Didcot Town vs Slough Town
Match result probability Model pick: Slough Town win
Didcot Town win
31.9%
Draw
24.8%
Slough Town winPick
43.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.0%
No45.0%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.563.7%
Under 2.536.3%
How much we know
Didcot Town history53 matches
Slough Town history81 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Slough Town
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 14:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.3%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Slough Town are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Didcot Town are rated 47 Elo points higher
Elo 1,489 against 1,442. On rating alone Didcot Town would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.
-
Slough Town score more
1.34 goals a game over 53 matches for Didcot Town, against 1.51 over 81 for Slough Town.
-
Didcot Town concede fewer
Didcot Town concede 1.53 a game, Slough Town 1.88.
-
Slough Town games more often go over 2.5 goals
49% of Didcot Town matches, against 62% for Slough Town. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slough Town@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1489.0
ELO
1442.1
53
ELO · Matches
81
1489.0
Current Team ELO
1442.1
1442.1
Current Opponent ELO
1489.0
46.93
Current ELO Difference
-46.93
0.57
Expected score
0.43
53
History Matches
81
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.03
49.19
Overperformance
47.25
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.25
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.60
0.60
Goals for per game
1.60
0.60
Goals against per game
2.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.60
1.30
Goals for per game
1.70
1.30
Goals against per game
3.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.42
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.40
1.73
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.67
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals 90
53
Matches
81
1.30
PPG
1.22
35.8%
Win rate
34.6%
22.6%
Draw rate
18.5%
41.5%
Loss rate
46.9%
79.2%
Over 1.5 rate
85.2%
49.1%
Over 2.5 rate
61.7%
24.5%
Over 3.5 rate
42.0%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.87
Venue performance10 signals 100
26
Matches
40
1.69
PPG
0.98
46.2%
Win rate
27.5%
30.8%
Draw rate
15.0%
23.1%
Loss rate
57.5%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
30.8%
Over 3.5 rate
42.5%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
26
History Matches
40
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.34
Goals for per game
1.51
71.7%
Scoring rate
80.2%
47.2%
BTTS rate
65.4%
1.58
Goals for per game
1.33
76.9%
Scoring rate
70.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
65.0%
53
History Matches
81
1.34
Goals Mean
1.51
1.16
Goals Std
1.15
71.7%
Scored 1+ rate
80.2%
39.6%
Scored 2+ rate
43.2%
17.0%
Scored 3+ rate
22.2%
1.58
Venue Goals Mean
1.33
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.53
Goals against per game
1.88
69.8%
Conceding rate
81.5%
1.38
Goals against per game
2.15
65.4%
Conceding rate
90.0%
53
History Matches
81
1.53
Conceded Mean
1.88
1.54
Conceded Std
1.48
45.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.6%
17.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.7%
1.38
Venue Conceded Mean
2.15
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
28.3%
Failed-to-score rate
19.8%
34.6%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
28.3%
Failed-to-score rate
19.8%
34.6%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
53
History Matches
81
0.97
Result entropy
0.94
1.78
Goal Difference Std
1.87
2.69
Stability score
5.83
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
42
Eligible Matches
81
8
Lead Matches
19
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
68.4%
0.75
Lead Points Retention
0.72
13
Trailing Matches
36
23.1%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
13.9%
Goal timing5 signals 50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
81
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.91
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.90
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
203.0
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
37
Normal Rest History Matches
67
1.22
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.25
12
Long Rest History Matches
9
1.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
7
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.69
0.03
Portability PPG Range
2.33
96.78
Portability Score
42.02
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
53
Clean History Matches
81
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO46.93
PPG0.08
GF-0.17
GA-0.35
PPG0.72
PPG1.00
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-28
Clean-sheet rate11.7%
Failed-to-score rate8.5%
History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate24.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-28
Goals Mean-0.17
Goals Std0.02
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.32
History Matches-28
Conceded Mean-0.35
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate11.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches-28
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score-3.14
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.12
Eligible Matches-39
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate6.6%
Lead Points Retention0.03
Trailing Matches-23
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.14
Halftime Coverage Matches-39
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Portability PPG Std-0.67
Portability PPG Range-2.30
Portability Score54.76
Rest days119.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-30
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.44
Current Team ELO46.93
Current Opponent ELO-46.93
Current ELO Difference93.85
Expected score0.13
History Matches-28
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.94
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.24
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Didcot Town
W
Didcot Town2–1Poole Town24 Oct · home
Pick: Poole Town 51% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Slough Town
W
Slough Town3–1Walton & Hersham7 Nov · home
Pick: Slough Town 51% · hit L
Maidstone Utd2–1Slough Town31 Oct · away
Pick: Maidstone Utd 71% · hit L
Truro City3–1Slough Town27 Oct · away
Pick: Truro City 64% · hit L
Slough Town1–3Dorking Wanderers24 Oct · home
Pick: Dorking Wanderers 55% · hit L
Slough Town1–2Horsham17 Oct · home
Pick: Horsham 52% · hit About this match
Didcot Town and Slough Town meet in FA Trophy on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Didcot Town win 31.9%, draw 24.8%, Slough Town win 43.3%. The pick is Slough Town win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.7%. Both teams to score: 55.0%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.