Diksmuide vs Ninove
Match result probability Model pick: Diksmuide win
Diksmuide winPick
54.0%
Draw
19.9%
Ninove win
26.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.6%
No46.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.566.0%
Under 2.534.0%
How much we know
Diksmuide history40 matches
Ninove history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Diksmuide
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 18:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 19:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.0%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Diksmuide are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Diksmuide are rated 215 Elo points higher
Elo 1,596 against 1,381. On rating alone Diksmuide would be expected to take 78% of the points on offer.
-
Diksmuide score more
1.73 goals a game over 40 matches for Diksmuide, against 1.28 over 43 for Ninove.
-
Diksmuide concede fewer
Diksmuide concede 0.98 a game, Ninove 2.60.
-
Ninove games more often go over 2.5 goals
58% of Diksmuide matches, against 74% for Ninove. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 27 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ninove@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1595.9
ELO
1380.8
40
ELO · Matches
43
1595.9
Current Team ELO
1380.8
1380.8
Current Opponent ELO
1595.9
215.1
Current ELO Difference
-215.1
0.78
Expected score
0.22
40
History Matches
43
0.11
Residual Mean
-0.14
57.46
Overperformance
40.35
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
2.00
Goals against per game
3.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
0.70
1.70
Goals for per game
1.20
1.40
Goals against per game
2.50
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.27
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.33
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.37
Overall performance9 signals 90
40
Matches
43
1.98
PPG
0.70
60.0%
Win rate
18.6%
17.5%
Draw rate
14.0%
22.5%
Loss rate
67.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
97.7%
57.5%
Over 2.5 rate
74.4%
27.5%
Over 3.5 rate
48.8%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.91
Venue performance10 signals 100
19
Matches
23
1.95
PPG
0.48
63.2%
Win rate
13.0%
5.3%
Draw rate
8.7%
31.6%
Loss rate
78.3%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
95.7%
68.4%
Over 2.5 rate
60.9%
26.3%
Over 3.5 rate
39.1%
2.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
19
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.73
Goals for per game
1.28
85.0%
Scoring rate
67.4%
50.0%
BTTS rate
65.1%
1.89
Goals for per game
0.96
84.2%
Scoring rate
52.2%
42.1%
BTTS rate
52.2%
40
History Matches
43
1.73
Goals Mean
1.28
1.26
Goals Std
1.21
85.0%
Scored 1+ rate
67.4%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.2%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
16.3%
1.89
Venue Goals Mean
0.96
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.98
Goals against per game
2.60
57.5%
Conceding rate
97.7%
1.16
Goals against per game
2.39
52.6%
Conceding rate
100.0%
40
History Matches
43
0.98
Conceded Mean
2.60
1.15
Conceded Std
1.53
25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
79.1%
7.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
44.2%
1.16
Venue Conceded Mean
2.39
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
42.5%
Clean-sheet rate
2.3%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
47.4%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
47.8%
42.5%
Clean-sheet rate
2.3%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
47.4%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
47.8%
42.5%
Clean-sheet rate
2.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
40
History Matches
43
0.86
Result entropy
0.78
1.87
Goal Difference Std
1.91
13.79
Stability score
22.32
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
26
Eligible Matches
41
12
Lead Matches
7
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
42.9%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.48
4
Trailing Matches
19
25.0%
Non-loss rate
26.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
41
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.35
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
1.15
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.59
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
140.3
Rest days
202.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.52
20
Long Rest History Matches
20
2.15
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.80
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.14
0.18
Portability PPG Range
0.28
84.91
Portability Score
77.92
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
40
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO215.1
PPG1.28
GF0.45
GA-1.63
PPG1.47
PPG0.80
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate40.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate47.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.32
History Matches-3
Goals Mean0.45
Goals Std0.06
Scored 1+ rate17.6%
Scored 2+ rate12.8%
Scored 3+ rate8.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.94
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.06
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean-1.63
Conceded Std-0.38
Clean-sheet rate40.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.54
Conceded 3+ rate-0.37
Venue Conceded Mean-1.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.14
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std-0.05
Stability score-8.54
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.18
Eligible Matches-15
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate57.1%
Lead Points Retention0.52
Trailing Matches-15
Non-loss rate-0.01
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches-15
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean0.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.12
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.11
Portability Score6.98
Rest days-62.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.37
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match1.35
Current Team ELO215.1
Current Opponent ELO-215.1
Current ELO Difference430.2
Expected score0.55
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.25
Overperformance17.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Diksmuide
W
Oudenaarde0–1Diksmuide7 Nov · away
Pick: Oudenaarde 37% · missed D
Diksmuide0–0VW Hamme31 Oct · home
Pick: Diksmuide 59% · missed L
Londerzeel3–2Diksmuide18 Oct · away
Pick: Diksmuide 44% · missed L
Torhout3–2Diksmuide30 Aug · away
Pick: Diksmuide 47% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Ninove
L
Ninove0–2VW Hamme7 Nov · home
Pick: Ninove 41% · missed L
Voorde Appelterre1–0Ninove1 Nov · away
Pick: Ninove 44% · missed D
Ninove1–1Sparta Petegem24 Oct · home
Pick: Sparta Petegem 49% · missed D
Oostkamp0–0Ninove18 Oct · away
Pick: Oostkamp 50% · missed L
Eendracht Aalst3–0Ninove30 Aug · away
Pick: Ninove 47% · missed About this match
Diksmuide and Ninove meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV A on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Diksmuide win 54.0%, draw 19.9%, Ninove win 26.1%. The pick is Diksmuide win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.0%. Both teams to score: 53.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.