Czechia U18 vs Poland U18
Match result probability Model pick: Czechia U18 win
Czechia U18 winPick
52.7%
Draw
26.4%
Poland U18 win
20.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes47.7%
No52.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
How much we know
Czechia U18 history2 matches
Poland U18 history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Czechia U18
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 10:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre13 Nov · 11:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.7%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,845 matches.
Why Czechia U18 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,496 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Poland U18@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1495.9
ELO
1500.0
2
ELO · Matches
0
1495.9
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1495.9
-4.15
Current ELO Difference
4.15
0.49
Expected score
0.51
2
History Matches
0
-0.01
Residual Mean
—
49.89
Overperformance
—
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
—
Recent form16 signals 160
2
Matches
0
1.50
PPG
—
1.50
Goals for per game
—
0.50
Goals against per game
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
2
Matches
0
1.50
PPG
—
1.50
Goals for per game
—
0.50
Goals against per game
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
—
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
—
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
—
2.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals 90
2
Matches
0
1.50
PPG
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
50.0%
Loss rate
—
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals 100
2
Matches
0
1.50
PPG
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
50.0%
Loss rate
—
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.50
Goals for per game
—
50.0%
Scoring rate
—
0.0%
BTTS rate
—
1.50
Goals for per game
—
50.0%
Scoring rate
—
0.0%
BTTS rate
—
1.50
Goals for per game
—
50.0%
Scoring rate
—
0.0%
BTTS rate
—
2
History Matches
0
1.50
Goals Mean
—
1.50
Goals Std
—
50.0%
Scored 1+ rate
—
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
—
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
—
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.50
Goals against per game
—
50.0%
Conceding rate
—
0.50
Goals against per game
—
50.0%
Conceding rate
—
0.50
Goals against per game
—
50.0%
Conceding rate
—
2
History Matches
0
0.50
Conceded Mean
—
0.50
Conceded Std
—
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
—
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
—
0.50
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
2
History Matches
0
0.63
Result entropy
—
2.00
Goal Difference Std
—
36.91
Stability score
—
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
2
Eligible Matches
0
1
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
1
Trailing Matches
0
0.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals 50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Normal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
160.1
Rest days
—
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
0
1.50
PPG
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
50.0%
Loss rate
—
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
Current Competition Matches
0
1.50
Current Competition PPG
—
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
—
1
Competition Season Count
0
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
2
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-4.15
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
History Matches2
History Matches2
History Matches2
History Matches2
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches1
Trailing Matches1
Halftime Coverage Matches2
Current Competition Matches2
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO-4.15
Current Opponent ELO4.15
Current ELO Difference-8.30
Expected score-0.01
History Matches2
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Czechia U18
No earlier results with our pick yet
Poland U18
No earlier results with our pick yet
About this match
Czechia U18 and Poland U18 meet in Friendlies on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Czechia U18 win 52.7%, draw 26.4%, Poland U18 win 20.9%. The pick is Czechia U18 win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.0%. Both teams to score: 47.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.