ScoreProb
Second League North Macedonia Round 11 2026

Detonit Plachkovica vs Akademija Pandev

Detonit Plachkovica Home · Elo 1,528
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Akademija Pandev Away · Elo 1,474
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Detonit Plachkovica win
Detonit Plachkovica winPick
46.8%
Draw
24.8%
Akademija Pandev win
28.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.4%
No49.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%

How much we know

Detonit Plachkovica history56 matches
Akademija Pandev history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Detonit Plachkovica are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Detonit Plachkovica are rated 53 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,528 against 1,474. On rating alone Detonit Plachkovica would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Detonit Plachkovica score more

    1.55 goals a game over 56 matches for Detonit Plachkovica, against 1.19 over 63 for Akademija Pandev.

  • Detonit Plachkovica concede fewer

    Detonit Plachkovica concede 1.04 a game, Akademija Pandev 1.59.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    46% of Detonit Plachkovica matches, against 49% for Akademija Pandev. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Detonit Plachkovica
Akademija Pandev@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1527.7
ELO
1474.3
56
ELO · Matches
63
1527.7
Current Team ELO
1474.3
1474.3
Current Opponent ELO
1527.7
53.44
Current ELO Difference
-53.44
0.58
Expected score
0.42
56
History Matches
63
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.03
51.37
Overperformance
47.41
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.40
0.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.60
Goals against per game
0.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.10
1.10
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.10
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.78
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.48
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.47
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
63
1.46
PPG
1.08
39.3%
Win rate
25.4%
28.6%
Draw rate
31.7%
32.1%
Loss rate
42.9%
60.7%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
46.4%
Over 2.5 rate
49.2%
33.9%
Over 3.5 rate
27.0%
1.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
37
1.31
PPG
1.05
34.6%
Win rate
24.3%
26.9%
Draw rate
32.4%
38.5%
Loss rate
43.2%
61.5%
Over 1.5 rate
75.7%
42.3%
Over 2.5 rate
51.4%
26.9%
Over 3.5 rate
24.3%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
26
History Matches
37
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.55
Goals for per game
1.19
66.1%
Scoring rate
65.1%
42.9%
BTTS rate
54.0%
1.27
Goals for per game
1.03
61.5%
Scoring rate
62.2%
46.2%
BTTS rate
51.4%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
56
History Matches
63
1.55
Goals Mean
1.19
1.62
Goals Std
1.26
66.1%
Scored 1+ rate
65.1%
42.9%
Scored 2+ rate
31.7%
23.2%
Scored 3+ rate
12.7%
1.27
Venue Goals Mean
1.03
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.04
Goals against per game
1.59
62.5%
Conceding rate
79.4%
1.15
Goals against per game
1.59
73.1%
Conceding rate
75.7%
0.00
Goals against per game
0.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
56
History Matches
63
1.04
Conceded Mean
1.59
1.12
Conceded Std
1.30
25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.0%
10.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.6%
1.15
Venue Conceded Mean
1.59
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.6%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
38.5%
Failed-to-score rate
37.8%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.6%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
38.5%
Failed-to-score rate
37.8%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
63
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.99
Goal Difference Std
1.80
0.80
Stability score
2.11
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
61
16
Lead Matches
18
68.8%
Lead Win Rate
61.1%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.74
9
Trailing Matches
18
22.2%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.88
Rest days
76.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
5
2.29
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.80
30
Normal Rest History Matches
40
1.37
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
18
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.39
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.24
Competition & season17 signals
170
1
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
2.00
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
1
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
7
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.27
Portability PPG Std
0.33
0.73
Portability PPG Range
0.90
65.14
Portability Score
60.32
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO53.44
PPG0.38
GF0.36
GA-0.55
PPG1.00
PPG0.25
PPG-0.20
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate16.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate2.6%
Failed-to-score rate0.6%
History Matches-7
Goals Mean0.36
Goals Std0.37
Scored 1+ rate1.0%
Scored 2+ rate11.1%
Scored 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.24
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.64
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean-0.55
Conceded Std-0.19
Clean-sheet rate16.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.21
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches-7
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.20
Stability score-1.31
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.35
Eligible Matches-13
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate7.6%
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate5.6%
Trailing Win Rate5.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches-13
First Half Goals For Mean0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.28
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.06
Portability PPG Range-0.17
Portability Score4.82
Rest days6.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.49
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.37
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.15
Current Team ELO53.44
Current Opponent ELO-53.44
Current ELO Difference106.9
Expected score0.15
History Matches-7
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.97
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Detonit Plachkovica

L
Pelister6–1Detonit Plachkovica1 Nov · away
Pick: Detonit Plachkovica 44% · missed
D
Detonit Plachkovica0–0Gorno Lisiče24 Oct · home
Pick: Detonit Plachkovica 67% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Akademija Pandev

L
Osogovo3–1Akademija Pandev24 Oct · away
Pick: Akademija Pandev 45% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Detonit Plachkovica and Akademija Pandev meet in Second League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Detonit Plachkovica win 46.8%, draw 24.8%, Akademija Pandev win 28.4%. The pick is Detonit Plachkovica win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.4%. Both teams to score: 50.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.