ScoreProb
Liga 1 Feminin Romania Round 11 2026

Csikszereda MC W vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W

Csikszereda MC W Home · Elo 1,569
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
FC Rapid Bucuresti W Away · Elo 1,495
Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Csikszereda MC W win
Csikszereda MC W winPick
80.1%
Draw
14.4%
FC Rapid Bucuresti W win
5.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.585.9%
Under 2.514.1%

How much we know

Csikszereda MC W history26 matches
FC Rapid Bucuresti W history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (80.1%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Csikszereda MC W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Csikszereda MC W are rated 74 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,569 against 1,495. On rating alone Csikszereda MC W would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Csikszereda MC W score far more

    2.31 goals a game over 26 matches for Csikszereda MC W, against 1.00 over 1 for FC Rapid Bucuresti W.

  • Csikszereda MC W concede fewer

    Csikszereda MC W concede 1.12 a game, FC Rapid Bucuresti W 7.00.

  • FC Rapid Bucuresti W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Csikszereda MC W matches, against 100% for FC Rapid Bucuresti W. The model puts this match at 86% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Csikszereda MC W
FC Rapid Bucuresti W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1568.7
ELO
1494.9
26
ELO · Matches
1
1568.7
Current Team ELO
1494.9
1494.9
Current Opponent ELO
1568.7
73.85
Current ELO Difference
-73.85
0.60
Expected score
0.40
26
History Matches
1
0.12
Residual Mean
-0.34
56.58
Overperformance
48.40
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.34
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
1
1.40
PPG
0.00
1.60
Goals for per game
1.00
2.00
Goals against per game
7.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
1
1.70
PPG
0.00
1.70
Goals for per game
1.00
1.60
Goals against per game
7.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
7.00
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals
90
26
Matches
1
1.85
PPG
0.00
53.8%
Win rate
0.0%
23.1%
Draw rate
0.0%
23.1%
Loss rate
100.0%
80.8%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
65.4%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals
100
11
Matches
1
2.36
PPG
0.00
72.7%
Win rate
0.0%
18.2%
Draw rate
0.0%
9.1%
Loss rate
100.0%
90.9%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
72.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
54.5%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
3.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
11
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.31
Goals for per game
1.00
80.8%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.27
Goals for per game
1.00
81.8%
Scoring rate
100.0%
36.4%
BTTS rate
100.0%
4.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
26
History Matches
1
2.31
Goals Mean
1.00
2.43
Goals Std
—
80.8%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
53.8%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
34.6%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
3.27
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.12
Goals against per game
7.00
57.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.82
Goals against per game
7.00
45.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
7.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
26
History Matches
1
1.12
Conceded Mean
7.00
1.19
Conceded Std
—
34.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
15.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
100.0%
0.82
Venue Conceded Mean
7.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
54.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
54.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
26
History Matches
1
0.92
Result entropy
0.00
2.96
Goal Difference Std
—
8.06
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
20
Eligible Matches
0
6
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
9
Trailing Matches
0
33.3%
Non-loss rate
—
22.2%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
20
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.70
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
1.45
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
76.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
8
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.75
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
16
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.88
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-6.00
4
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.18
Portability PPG Std
—
0.35
Portability PPG Range
—
73.91
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
26
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO73.85
PPG1.85
GF1.31
GA-5.88
PPG3.00
PPG2.36
PPG1.40
PPG1.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches25
Clean-sheet rate42.3%
Failed-to-score rate19.2%
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate54.5%
Failed-to-score rate18.2%
History Matches25
Goals Mean1.31
Scored 1+ rate-0.19
Scored 2+ rate53.8%
Scored 3+ rate34.6%
Venue Goals Mean2.27
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
History Matches25
Conceded Mean-5.88
Clean-sheet rate42.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.65
Conceded 3+ rate-0.85
Venue Conceded Mean-6.18
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-5.40
History Matches25
Result entropy0.92
Stability score-91.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.94
Eligible Matches20
Lead Matches6
Trailing Matches9
Halftime Coverage Matches20
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean8.00
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches8
Long Rest History Matches16
Current Team ELO73.85
Current Opponent ELO-73.85
Current ELO Difference147.7
Expected score0.21
History Matches25
Residual Mean0.45
Overperformance8.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.40

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Csikszereda MC W

W
Csikszereda MC W5–0Olimpia Cluj W31 Oct · home
Pick: Olimpia Cluj W 41% · missed
W
Univ. Craiova W0–2Csikszereda MC W25 Oct · away
Pick: Csikszereda MC W 68% · hit
W
Csikszereda MC W2–1Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W21 Oct · home
Pick: Csikszereda MC W 56% · hit
W
Csikszereda MC W11–1Univ. Craiova W30 Aug · home
Pick: Csikszereda MC W 84% · hit
L
Breidablik W8–1Csikszereda MC W26 Aug · away
Pick: Breidablik W 47% · hit

FC Rapid Bucuresti W

W
FC Rapid Bucuresti W1–0Vasas Femina W1 Nov · home
Pick: FC Rapid Bucuresti W 69% · hit
W
Olimpia Cluj W1–3FC Rapid Bucuresti W25 Oct · away
Pick: Olimpia Cluj W 83% · missed
L
FC Rapid Bucuresti W1–3Farul Constanţa W21 Oct · home
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 78% · hit
W
Univ. Craiova W0–4FC Rapid Bucuresti W4 Oct · away
Pick: Univ. Craiova W 65% · missed
L
FC Rapid Bucuresti W1–6Olimpia Cluj W30 Aug · home
Pick: Olimpia Cluj W 43% · hit

About this match

Csikszereda MC W and FC Rapid Bucuresti W meet in Liga 1 Feminin on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Csikszereda MC W win 80.1%, draw 14.4%, FC Rapid Bucuresti W win 5.5%. The pick is Csikszereda MC W win. Over 2.5 goals: 85.9%. Both teams to score: 46.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.