Zakynthos vs Niki Volos
Match result probability Model pick: Zakynthos win
Zakynthos winPick
52.4%
Draw
25.0%
Niki Volos win
22.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes47.3%
No52.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.545.0%
Under 2.555.0%
How much we know
Zakynthos history46 matches
Niki Volos history35 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Zakynthos
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Zakynthos are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,615 against 1,591. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Zakynthos score more
1.74 goals a game over 46 matches for Zakynthos, against 1.54 over 35 for Niki Volos.
-
Niki Volos concede fewer
Zakynthos concede 0.85 a game, Niki Volos 0.63.
-
Zakynthos games more often go over 2.5 goals
50% of Zakynthos matches, against 37% for Niki Volos. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 19 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Niki Volos@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1615.0
ELO
1591.3
46
ELO · Matches
35
1615.0
Current Team ELO
1591.3
1591.3
Current Opponent ELO
1615.0
23.69
Current ELO Difference
-23.69
0.53
Expected score
0.47
46
History Matches
35
0.12
Residual Mean
0.13
58.60
Overperformance
58.49
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.80
Goals against per game
0.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.70
1.70
Goals for per game
0.90
1.30
Goals against per game
0.30
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.30
1.68
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.46
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.11
Overall performance9 signals 90
46
Matches
35
1.83
PPG
1.74
52.2%
Win rate
42.9%
26.1%
Draw rate
45.7%
21.7%
Loss rate
11.4%
65.2%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
37.1%
23.9%
Over 3.5 rate
22.9%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
Venue performance10 signals 100
23
Matches
17
1.96
PPG
1.35
56.5%
Win rate
23.5%
26.1%
Draw rate
64.7%
17.4%
Loss rate
11.8%
69.6%
Over 1.5 rate
58.8%
47.8%
Over 2.5 rate
35.3%
17.4%
Over 3.5 rate
23.5%
2.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
23
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.74
Goals for per game
1.54
80.4%
Scoring rate
71.4%
43.5%
BTTS rate
40.0%
1.87
Goals for per game
1.18
91.3%
Scoring rate
58.8%
47.8%
BTTS rate
47.1%
46
History Matches
35
1.74
Goals Mean
1.54
1.55
Goals Std
1.71
80.4%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
45.7%
Scored 2+ rate
31.4%
28.3%
Scored 3+ rate
22.9%
1.87
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.85
Goals against per game
0.63
54.3%
Conceding rate
45.7%
0.91
Goals against per game
0.82
52.2%
Conceding rate
52.9%
46
History Matches
35
0.85
Conceded Mean
0.63
1.12
Conceded Std
0.83
17.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
11.4%
6.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.7%
0.91
Venue Conceded Mean
0.82
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
45.7%
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.1%
8.7%
Failed-to-score rate
41.2%
45.7%
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.1%
8.7%
Failed-to-score rate
41.2%
45.7%
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
46
History Matches
35
0.93
Result entropy
0.88
1.98
Goal Difference Std
1.96
7.00
Stability score
11.81
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
45
Eligible Matches
35
16
Lead Matches
12
93.8%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.83
7
Trailing Matches
3
42.9%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.26
1.02
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.40
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
81.08
Rest days
81.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
25
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.92
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.80
17
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.82
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.74
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.51
Portability PPG Std
0.33
1.23
Portability PPG Range
0.67
49.72
Portability Score
60.00
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
46
Clean History Matches
35
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO23.69
PPG0.08
GF0.20
GA0.22
PPG0.60
PPG-0.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate0.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.32
History Matches11
Goals Mean0.20
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate9.0%
Scored 2+ rate14.2%
Scored 3+ rate5.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.69
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.54
History Matches11
Conceded Mean0.22
Conceded Std0.29
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate6.0%
Conceded 3+ rate0.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.09
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.22
History Matches11
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score-4.81
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.09
Eligible Matches10
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate18.8%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate9.5%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches10
First Half Goals For Mean-0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.31
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.17
Portability PPG Range0.56
Portability Score-10.28
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.12
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.09
Current Team ELO23.69
Current Opponent ELO-23.69
Current ELO Difference47.38
Expected score0.07
History Matches11
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Zakynthos
L
Zakynthos2–3Pyrgos 196826 Oct · home
Pick: Zakynthos 54% · missed D
Zakynthos1–1Apollon Pontou5 Oct · home
Pick: Zakynthos 37% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Niki Volos
W
Panserraikos0–1Niki Volos27 Oct · away
Pick: Panserraikos 37% · missed W
Apollon Pontou0–2Niki Volos24 Oct · away
Pick: Apollon Pontou 54% · missed D
Niki Volos1–1Panionios19 Oct · home
Pick: Panionios 38% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Zakynthos and Niki Volos meet in Super League 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Dimotiko Stadio Zakynthos. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Zakynthos win 52.4%, draw 25.0%, Niki Volos win 22.6%. The pick is Zakynthos win. Over 2.5 goals: 45.0%. Both teams to score: 47.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.