Dinamo Minsk II vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Match result probability Model pick: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win
Dinamo Minsk II win
35.0%
Draw
23.3%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk winPick
41.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes54.3%
No45.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.556.5%
Under 2.543.5%
How much we know
Dinamo Minsk II history56 matches
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk history26 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 13:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 14:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.6%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk are rated 88 Elo points higher
Elo 1,530 against 1,442. On rating alone FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk score far more
1.18 goals a game over 56 matches for Dinamo Minsk II, against 1.92 over 26 for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk.
-
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk concede fewer
Dinamo Minsk II concede 1.38 a game, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1.19.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
52% of Dinamo Minsk II matches, against 54% for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1442.0
ELO
1529.9
56
ELO · Matches
26
1442.0
Current Team ELO
1529.9
1529.9
Current Opponent ELO
1442.0
-87.84
Current ELO Difference
87.84
0.38
Expected score
0.62
56
History Matches
26
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.06
46.50
Overperformance
53.16
-0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.60
0.80
Goals for per game
0.80
2.40
Goals against per game
1.80
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.40
1.00
Goals for per game
1.70
1.70
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
0.89
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.73
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.11
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.76
Overall performance9 signals 90
56
Matches
26
1.16
PPG
1.73
30.4%
Win rate
50.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
23.1%
44.6%
Loss rate
26.9%
76.8%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
51.8%
Over 2.5 rate
53.8%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.3%
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
Venue performance10 signals 100
29
Matches
13
1.14
PPG
1.54
31.0%
Win rate
46.2%
20.7%
Draw rate
15.4%
48.3%
Loss rate
38.5%
72.4%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
48.3%
Over 2.5 rate
46.2%
31.0%
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.34
29
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.18
Goals for per game
1.92
64.3%
Scoring rate
69.2%
48.2%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.17
Goals for per game
1.77
51.7%
Scoring rate
69.2%
34.5%
BTTS rate
38.5%
1.65
Goals for per game
1.95
85.0%
Scoring rate
71.4%
75.0%
BTTS rate
52.4%
56
History Matches
26
1.18
Goals Mean
1.92
1.20
Goals Std
1.73
64.3%
Scored 1+ rate
69.2%
33.9%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
42.3%
1.17
Venue Goals Mean
1.77
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.38
Goals against per game
1.19
75.0%
Conceding rate
73.1%
1.38
Goals against per game
1.15
72.4%
Conceding rate
69.2%
1.60
Goals against per game
1.19
85.0%
Conceding rate
71.4%
56
History Matches
26
1.38
Conceded Mean
1.19
1.14
Conceded Std
0.96
41.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.6%
14.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.5%
1.38
Venue Conceded Mean
1.15
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
35.7%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
48.3%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
15.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
15.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
35.7%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
48.3%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
56
History Matches
26
0.97
Result entropy
0.95
1.84
Goal Difference Std
1.99
2.74
Stability score
5.50
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
56
Eligible Matches
26
18
Lead Matches
8
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.61
Lead Points Retention
0.88
19
Trailing Matches
7
10.5%
Non-loss rate
57.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
28.6%
Goal timing5 signals 50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.42
0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.08
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.06
Rest days
84.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
13
1.39
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.85
26
Long Rest History Matches
11
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.64
Competition & season17 signals 170
20
Matches
21
1.25
PPG
1.81
35.0%
Win rate
52.4%
20.0%
Draw rate
23.8%
45.0%
Loss rate
23.8%
95.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
20
Current Competition Matches
21
1.25
Current Competition PPG
1.81
0.05
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.76
4
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.06
Portability PPG Std
—
0.13
Portability PPG Range
—
88.59
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
56
Clean History Matches
26
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-87.84
PPG-0.57
GF-0.74
GA0.18
PPG-0.56
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches30
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate4.9%
History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate17.5%
History Matches30
Goals Mean-0.74
Goals Std-0.53
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.16
Scored 3+ rate-0.30
Venue Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.84
History Matches30
Conceded Mean0.18
Conceded Std0.18
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate6.5%
Conceded 3+ rate2.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.11
History Matches30
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.16
Stability score-2.75
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.21
Eligible Matches30
Lead Matches10
Lead Win Rate-0.38
Lead Points Retention-0.26
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate-0.47
Trailing Win Rate-0.29
Halftime Coverage Matches30
First Half Goals For Mean-0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.56
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.71
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches15
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Long Rest History Matches15
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.64
Current Team ELO-87.84
Current Opponent ELO87.84
Current ELO Difference-175.7
Expected score-0.25
History Matches30
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-6.65
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Dinamo Minsk II
L
Dinamo Minsk II0–1FC Slutsk7 Nov · home
Pick: FC Slutsk 44% · hit L
Uni Minsk2–0Dinamo Minsk II4 Nov · away
Pick: Uni Minsk 41% · hit L
Dinamo Minsk II0–2Shakhter Soligorsk1 Nov · home
Pick: Dinamo Minsk II 47% · missed W
Dinamo Minsk II1–0Molodechno-DYuSSh 429 Oct · home
Pick: Dinamo Minsk II 39% · hit W
Dinamo Minsk II3–2Smorgon30 Aug · home
Pick: Dinamo Minsk II 46% · hit FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
D
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk2–2Ostrovets FC7 Nov · home
Pick: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 49% · missed W
Slonim0–3FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk31 Oct · away
Pick: Slonim 42% · missed W
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk4–1BATE II25 Oct · home
Pick: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 63% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Dinamo Minsk II and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk meet in 1. Division on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 14:30 UTC. The match is played at RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Dinamo Minsk II win 35.0%, draw 23.3%, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win 41.6%. The pick is FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.5%. Both teams to score: 54.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.