Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Energie Cottbus U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Energie Cottbus U19 win
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win
29.6%
Draw
17.5%
Energie Cottbus U19 winPick Result
52.9%
How our picks did
Settled automatically from the final score. Every miss stays on the record.
Match result
Our pickEnergie Cottbus U19 win · 52.9%
What happenedEnergie Cottbus U19 win · we gave it 52.9%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 77.5%
What happenedOver · 6 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 69.4%
What happenedYes · 2–4
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Energie Cottbus U19 win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
53%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.9
on average A pick at 53% is expected to miss about 5 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes69.4%
No30.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.577.5%
Under 2.522.5%
How much we know
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 history40 matches
Energie Cottbus U19 history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 3 d 3 h ahead4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Kickoff7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
- Full time: 2–4All three of our picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically from the final score.8 Nov · 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.9%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Energie Cottbus U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Energie Cottbus U19 are rated 61 Elo points higher
Elo 1,581 against 1,520. On rating alone Energie Cottbus U19 would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.
-
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 score more
2.60 goals a game over 40 matches for Carl Zeiss Jena U19, against 2.15 over 46 for Energie Cottbus U19.
-
Defences are close
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 concede 1.95 a game, Energie Cottbus U19 1.87.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
83% of Carl Zeiss Jena U19 matches, against 76% for Energie Cottbus U19. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Energie Cottbus U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1520.2
ELO
1580.8
40
ELO · Matches
46
1520.2
Current Team ELO
1580.8
1580.8
Current Opponent ELO
1520.2
-60.65
Current ELO Difference
60.65
0.41
Expected score
0.59
40
History Matches
46
0.02
Residual Mean
0.08
51.53
Overperformance
55.27
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.80
2.40
Goals for per game
2.20
2.00
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.80
3.00
Goals for per game
1.80
1.70
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
3.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
3.07
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.42
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
4.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.29
Overall performance9 signals 90
40
Matches
46
1.65
PPG
1.72
52.5%
Win rate
52.2%
7.5%
Draw rate
15.2%
40.0%
Loss rate
32.6%
95.0%
Over 1.5 rate
89.1%
82.5%
Over 2.5 rate
76.1%
67.5%
Over 3.5 rate
56.5%
2.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.08
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
26
1.70
PPG
1.58
55.0%
Win rate
50.0%
5.0%
Draw rate
7.7%
40.0%
Loss rate
42.3%
90.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
76.9%
65.0%
Over 3.5 rate
65.4%
2.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.51
20
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.60
Goals for per game
2.15
92.5%
Scoring rate
82.6%
70.0%
BTTS rate
56.5%
2.55
Goals for per game
2.08
90.0%
Scoring rate
80.8%
70.0%
BTTS rate
53.8%
0.50
Goals for per game
2.25
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
40
History Matches
46
2.60
Goals Mean
2.15
1.89
Goals Std
1.88
92.5%
Scored 1+ rate
82.6%
67.5%
Scored 2+ rate
52.2%
47.5%
Scored 3+ rate
34.8%
2.55
Venue Goals Mean
2.08
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.95
Goals against per game
1.87
77.5%
Conceding rate
71.7%
2.10
Goals against per game
2.27
80.0%
Conceding rate
73.1%
2.50
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
40
History Matches
46
1.95
Conceded Mean
1.87
1.60
Conceded Std
1.85
55.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
35.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.4%
2.10
Venue Conceded Mean
2.27
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
22.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
7.5%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
22.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
7.5%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
22.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
40
History Matches
46
0.82
Result entropy
0.90
2.83
Goal Difference Std
3.08
18.16
Stability score
9.76
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
40
Eligible Matches
46
17
Lead Matches
19
88.2%
Lead Win Rate
94.7%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.96
15
Trailing Matches
15
13.3%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
1.23
First Half Goals For Mean
1.02
0.98
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
1.38
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.13
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
76.08
Rest days
76.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
17
Normal Rest History Matches
20
2.06
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.70
21
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.63
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
0.25
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.25
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.25
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.79
Portability PPG Std
0.26
1.83
Portability PPG Range
0.67
38.85
Portability Score
65.95
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
40
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-60.65
PPG-0.07
GF0.45
GA0.08
PPG-1.25
PPG0.12
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.45
Goals Std0.02
Scored 1+ rate9.9%
Scored 2+ rate15.3%
Scored 3+ rate12.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.47
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std1.90
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.08
Conceded Std-0.25
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate5.0%
Conceded 3+ rate4.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.06
History Matches-6
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.24
Stability score8.40
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.91
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.25
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.53
Portability PPG Range1.16
Portability Score-27.09
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.36
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Current Team ELO-60.65
Current Opponent ELO60.65
Current ELO Difference-121.3
Expected score-0.17
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.74
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
L
Hertha BSC U194–1Carl Zeiss Jena U191 Nov · away
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 57% · hit L
Eintracht Braunsch U193–0Carl Zeiss Jena U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Carl Zeiss Jena U19 47% · missed L
Carl Zeiss Jena U190–3Union Berlin U1918 Oct · home
Pick: Union Berlin U19 47% · hit L
Bayer Leverkusen U196–0Carl Zeiss Jena U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Bayer Leverkusen U19 45% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Energie Cottbus U19
D
Energie Cottbus U193–3Hallescher FC U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Energie Cottbus U19 61% · missed L
Union Berlin U194–3Energie Cottbus U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Energie Cottbus U19 42% · missed L
MSV Duisburg U193–0Energie Cottbus U1930 Aug · away
Pick: MSV Duisburg U19 45% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 and Energie Cottbus U19 finished 2–4 in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026. It was 0–2 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC, before kickoff: Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win 29.6%, draw 17.5%, Energie Cottbus U19 win 52.9%. All three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.