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U19 Bundesliga Germany Preliminary 2026

Chemnitzer FC U19 vs Hallescher FC U19

Chemnitzer FC U19 Home · Elo 1,508
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hallescher FC U19 Away · Elo 1,457
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Chemnitzer FC U19 win
Chemnitzer FC U19 winPick
55.1%
Draw
18.3%
Hallescher FC U19 win
26.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.0%
No35.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.9%
Under 2.522.1%

How much we know

Chemnitzer FC U19 history39 matches
Hallescher FC U19 history41 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.1%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Chemnitzer FC U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Chemnitzer FC U19 are rated 50 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,508 against 1,457. On rating alone Chemnitzer FC U19 would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.03 goals a game over 39 matches for Chemnitzer FC U19, against 1.88 over 41 for Hallescher FC U19.

  • Chemnitzer FC U19 concede fewer

    Chemnitzer FC U19 concede 1.90 a game, Hallescher FC U19 2.51.

  • Hallescher FC U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    72% of Chemnitzer FC U19 matches, against 80% for Hallescher FC U19. The model puts this match at 78% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Chemnitzer FC U19
Hallescher FC U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1507.6
ELO
1457.4
39
ELO · Matches
41
1507.6
Current Team ELO
1457.4
1457.4
Current Opponent ELO
1507.6
50.18
Current ELO Difference
-50.18
0.57
Expected score
0.43
39
History Matches
41
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.06
50.90
Overperformance
45.90
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.20
3.80
Goals for per game
1.80
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.00
3.30
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
3.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
2.41
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.49
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.18
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.77
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.11
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
41
1.33
PPG
1.10
41.0%
Win rate
31.7%
10.3%
Draw rate
14.6%
48.7%
Loss rate
53.7%
89.7%
Over 1.5 rate
92.7%
71.8%
Over 2.5 rate
80.5%
56.4%
Over 3.5 rate
61.0%
2.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.10
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
23
1.05
PPG
1.04
30.0%
Win rate
26.1%
15.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
55.0%
Loss rate
47.8%
85.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
73.9%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
65.2%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.66
20
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.03
Goals for per game
1.88
74.4%
Scoring rate
75.6%
56.4%
BTTS rate
65.9%
1.60
Goals for per game
1.52
65.0%
Scoring rate
78.3%
55.0%
BTTS rate
69.6%
4.00
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
39
History Matches
41
2.03
Goals Mean
1.88
1.75
Goals Std
1.89
74.4%
Scored 1+ rate
75.6%
64.1%
Scored 2+ rate
46.3%
30.8%
Scored 3+ rate
24.4%
1.60
Venue Goals Mean
1.52
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.90
Goals against per game
2.51
79.5%
Conceding rate
87.8%
1.75
Goals against per game
2.70
85.0%
Conceding rate
87.0%
3.00
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
39
History Matches
41
1.90
Conceded Mean
2.51
1.32
Conceded Std
1.84
64.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
70.7%
33.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
39.0%
1.75
Venue Conceded Mean
2.70
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
25.6%
Failed-to-score rate
24.4%
15.0%
Clean-sheet rate
13.0%
35.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
25.6%
Failed-to-score rate
24.4%
15.0%
Clean-sheet rate
13.0%
35.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
41
0.86
Result entropy
0.89
2.34
Goal Difference Std
3.10
13.58
Stability score
10.84
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
39
Eligible Matches
41
11
Lead Matches
15
90.9%
Lead Win Rate
73.3%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.78
14
Trailing Matches
17
21.4%
Non-loss rate
17.6%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
5.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
39
Halftime Coverage Matches
41
0.85
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.85
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.07
1.18
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
1.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.44
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
90.96
Rest days
83.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
17
1.26
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.53
19
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.73
Competition & season17 signals
170
1
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
2.00
100.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
1
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
5
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.33
Portability PPG Std
0.44
0.67
Portability PPG Range
1.08
60.00
Portability Score
52.91
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
41
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO50.18
PPG0.24
GF0.15
GA-0.61
PPG1.00
PPG0.01
PPG0.80
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate8.3%
Failed-to-score rate1.3%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate2.0%
Failed-to-score rate13.3%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.15
Goals Std-0.14
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate17.8%
Scored 3+ rate6.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.70
Recent 10 Goals Std1.92
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.61
Conceded Std-0.52
Clean-sheet rate8.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.95
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.10
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.75
Stability score2.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.66
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate17.6%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate3.8%
Trailing Win Rate1.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.30
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.39
Current Competition Matches-2
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.11
Portability PPG Range-0.41
Portability Score7.09
Rest days7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.27
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.75
Current Team ELO50.18
Current Opponent ELO-50.18
Current ELO Difference100.4
Expected score0.14
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance5.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.21

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Chemnitzer FC U19

L
Hertha BSC U195–1Chemnitzer FC U197 Nov · away
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 54% · hit
D
Chemnitzer FC U192–2Eintracht Braunsch U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Chemnitzer FC U19 67% · missed
L
Chemnitzer FC U190–5Hertha BSC U1927 Oct · home
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 54% · hit
L
Babelsberg U192–1Chemnitzer FC U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Chemnitzer FC U19 50% · missed
L
Chemnitzer FC U190–2Borussia M'bach U1930 Aug · home
Pick: Chemnitzer FC U19 47% · missed

Hallescher FC U19

L
Hallescher FC U192–4Union Berlin U197 Nov · home
Pick: Union Berlin U19 47% · hit
W
Hallescher FC U193–1Hertha BSC U194 Nov · home
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 56% · missed
D
Energie Cottbus U193–3Hallescher FC U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Energie Cottbus U19 61% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Chemnitzer FC U19 and Hallescher FC U19 meet in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Chemnitzer FC U19 win 55.1%, draw 18.3%, Hallescher FC U19 win 26.6%. The pick is Chemnitzer FC U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.9%. Both teams to score: 65.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.