Dynamo de Douala vs Gazelle
What we said before kickoff Result: Dynamo de Douala win
Dynamo de Douala winPick Result
72.9%
Draw
15.5%
Gazelle win
11.6%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickDynamo de Douala win · 72.9%
What happenedDynamo de Douala win · we gave it 72.9%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 58.1%
What happenedOver · 4 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 51.4%
What happenedYes · 3–1
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Dynamo de Douala win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
73%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.4
on average A pick at 73% is expected to miss about 3 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Timeline
Newest at the bottom
GoalU. Mpeck
24' GoalH. Tombe
30' 76'
GoalY. Mapuh
GoalJ. Nde
84' Both teams to score
Yes51.4%
No48.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%
How much we know
Dynamo de Douala history45 matches
Gazelle history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 16:00 UTC
- Full time: 3–1All three of our picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (72.9%). Picks in that band won 76.3% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 587 matches.
Why Dynamo de Douala are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Dynamo de Douala are rated 109 Elo points higher
Elo 1,609 against 1,500. On rating alone Dynamo de Douala would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gazelle@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1609.1
ELO
1500.0
45
ELO · Matches
0
1609.1
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1609.1
109.1
Current ELO Difference
-109.1
0.65
Expected score
0.35
45
History Matches
0
0.12
Residual Mean
—
58.56
Overperformance
—
0.45
Recent 10 Residual Mean
—
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
0
3.00
PPG
—
3.00
Goals for per game
—
0.60
Goals against per game
—
100.0%
Win rate
—
10
Matches
0
3.00
PPG
—
2.80
Goals for per game
—
0.50
Goals against per game
—
100.0%
Win rate
—
2.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
—
1.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
—
0.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
—
1.73
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals 90
45
Matches
0
1.71
PPG
—
51.1%
Win rate
—
17.8%
Draw rate
—
31.1%
Loss rate
—
75.6%
Over 1.5 rate
—
53.3%
Over 2.5 rate
—
31.1%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals 100
23
Matches
0
1.96
PPG
—
60.9%
Win rate
—
13.0%
Draw rate
—
26.1%
Loss rate
—
78.3%
Over 1.5 rate
—
47.8%
Over 2.5 rate
—
34.8%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
23
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.69
Goals for per game
—
77.8%
Scoring rate
—
48.9%
BTTS rate
—
1.87
Goals for per game
—
78.3%
Scoring rate
—
43.5%
BTTS rate
—
45
History Matches
0
1.69
Goals Mean
—
1.55
Goals Std
—
77.8%
Scored 1+ rate
—
46.7%
Scored 2+ rate
—
22.2%
Scored 3+ rate
—
1.87
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.18
Goals against per game
—
66.7%
Conceding rate
—
1.00
Goals against per game
—
60.9%
Conceding rate
—
45
History Matches
0
1.18
Conceded Mean
—
1.06
Conceded Std
—
37.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
—
11.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
—
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
—
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
—
39.1%
Clean-sheet rate
—
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
—
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
—
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
—
39.1%
Clean-sheet rate
—
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
—
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
—
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
45
History Matches
0
0.92
Result entropy
—
1.94
Goal Difference Std
—
7.76
Stability score
—
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
45
Eligible Matches
0
17
Lead Matches
0
76.5%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.78
Lead Points Retention
—
11
Trailing Matches
0
27.3%
Non-loss rate
—
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals 50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
0.98
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
129.0
Rest days
—
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.95
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
19
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.63
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
0
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.48
Portability PPG Std
—
0.96
Portability PPG Range
—
51.09
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
45
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO109.1
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches45
History Matches23
History Matches45
History Matches45
History Matches45
Eligible Matches45
Lead Matches17
Trailing Matches11
Halftime Coverage Matches45
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches22
Long Rest History Matches19
Current Team ELO109.1
Current Opponent ELO-109.1
Current ELO Difference218.1
Expected score0.30
History Matches45
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Dynamo de Douala
No earlier results with our pick yet
Gazelle
No earlier results with our pick yet
Match report
Dynamo de Douala and Gazelle finished 3–1 in Elite One on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 2–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Dynamo de Douala win 72.9%, draw 15.5%, Gazelle win 11.6%. All three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.