ScoreProb
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Panama Round 15 2026

Deportivo Universitario vs Veraguas

Deportivo Universitario Home · Elo 1,453
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Veraguas Away · Elo 1,531
Universidad Latina de Panama Field, Penonome Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Veraguas win
Deportivo Universitario win
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Veraguas winPick
42.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.2%
No46.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%

How much we know

Deportivo Universitario history37 matches
Veraguas history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 3 d 13 h ahead
    4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 21:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Veraguas are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Veraguas are rated 78 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,531 against 1,453. On rating alone Veraguas would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Veraguas score more

    1.11 goals a game over 37 matches for Deportivo Universitario, against 1.38 over 40 for Veraguas.

  • Veraguas concede fewer

    Deportivo Universitario concede 1.43 a game, Veraguas 1.28.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    43% of Deportivo Universitario matches, against 48% for Veraguas. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Deportivo Universitario
Veraguas@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1453.0
ELO
1530.6
37
ELO · Matches
40
1453.0
Current Team ELO
1530.6
1530.6
Current Opponent ELO
1453.0
-77.60
Current ELO Difference
77.60
0.39
Expected score
0.61
37
History Matches
40
-0.10
Residual Mean
0.03
43.77
Overperformance
52.25
-0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.80
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.30
1.80
Goals against per game
0.90
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.49
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
40
1.03
PPG
1.45
21.6%
Win rate
37.5%
37.8%
Draw rate
32.5%
40.5%
Loss rate
30.0%
70.3%
Over 1.5 rate
67.5%
43.2%
Over 2.5 rate
47.5%
27.0%
Over 3.5 rate
32.5%
1.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
Venue performance10 signals
100
12
Matches
21
0.75
PPG
1.24
8.3%
Win rate
33.3%
50.0%
Draw rate
23.8%
41.7%
Loss rate
42.9%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
41.7%
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
38.1%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.68
12
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.11
Goals for per game
1.38
70.3%
Scoring rate
72.5%
56.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.19
83.3%
Scoring rate
61.9%
75.0%
BTTS rate
42.9%
1.21
Goals for per game
1.55
73.7%
Scoring rate
85.0%
63.2%
BTTS rate
60.0%
37
History Matches
40
1.11
Goals Mean
1.38
0.92
Goals Std
1.20
70.3%
Scored 1+ rate
72.5%
32.4%
Scored 2+ rate
42.5%
8.1%
Scored 3+ rate
15.0%
1.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.43
Goals against per game
1.28
75.7%
Conceding rate
70.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.57
91.7%
Conceding rate
76.2%
1.63
Goals against per game
1.20
84.2%
Conceding rate
70.0%
37
History Matches
40
1.43
Conceded Mean
1.28
1.22
Conceded Std
1.22
40.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
32.5%
18.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.5%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
29.7%
Failed-to-score rate
27.5%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
15.0%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
29.7%
Failed-to-score rate
27.5%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
40
0.97
Result entropy
1.00
1.23
Goal Difference Std
1.64
3.07
Stability score
0.39
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
37
Eligible Matches
39
9
Lead Matches
14
44.4%
Lead Win Rate
64.3%
0.59
Lead Points Retention
0.76
10
Trailing Matches
10
10.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
37
Halftime Coverage Matches
39
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
0.57
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.00
Rest days
76.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
10
Normal Rest History Matches
16
0.40
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
25
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.32
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.48
Competition & season17 signals
170
19
Matches
20
0.84
PPG
1.60
15.8%
Win rate
40.0%
36.8%
Draw rate
40.0%
47.4%
Loss rate
20.0%
73.7%
Over 1.5 rate
65.0%
42.1%
Over 2.5 rate
45.0%
26.3%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.35
19
Current Competition Matches
20
0.84
Current Competition PPG
1.60
-0.42
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.35
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.15
0.38
Portability PPG Range
0.30
72.46
Portability Score
76.92
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-77.60
PPG-0.42
GF-0.27
GA0.16
PPG-0.76
PPG-0.49
PPG-0.80
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate2.2%
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.27
Goals Std-0.27
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.14
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.03
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.16
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate8.0%
Conceded 3+ rate1.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.46
History Matches-3
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.41
Stability score2.68
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.87
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.20
Lead Points Retention-0.17
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.10
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.76
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.77
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.04
Portability PPG Range0.08
Portability Score-4.47
Rest days-0.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.10
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.16
Current Team ELO-77.60
Current Opponent ELO77.60
Current ELO Difference-155.2
Expected score-0.22
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-8.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.35

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Deportivo Universitario

L
Deportivo Universitario0–1Independiente de La Chorrera24 Oct · home
Pick: Independiente de La Chorrera 44% · hit
L
Plaza Amador2–1Deportivo Universitario4 Oct · away
Pick: Plaza Amador 72% · hit
D
Deportivo Universitario0–0CD Arabe Unido29 Aug · home
Pick: Deportivo Universitario 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Veraguas

W
Veraguas3–0Union Cocle27 Oct · home
Pick: Veraguas 49% · hit
D
UMECIT1–1Veraguas1 Sep · away
Pick: UMECIT 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Deportivo Universitario and Veraguas meet in Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 21:00 UTC. The match is played at Universidad Latina de Panama Field, Penonome. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC: Deportivo Universitario win 33.5%, draw 23.9%, Veraguas win 42.6%. The pick is Veraguas win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.9%. Both teams to score: 53.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.