice concede fewer

    Vítkovice concede 1.30 a game, Unie Hlubina 1.60.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    57% of Vítkovice matches, against 59% for Unie Hlubina. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vítkovice
Unie Hlubina
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1559.4
ELO
1601.4
63
ELO · Matches
73
1559.4
Current Team ELO
1601.4
1601.4
Current Opponent ELO
1559.4
-42.00
Current ELO Difference
42.00
0.44
Expected score
0.56
63
History Matches
73
0.04
Residual Mean
0.06
53.40
Overperformance
55.00
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.00
1.60
Goals for per game
3.60
1.20
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
2.00
1.70
Goals for per game
3.00
1.00
Goals against per game
1.90
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.00
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.95
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.92
Overall performance9 signals
90
63
Matches
73
1.62
PPG
1.58
44.4%
Win rate
45.2%
28.6%
Draw rate
21.9%
27.0%
Loss rate
32.9%
73.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.2%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
58.9%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
45.2%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.33
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
39
1.84
PPG
1.69
54.8%
Win rate
48.7%
19.4%
Draw rate
23.1%
25.8%
Loss rate
28.2%
71.0%
Over 1.5 rate
79.5%
58.1%
Over 2.5 rate
51.3%
41.9%
Over 3.5 rate
41.0%
1.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.23
31
History Matches
39
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.87
Goals for per game
2.03
81.0%
Scoring rate
82.2%
57.1%
BTTS rate
65.8%
1.90
Goals for per game
1.82
87.1%
Scoring rate
79.5%
58.1%
BTTS rate
59.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
4.25
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
63
History Matches
73
1.87
Goals Mean
2.03
1.66
Goals Std
1.90
81.0%
Scored 1+ rate
82.2%
50.8%
Scored 2+ rate
46.6%
25.4%
Scored 3+ rate
31.5%
1.90
Venue Goals Mean
1.82
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.30
Goals against per game
1.60
68.3%
Conceding rate
79.5%
1.26
Goals against per game
1.49
67.7%
Conceding rate
74.4%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.25
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
63
History Matches
73
1.30
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.30
Conceded Std
1.37
30.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.6%
20.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.8%
1.26
Venue Conceded Mean
1.49
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
31.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.5%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.8%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
12.9%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
31.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.5%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.8%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
12.9%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
31.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
63
History Matches
73
0.98
Result entropy
0.96
2.17
Goal Difference Std
2.33
2.44
Stability score
3.76
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
69
23
Lead Matches
31
82.6%
Lead Win Rate
74.2%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.77
16
Trailing Matches
22
31.3%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
6.3%
Trailing Win Rate
13.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
69
0.79
First Half Goals For Mean
0.94
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
1.08
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.04
0.66
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.94
Rest days
76.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
7
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.43
34
Normal Rest History Matches
41
1.71
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
23
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.48
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.50
PPG
2.25
0.0%
Win rate
75.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.55
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.50
Current Competition PPG
2.25
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
6
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.64
Portability PPG Std
0.57
1.70
Portability PPG Range
1.50
43.79
Portability Score
46.94
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
63
Clean History Matches
73
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-42.00
PPG0.04
GF-0.15
GA-0.30
PPG-1.75
PPG0.15
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate11.2%
Failed-to-score rate1.2%
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate6.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-10
Goals Mean-0.15
Goals Std-0.24
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate4.2%
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches-10
Conceded Mean-0.30
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate11.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.16
Conceded 3+ rate2.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches-10
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.16
Stability score-1.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.53
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate8.4%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate4.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.30
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.08
Portability PPG Range0.20
Portability Score-3.15
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.57
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.02
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.10
Current Team ELO-42.00
Current Opponent ELO42.00
Current ELO Difference-83.99
Expected score-0.12
History Matches-10
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.60
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Vítkovice

W
Vsetín1–4Vítkovice31 Oct · away
Pick: Vítkovice 46% · hit
W
Vítkovice4–2Zbrojovka Brno II24 Oct · home
Pick: Vítkovice 48% · hit
L
Hranice2–1Vítkovice16 Oct · away
Pick: Hranice 49% · hit
W
Hodonín0–2Vítkovice29 Aug · away
Pick: Hodonín 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Unie Hlubina

D
Unie Hlubina2–2Zlín II31 Oct · home
Pick: Unie Hlubina 62% · missed
W
Líšeň II1–2Unie Hlubina25 Oct · away
Pick: Unie Hlubina 45% · hit
W
Unie Hlubina1–0Blansko17 Oct · home
Pick: Unie Hlubina 74% · hit
L
Uničov3–0Unie Hlubina30 Aug · away
Pick: Unie Hlubina 45% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Vítkovice and Unie Hlubina meet in 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Areal Vista. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Vítkovice win 26.1%, draw 21.6%, Unie Hlubina win 52.4%. The pick is Unie Hlubina win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.2%. Both teams to score: 64.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.