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3. liga - West Slovakia West - 15 2026

Dunajská Lužná vs Púchov

Dunajská Lužná Home · Elo 1,517
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Púchov Away · Elo 1,503
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Púchov win
Dunajská Lužná win
27.8%
Draw
31.5%
Púchov winPick
40.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.8%
Under 2.539.2%

How much we know

Dunajská Lužná history6 matches
Púchov history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.7%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Púchov are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,517 against 1,503. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Dunajská Lužná score more

    1.67 goals a game over 6 matches for Dunajská Lužná, against 1.47 over 60 for Púchov.

  • Dunajská Lužná concede fewer

    Dunajská Lužná concede 1.17 a game, Púchov 1.55.

  • Púchov games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of Dunajská Lužná matches, against 63% for Púchov. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dunajská Lužná
Púchov@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1517.3
ELO
1503.1
6
ELO · Matches
60
1517.3
Current Team ELO
1503.1
1503.1
Current Opponent ELO
1517.3
14.21
Current ELO Difference
-14.21
0.52
Expected score
0.48
6
History Matches
60
0.12
Residual Mean
0.01
52.67
Overperformance
50.46
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.80
1.60
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
6
Matches
10
1.67
PPG
1.30
1.67
Goals for per game
1.30
1.17
Goals against per game
1.20
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.25
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.34
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
6
Matches
60
1.67
PPG
1.32
50.0%
Win rate
33.3%
16.7%
Draw rate
31.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
35.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
46.7%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
29
1.50
PPG
1.17
50.0%
Win rate
27.6%
0.0%
Draw rate
34.5%
50.0%
Loss rate
37.9%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.4%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
65.5%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
44.8%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
2
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.67
Goals for per game
1.47
83.3%
Scoring rate
76.7%
33.3%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.31
50.0%
Scoring rate
69.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
55.2%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
6
History Matches
60
1.67
Goals Mean
1.47
1.25
Goals Std
1.18
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
76.7%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
43.3%
16.7%
Scored 3+ rate
21.7%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.31
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.17
Goals against per game
1.55
50.0%
Conceding rate
70.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.62
50.0%
Conceding rate
69.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
0.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
33.3%
6
History Matches
60
1.17
Conceded Mean
1.55
1.34
Conceded Std
1.33
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
33.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
1.62
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
6
History Matches
60
0.92
Result entropy
1.00
2.43
Goal Difference Std
1.73
7.94
Stability score
0.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
6
Eligible Matches
60
0
Lead Matches
20
—
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.82
2
Trailing Matches
22
0.0%
Non-loss rate
22.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
6
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
1.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.83
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.90
Rest days
82.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.75
1
Normal Rest History Matches
34
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.15
3
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.43
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
1.67
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
66.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
1.67
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
7
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
—
Portability PPG Std
0.34
—
Portability PPG Range
0.95
—
Portability Score
59.49
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
6
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO14.21
PPG0.35
GF0.20
GA-0.38
PPG-0.33
PPG0.33
PPG-0.40
PPG0.37
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-54
Clean-sheet rate20.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-27
Clean-sheet rate19.0%
Failed-to-score rate19.0%
History Matches-54
Goals Mean0.20
Goals Std0.07
Scored 1+ rate6.7%
Scored 2+ rate6.7%
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean-0.31
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.37
Recent 10 Goals Std0.06
History Matches-54
Conceded Mean-0.38
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate20.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.17
Conceded 3+ rate8.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches-54
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.71
Stability score7.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.85
Eligible Matches-54
Lead Matches-20
Trailing Matches-20
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches-54
First Half Goals For Mean-0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-5
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Normal Rest History Matches-33
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.85
Long Rest History Matches-18
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.43
Current Team ELO14.21
Current Opponent ELO-14.21
Current ELO Difference28.41
Expected score0.04
History Matches-54
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance2.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dunajská Lužná

W
Komárno II0–2Dunajská Lužná30 Oct · away
Pick: Dunajská Lužná 40% · hit
W
Dunajská Lužná2–1Rača24 Oct · home
Pick: Dunajská Lužná 44% · hit
W
Slovan Duslo Šaľa0–1Dunajská Lužná17 Oct · away
Pick: Slovan Duslo Šaľa 43% · missed
W
Dunajská Lužná1–0Trenčín II29 Aug · home
Pick: Dunajská Lužná 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Púchov

W
Rača1–8Púchov1 Nov · away
Pick: Púchov 49% · hit
W
Púchov4–0Slovan Duslo Šaľa24 Oct · home
Pick: Púchov 67% · hit
L
DAC II2–0Púchov18 Oct · away
Pick: Púchov 37% · missed
L
Púchov0–1Nové Zámky29 Aug · home
Pick: Púchov 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dunajská Lužná and Púchov meet in 3. liga - West on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Dunajská Lužná win 27.8%, draw 31.5%, Púchov win 40.7%. The pick is Púchov win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.8%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.