Baník Souš vs Sokol Brozany
What we said before kickoff Result: Draw
Baník Souš winPick
58.5%
Draw Result
19.5%
Sokol Brozany win
22.0%
How our picks did
Settled automatically from the final score. Every miss stays on the record.
Match result
Our pickBaník Souš win · 58.5%
What happenedDraw · we gave it 19.5%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 59.2%
What happenedOver · 6 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 52.5%
What happenedYes · 3–3
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Draw. In our numbers it ranked third of the three.
19%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 5.1
on average A pick at 59% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Match at a glancegoals · cards · changes
0'HT90'
Baník Souš aboveSokol Brozany below
Full time · 3–3
90+2'
V. Monyc
E. Houessou
90+1'
T. Kolsky
Yellow card
90'
L. Hrebik
L. Macodou
85'
M. Hadinec
P. Horvath
85'
J. Cihak
O. Novicky
79'3–3
F. Rott
77'
T. Stajnc
A. Stauber
73'3–2
M. Kubes
Penalty goal
66'2–2
M. Kubes
62'
M. Kubes
P. Zaruba
48'1–2
M. Rjaska
46'
A. Krahula
V. Vokoun
Half-time · 0–2
40'
F. Rott
Yellow card
37'
J. Kopriva
Yellow card
34'0–2
L. Macodou
23'0–1
M. Dieng
11'
M. Dieng
Yellow card
No events of this kind yet.
Kick-off
Both teams to score
Yes52.5%
No47.5%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%
How much we know
Baník Souš history60 matches
Sokol Brozany history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Kickoff7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full time: 3–3Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically from the final score.8 Nov · 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (58.5%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Baník Souš are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Baník Souš are rated 88 Elo points higher
Elo 1,588 against 1,499. On rating alone Baník Souš would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
Baník Souš score more
1.65 goals a game over 60 matches for Baník Souš, against 1.31 over 62 for Sokol Brozany.
-
Baník Souš concede fewer
Baník Souš concede 1.20 a game, Sokol Brozany 1.69.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
58% of Baník Souš matches, against 53% for Sokol Brozany. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sokol Brozany@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1587.9
ELO
1499.4
60
ELO · Matches
62
1587.9
Current Team ELO
1499.4
1499.4
Current Opponent ELO
1587.9
88.47
Current ELO Difference
-88.47
0.62
Expected score
0.38
60
History Matches
62
0.07
Residual Mean
0.01
54.97
Overperformance
50.44
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.30
0.80
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.64
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.69
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals 90
60
Matches
62
1.73
PPG
1.26
51.7%
Win rate
32.3%
18.3%
Draw rate
29.0%
30.0%
Loss rate
38.7%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
74.2%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
53.2%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
38.7%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
Venue performance10 signals 100
28
Matches
29
2.04
PPG
1.00
60.7%
Win rate
20.7%
21.4%
Draw rate
37.9%
17.9%
Loss rate
41.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.8%
53.6%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
1.65
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
28
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.65
Goals for per game
1.31
75.0%
Scoring rate
72.6%
43.3%
BTTS rate
53.2%
1.82
Goals for per game
1.28
85.7%
Scoring rate
69.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
55.2%
2.50
Goals for per game
1.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
60
History Matches
62
1.65
Goals Mean
1.31
1.31
Goals Std
1.26
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
72.6%
55.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.1%
23.3%
Scored 3+ rate
11.3%
1.82
Venue Goals Mean
1.28
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.20
Goals against per game
1.69
63.3%
Conceding rate
69.4%
0.89
Goals against per game
1.72
57.1%
Conceding rate
75.9%
0.50
Goals against per game
2.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
60
History Matches
62
1.20
Conceded Mean
1.69
1.19
Conceded Std
1.59
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.6%
20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.2%
0.89
Venue Conceded Mean
1.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.4%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.4%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
60
History Matches
62
0.92
Result entropy
0.99
1.87
Goal Difference Std
1.94
7.76
Stability score
0.66
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
58
Eligible Matches
62
21
Lead Matches
15
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.87
16
Trailing Matches
21
37.5%
Non-loss rate
23.8%
18.8%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.78
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.20
Rest days
83.17
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
6
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
31
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.71
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
25
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.76
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.05
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.50
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
7
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.34
Portability PPG Std
0.42
0.75
Portability PPG Range
1.10
59.83
Portability Score
54.14
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
60
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO88.47
PPG0.48
GF0.34
GA-0.49
PPG1.00
PPG1.04
PPG0.00
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate6.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate18.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.34
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate2.4%
Scored 2+ rate17.9%
Scored 3+ rate12.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.86
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.49
Conceded Std-0.40
Clean-sheet rate6.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.52
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score7.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.65
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate13.7%
Trailing Win Rate9.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean0.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.09
Portability PPG Range-0.35
Portability Score5.69
Rest days0.03
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.42
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.71
Current Team ELO88.47
Current Opponent ELO-88.47
Current ELO Difference176.9
Expected score0.25
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Baník Souš
D
Baník Souš1–1Slovan Liberec II31 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Souš 56% · missed L
Hradec Králové II2–0Baník Souš25 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Souš 46% · missed W
Baník Souš1–0Varnsdorf17 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Souš 59% · hit D
Baník Souš1–1Benátky nad Jizerou14 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Souš 55% · missed W
Chrudim1–2Baník Souš29 Aug · away
Pick: Baník Souš 45% · hit Sokol Brozany
W
Sokol Brozany3–1Hradec Králové II31 Oct · home
Pick: Hradec Králové II 48% · missed L
Varnsdorf3–2Sokol Brozany25 Oct · away
Pick: Varnsdorf 49% · hit L
Sokol Brozany1–3Mladá Boleslav II17 Oct · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav II 43% · hit D
Sokol Brozany0–0Sokol Zápy4 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Zápy 59% · missed D
Benátky nad Jizerou0–0Sokol Brozany30 Aug · away
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 51% · missed Match report
Baník Souš and Sokol Brozany finished 3–3 in 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday 7 November 2026. It was 0–2 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC, before kickoff: Baník Souš win 58.5%, draw 19.5%, Sokol Brozany win 22.0%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.