ScoreProb
Youth Championship Russia Round 29 2026

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 vs Almaz Antey U19

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 Home · Elo 1,451
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Almaz Antey U19 Away · Elo 1,496
Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Almaz Antey U19 win
Dynamo Makhachkala U19 win
40.9%
Draw
17.5%
Almaz Antey U19 winPick
41.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.8%
No34.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.572.5%
Under 2.527.5%

How much we know

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 history22 matches
Almaz Antey U19 history20 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Almaz Antey U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Almaz Antey U19 are rated 46 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,496 against 1,451. On rating alone Almaz Antey U19 would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Almaz Antey U19 score more

    1.36 goals a game over 22 matches for Dynamo Makhachkala U19, against 1.75 over 20 for Almaz Antey U19.

  • Defences are close

    Dynamo Makhachkala U19 concede 2.41 a game, Almaz Antey U19 2.25.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    73% of Dynamo Makhachkala U19 matches, against 70% for Almaz Antey U19. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
Almaz Antey U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1450.5
ELO
1496.1
22
ELO · Matches
20
1450.5
Current Team ELO
1496.1
1496.1
Current Opponent ELO
1450.5
-45.54
Current ELO Difference
45.54
0.43
Expected score
0.57
22
History Matches
20
-0.11
Residual Mean
0.00
44.23
Overperformance
50.01
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.60
0.80
Goals for per game
2.80
3.60
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.50
1.00
Goals for per game
2.20
2.80
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.25
2.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
2.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.18
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.60
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.25
Overall performance9 signals
90
22
Matches
20
0.95
PPG
1.30
27.3%
Win rate
35.0%
13.6%
Draw rate
25.0%
59.1%
Loss rate
40.0%
90.9%
Over 1.5 rate
85.0%
72.7%
Over 2.5 rate
70.0%
59.1%
Over 3.5 rate
55.0%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
11
Matches
9
1.45
PPG
1.00
45.5%
Win rate
22.2%
9.1%
Draw rate
33.3%
45.5%
Loss rate
44.4%
90.9%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
72.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
45.5%
Over 3.5 rate
55.6%
1.65
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.75
11
History Matches
9
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.36
Goals for per game
1.75
77.3%
Scoring rate
75.0%
68.2%
BTTS rate
70.0%
1.64
Goals for per game
1.22
81.8%
Scoring rate
66.7%
72.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.30
Goals for per game
1.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
70.0%
BTTS rate
70.0%
22
History Matches
20
1.36
Goals Mean
1.75
1.19
Goals Std
1.22
77.3%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
31.8%
Scored 2+ rate
65.0%
18.2%
Scored 3+ rate
30.0%
1.64
Venue Goals Mean
1.22
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.41
Goals against per game
2.25
86.4%
Conceding rate
95.0%
1.64
Goals against per game
2.56
81.8%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.55
Goals against per game
2.25
90.0%
Conceding rate
95.0%
22
History Matches
20
2.41
Conceded Mean
2.25
1.72
Conceded Std
1.79
72.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.0%
45.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.0%
1.64
Venue Conceded Mean
2.56
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
22
History Matches
20
0.85
Result entropy
0.98
2.27
Goal Difference Std
2.20
14.72
Stability score
1.65
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
22
Eligible Matches
20
5
Lead Matches
9
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.74
8
Trailing Matches
4
12.5%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
22
Halftime Coverage Matches
20
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
1.15
1.05
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
1.36
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.35
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.96
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
12
Normal Rest History Matches
10
1.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
8
Long Rest History Matches
9
0.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.11
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
20
Matches
20
0.75
PPG
1.30
20.0%
Win rate
35.0%
15.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
65.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
95.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
70.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
55.0%
2.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
20
Current Competition Matches
20
0.75
Current Competition PPG
1.30
-1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
2
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
22
Clean History Matches
20
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-45.54
PPG-0.35
GF-0.39
GA0.16
PPG-0.55
PPG0.45
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate8.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate18.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.39
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate2.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.33
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean0.41
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.25
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.16
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate8.6%
Conceded 2+ rate17.7%
Conceded 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.95
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.13
Goal Difference Std0.06
Stability score13.07
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.35
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate12.5%
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.55
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.75
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.99
Current Team ELO-45.54
Current Opponent ELO45.54
Current ELO Difference-91.08
Expected score-0.13
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-5.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dynamo Makhachkala U19

L
Lokomotiv Moskva U195–2Dynamo Makhachkala U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Lokomotiv Moskva U19 86% · hit
L
Akademiya Konoplev U203–2Dynamo Makhachkala U1916 Oct · away
Pick: Akademiya Konoplev U20 65% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Almaz Antey U19

W
Rubin Kazan U202–3Almaz Antey U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Rubin Kazan U20 46% · missed
L
Zenit U197–1Almaz Antey U1916 Oct · away
Pick: Zenit U19 80% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 and Almaz Antey U19 meet in Youth Championship on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Dynamo Makhachkala U19 win 40.9%, draw 17.5%, Almaz Antey U19 win 41.6%. The pick is Almaz Antey U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 72.5%. Both teams to score: 65.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.