Singapore vs Paraguay
Match result probability Model pick: Singapore win
Singapore winPick
51.0%
Draw
24.5%
Paraguay win
24.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes51.0%
No49.0%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
How much we know
Singapore history19 matches
Paraguay history13 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Singapore
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre13 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.0%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,845 matches.
Why Singapore are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,535 against 1,512. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Singapore score more
1.47 goals a game over 19 matches for Singapore, against 1.15 over 13 for Paraguay.
-
Singapore concede fewer
Singapore concede 1.05 a game, Paraguay 1.23.
-
Singapore games more often go over 2.5 goals
58% of Singapore matches, against 46% for Paraguay. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 19 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Paraguay@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1535.4
ELO
1512.5
19
ELO · Matches
13
1535.4
Current Team ELO
1512.5
1512.5
Current Opponent ELO
1535.4
22.91
Current ELO Difference
-22.91
0.53
Expected score
0.47
19
History Matches
13
0.11
Residual Mean
0.00
55.25
Overperformance
50.02
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.00
1.20
Goals for per game
0.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.10
0.90
Goals against per game
1.10
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.84
Overall performance9 signals 90
19
Matches
13
1.68
PPG
1.23
47.4%
Win rate
30.8%
26.3%
Draw rate
30.8%
26.3%
Loss rate
38.5%
78.9%
Over 1.5 rate
61.5%
57.9%
Over 2.5 rate
46.2%
21.1%
Over 3.5 rate
30.8%
1.35
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
Venue performance10 signals 100
11
Matches
10
1.45
PPG
1.20
36.4%
Win rate
30.0%
36.4%
Draw rate
30.0%
27.3%
Loss rate
40.0%
72.7%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
36.4%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.28
11
History Matches
10
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.47
Goals for per game
1.15
84.2%
Scoring rate
69.2%
68.4%
BTTS rate
46.2%
1.36
Goals for per game
1.10
81.8%
Scoring rate
80.0%
54.5%
BTTS rate
60.0%
2.50
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
19
History Matches
13
1.47
Goals Mean
1.15
0.99
Goals Std
1.10
84.2%
Scored 1+ rate
69.2%
47.4%
Scored 2+ rate
30.8%
10.5%
Scored 3+ rate
7.7%
1.36
Venue Goals Mean
1.10
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.05
Goals against per game
1.23
73.7%
Conceding rate
69.2%
0.91
Goals against per game
1.50
63.6%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.67
50.0%
Conceding rate
33.3%
19
History Matches
13
1.05
Conceded Mean
1.23
0.89
Conceded Std
1.12
21.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.5%
10.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
7.7%
0.91
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
19
History Matches
13
0.96
Result entropy
0.99
1.35
Goal Difference Std
1.64
3.83
Stability score
0.53
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
18
Eligible Matches
13
8
Lead Matches
3
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.78
5
Trailing Matches
4
20.0%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
18
Halftime Coverage Matches
13
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
0.78
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.56
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
86.96
Rest days
131.6
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
8
Normal Rest History Matches
5
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.40
8
Long Rest History Matches
7
1.63
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.86
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
3
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
2
Current Competition Matches
3
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.33
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.64
Portability PPG Std
0.42
1.53
Portability PPG Range
1.00
43.92
Portability Score
54.60
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
19
Clean History Matches
13
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO22.91
PPG0.45
GF0.32
GA-0.18
PPG-0.50
PPG0.25
PPG0.60
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate16.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches6
Goals Mean0.32
Goals Std-0.11
Scored 1+ rate15.0%
Scored 2+ rate16.6%
Scored 3+ rate2.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.26
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.12
History Matches6
Conceded Mean-0.18
Conceded Std-0.23
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate-0.17
Conceded 3+ rate2.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.59
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.28
History Matches6
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.29
Stability score3.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.29
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate20.8%
Lead Points Retention0.14
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate20.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.17
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.22
Portability PPG Range0.53
Portability Score-10.68
Rest days-44.67
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.23
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.23
Current Team ELO22.91
Current Opponent ELO-22.91
Current ELO Difference45.82
Expected score0.07
History Matches6
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance5.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
About this match
Singapore and Paraguay meet in Friendlies on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at National Stadium, Kallang. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Singapore win 51.0%, draw 24.5%, Paraguay win 24.6%. The pick is Singapore win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.5%. Both teams to score: 51.0%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.