ScoreProb
Reserve League Argentina Round 17 2026

Colón Res. vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Colón Res. Home · Elo 1,441
Thu 12 Nov
UTC
Not started
Central Córdoba SdE Res. Away · Elo 1,420
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Colón Res. win
Colón Res. winPick
41.9%
Draw
30.5%
Central Córdoba SdE Res. win
27.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.8%
No51.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%

How much we know

Colón Res. history38 matches
Central Córdoba SdE Res. history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    6 Nov · 08:47 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    12 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,392 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,699
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,277
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,777
60–69% Won 63.7% · said 64.4% · n 1,884
70–79% Won 76.4% · said 73.9% · n 589
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.4% · n 166
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.9%). Picks in that band won 45.5% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,277 matches.

Why Colón Res. are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,441 against 1,420. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Central Córdoba SdE Res. score more

    0.82 goals a game over 38 matches for Colón Res., against 0.92 over 49 for Central Córdoba SdE Res..

  • Colón Res. concede fewer

    Colón Res. concede 1.24 a game, Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1.61.

  • Central Córdoba SdE Res. games more often go over 2.5 goals

    34% of Colón Res. matches, against 45% for Central Córdoba SdE Res.. The model puts this match at 43% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 14 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Colón Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1440.8
ELO
1419.6
38
ELO · Matches
49
1440.8
Current Team ELO
1419.6
1419.6
Current Opponent ELO
1440.8
21.16
Current ELO Difference
-21.16
0.53
Expected score
0.47
38
History Matches
49
-0.08
Residual Mean
-0.09
44.92
Overperformance
43.73
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.40
0.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.10
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.10
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.30
Overall performance9 signals
90
38
Matches
49
1.00
PPG
0.90
23.7%
Win rate
22.4%
28.9%
Draw rate
22.4%
47.4%
Loss rate
55.1%
63.2%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
34.2%
Over 2.5 rate
44.9%
13.2%
Over 3.5 rate
24.5%
1.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.55
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
27
1.05
PPG
0.67
21.1%
Win rate
14.8%
42.1%
Draw rate
22.2%
36.8%
Loss rate
63.0%
57.9%
Over 1.5 rate
74.1%
31.6%
Over 2.5 rate
44.4%
15.8%
Over 3.5 rate
25.9%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
19
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.82
Goals for per game
0.92
57.9%
Scoring rate
61.2%
44.7%
BTTS rate
53.1%
0.79
Goals for per game
0.81
52.6%
Scoring rate
59.3%
42.1%
BTTS rate
51.9%
0.82
Goals for per game
1.05
54.5%
Scoring rate
65.0%
45.5%
BTTS rate
55.0%
38
History Matches
49
0.82
Goals Mean
0.92
0.88
Goals Std
0.97
57.9%
Scored 1+ rate
61.2%
15.8%
Scored 2+ rate
20.4%
7.9%
Scored 3+ rate
8.2%
0.79
Venue Goals Mean
0.81
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.24
Goals against per game
1.61
78.9%
Conceding rate
87.8%
1.11
Goals against per game
1.74
73.7%
Conceding rate
88.9%
1.32
Goals against per game
1.60
86.4%
Conceding rate
85.0%
38
History Matches
49
1.24
Conceded Mean
1.61
0.90
Conceded Std
1.17
34.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.9%
10.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.4%
1.11
Venue Conceded Mean
1.74
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
42.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.8%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
47.4%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
45.5%
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
42.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.8%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
47.4%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
38
History Matches
49
0.96
Result entropy
0.91
1.31
Goal Difference Std
1.55
4.07
Stability score
9.05
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
38
Eligible Matches
49
6
Lead Matches
7
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.86
15
Trailing Matches
21
26.7%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
13.3%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.34
First Half Goals For Mean
0.47
0.61
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
0.47
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
93.00
Rest days
90.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
23
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.96
14
Long Rest History Matches
25
0.79
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.76
Competition & season17 signals
170
22
Matches
20
0.91
PPG
1.00
22.7%
Win rate
25.0%
22.7%
Draw rate
25.0%
54.5%
Loss rate
50.0%
63.6%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
36.4%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
18.2%
Over 3.5 rate
35.0%
1.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
22
Current Competition Matches
20
0.91
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.55
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.11
Portability PPG Std
0.09
0.22
Portability PPG Range
0.17
82.24
Portability Score
85.29
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
38
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO21.16
PPG0.10
GF-0.10
GA-0.38
PPG-0.09
PPG0.39
PPG0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Failed-to-score rate3.3%
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate15.2%
Failed-to-score rate6.6%
History Matches-11
Goals Mean-0.10
Goals Std-0.08
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate0.00
Venue Goals Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.00
History Matches-11
Conceded Mean-0.38
Conceded Std-0.27
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.09
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.64
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.34
History Matches-11
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.24
Stability score-4.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.05
Eligible Matches-11
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate3.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Current Competition Matches2
Current Competition PPG-0.09
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.05
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.02
Portability PPG Range0.04
Portability Score-3.05
Rest days2.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.22
Long Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest Points Per Match0.03
Current Team ELO21.16
Current Opponent ELO-21.16
Current ELO Difference42.32
Expected score0.06
History Matches-11
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance1.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Colón Res.

D
Huracán Res.1–1Colón Res.5 Nov · away
Pick: Huracán Res. 52% · missed
W
Colón Res.3–1San Martín San Juan Res.28 Oct · home
Pick: Colón Res. 58% · hit
W
Ferro 20–1Colón Res.21 Oct · away
Pick: Ferro 2 41% · missed
L
Colón Res.1–4Independiente Riva. Res.14 Oct · home
Pick: Colón Res. 37% · missed
L
Boca Juniors Res.1–0Colón Res.8 Oct · away
Pick: Boca Juniors Res. 77% · hit

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

L
San Martín San Juan Res.1–0Central Córdoba SdE Res.4 Nov · away
Pick: Central Córdoba SdE Res. 43% · missed
L
Central Córdoba SdE Res.0–1Independiente Riva. Res.28 Oct · home
Pick: Central Córdoba SdE Res. 37% · missed
L
Deportivo Riestra Res.3–1Central Córdoba SdE Res.22 Oct · away
Pick: Deportivo Riestra Res. 52% · hit
L
Central Córdoba SdE Res.1–2Belgrano Córdoba Res.15 Oct · home
Pick: Belgrano Córdoba Res. 40% · hit
L
Lanús Res.3–0Central Córdoba SdE Res.8 Oct · away
Pick: Lanús Res. 60% · hit

About this match

Colón Res. and Central Córdoba SdE Res. meet in Reserve League on Thursday 12 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC: Colón Res. win 41.9%, draw 30.5%, Central Córdoba SdE Res. win 27.6%. The pick is Colón Res. win. Over 2.5 goals: 43.3%. Both teams to score: 48.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.