Unisport Bafang vs Panthère
Match result probability Model pick: Panthère win
Unisport Bafang win
35.3%
Draw
27.5%
Panthère winPick
37.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes50.6%
No49.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.548.2%
Under 2.551.8%
How much we know
Unisport Bafang history38 matches
Panthère history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Panthère
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 3 d 9 h ahead4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.2%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Panthère are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Unisport Bafang are rated 45 Elo points higher
Elo 1,589 against 1,544. On rating alone Unisport Bafang would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.
-
Unisport Bafang score more
1.82 goals a game over 38 matches for Unisport Bafang, against 1.25 over 44 for Panthère.
-
Panthère concede fewer
Unisport Bafang concede 1.16 a game, Panthère 0.84.
-
Unisport Bafang games more often go over 2.5 goals
58% of Unisport Bafang matches, against 39% for Panthère. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 28 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Panthère@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1589.0
ELO
1544.0
38
ELO · Matches
44
1589.0
Current Team ELO
1544.0
1544.0
Current Opponent ELO
1589.0
44.99
Current ELO Difference
-44.99
0.56
Expected score
0.44
38
History Matches
44
0.11
Residual Mean
0.05
57.53
Overperformance
53.62
-0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.40
1.00
Goals for per game
2.20
3.20
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.10
2.00
Goals for per game
1.40
2.40
Goals against per game
1.30
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
2.41
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
2.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
3.72
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.70
Overall performance9 signals 90
38
Matches
44
1.97
PPG
1.70
60.5%
Win rate
50.0%
15.8%
Draw rate
20.5%
23.7%
Loss rate
29.5%
71.1%
Over 1.5 rate
61.4%
57.9%
Over 2.5 rate
38.6%
28.9%
Over 3.5 rate
11.4%
2.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
Venue performance10 signals 100
19
Matches
21
2.21
PPG
1.33
68.4%
Win rate
33.3%
15.8%
Draw rate
33.3%
15.8%
Loss rate
33.3%
57.9%
Over 1.5 rate
52.4%
47.4%
Over 2.5 rate
28.6%
31.6%
Over 3.5 rate
9.5%
2.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
19
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.82
Goals for per game
1.25
73.7%
Scoring rate
72.7%
42.1%
BTTS rate
38.6%
2.05
Goals for per game
0.86
73.7%
Scoring rate
61.9%
31.6%
BTTS rate
33.3%
38
History Matches
44
1.82
Goals Mean
1.25
1.83
Goals Std
1.13
73.7%
Scored 1+ rate
72.7%
47.4%
Scored 2+ rate
31.8%
23.7%
Scored 3+ rate
13.6%
2.05
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.16
Goals against per game
0.84
57.9%
Conceding rate
56.8%
0.79
Goals against per game
0.90
42.1%
Conceding rate
57.1%
38
History Matches
44
1.16
Conceded Mean
0.84
1.51
Conceded Std
0.85
26.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.0%
15.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.3%
0.79
Venue Conceded Mean
0.90
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
42.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.2%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
57.9%
Clean-sheet rate
42.9%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
42.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.2%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
57.9%
Clean-sheet rate
42.9%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
42.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
38
History Matches
44
0.85
Result entropy
0.94
2.57
Goal Difference Std
1.50
14.76
Stability score
6.12
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
35
Eligible Matches
44
12
Lead Matches
17
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
94.1%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.96
7
Trailing Matches
12
28.6%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
0.61
0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
1.14
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
132.1
Rest days
132.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
5
2.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.40
14
Normal Rest History Matches
24
2.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.42
15
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.86
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.44
0.28
Portability PPG Range
0.88
78.00
Portability Score
53.30
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
38
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO44.99
PPG0.27
GF0.57
GA0.32
PPG0.88
PPG-0.80
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate15.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.57
Goals Std0.70
Scored 1+ rate1.0%
Scored 2+ rate15.6%
Scored 3+ rate10.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.98
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.32
Conceded Std0.66
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate1.3%
Conceded 3+ rate13.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.21
History Matches-6
Result entropy-0.09
Goal Difference Std1.07
Stability score8.64
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.02
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate5.9%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate3.6%
Trailing Win Rate6.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.51
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.30
Portability PPG Range-0.59
Portability Score24.70
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.15
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Current Team ELO44.99
Current Opponent ELO-44.99
Current ELO Difference89.97
Expected score0.13
History Matches-6
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance3.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.04
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Unisport Bafang
No earlier results with our pick yet
Panthère
No earlier results with our pick yet
About this match
Unisport Bafang and Panthère meet in Elite One on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC: Unisport Bafang win 35.3%, draw 27.5%, Panthère win 37.2%. The pick is Panthère win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.2%. Both teams to score: 50.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.