ScoreProb
NB III - Northeast Hungary Northeast - 15 2026

Eger vs Tiszaújváros

Eger Home · Elo 1,505
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tiszaújváros Away · Elo 1,457
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eger win
Eger winPick
58.9%
Draw
20.9%
Tiszaújváros win
20.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%

How much we know

Eger history53 matches
Tiszaújváros history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (58.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Eger are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Eger are rated 49 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,505 against 1,457. On rating alone Eger would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Eger score more

    1.47 goals a game over 53 matches for Eger, against 1.22 over 49 for Tiszaújváros.

  • Defences are close

    Eger concede 2.09 a game, Tiszaújváros 2.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    66% of Eger matches, against 61% for Tiszaújváros. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eger
Tiszaújváros
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1505.1
ELO
1456.6
53
ELO · Matches
49
1505.1
Current Team ELO
1456.6
1456.6
Current Opponent ELO
1505.1
48.55
Current ELO Difference
-48.55
0.57
Expected score
0.43
53
History Matches
49
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.05
50.08
Overperformance
46.56
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
0.40
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
0.60
1.50
Goals for per game
0.80
1.60
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.60
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.43
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.32
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.91
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
49
1.32
PPG
1.10
39.6%
Win rate
28.6%
13.2%
Draw rate
24.5%
47.2%
Loss rate
46.9%
83.0%
Over 1.5 rate
79.6%
66.0%
Over 2.5 rate
61.2%
45.3%
Over 3.5 rate
40.8%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
26
1.56
PPG
1.00
48.0%
Win rate
26.9%
12.0%
Draw rate
19.2%
40.0%
Loss rate
53.8%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.8%
68.0%
Over 2.5 rate
65.4%
48.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.3%
2.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.19
25
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.47
Goals for per game
1.22
66.0%
Scoring rate
73.5%
54.7%
BTTS rate
59.2%
1.64
Goals for per game
1.12
64.0%
Scoring rate
69.2%
52.0%
BTTS rate
57.7%
1.50
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
53
History Matches
49
1.47
Goals Mean
1.22
1.35
Goals Std
1.04
66.0%
Scored 1+ rate
73.5%
47.2%
Scored 2+ rate
32.7%
22.6%
Scored 3+ rate
14.3%
1.64
Venue Goals Mean
1.12
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.09
Goals against per game
2.00
83.0%
Conceding rate
83.7%
1.92
Goals against per game
2.23
80.0%
Conceding rate
84.6%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.25
50.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
53
History Matches
49
2.09
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.59
Conceded Std
1.67
58.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.0%
32.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
36.7%
1.92
Venue Conceded Mean
2.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.3%
34.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
36.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.3%
34.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
36.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
49
0.90
Result entropy
0.96
2.10
Goal Difference Std
1.99
10.01
Stability score
3.74
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
48
16
Lead Matches
12
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.78
18
Trailing Matches
18
22.2%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.86
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
1.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.31
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.13
Rest days
76.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
32
Normal Rest History Matches
30
0.97
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.13
18
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.82
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
3.00
PPG
0.75
100.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
25.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.09
4
Current Competition Matches
4
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.75
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.75
6
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.77
Portability PPG Std
0.21
2.00
Portability PPG Range
0.48
39.40
Portability Score
70.67
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO48.55
PPG0.22
GF0.25
GA0.09
PPG2.25
PPG0.56
PPG1.60
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate0.7%
Failed-to-score rate7.4%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate4.6%
Failed-to-score rate5.2%
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.25
Goals Std0.32
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate14.5%
Scored 3+ rate8.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.42
History Matches4
Conceded Mean0.09
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate0.7%
Conceded 2+ rate7.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.89
History Matches4
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.11
Stability score6.27
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate20.8%
Lead Points Retention0.14
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate11.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.75
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.56
Portability PPG Range1.52
Portability Score-31.27
Rest days7.23
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.16
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.84
Current Team ELO48.55
Current Opponent ELO-48.55
Current ELO Difference97.11
Expected score0.14
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.52
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.31

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eger

L
Ózd Sajóvölgye3–0Eger31 Oct · away
Pick: Ózd Sajóvölgye 40% · hit
L
Salgótarjáni BTC1–0Eger24 Oct · away
Pick: Eger 57% · missed
L
Eger1–3DEAC17 Oct · home
Pick: DEAC 54% · hit
D
Eger1–1Kisvárda II29 Aug · home
Pick: Eger 50% · missed
L
Debrecen II5–2Eger26 Aug · away
Pick: Debrecen II 45% · hit

Tiszaújváros

L
Tiszaújváros0–1DEAC31 Oct · home
Pick: DEAC 73% · hit
L
Tiszaújváros0–4Kecskeméti TE28 Oct · home
Pick: Kecskeméti TE 48% · hit
D
Füzesabony2–2Tiszaújváros24 Oct · away
Pick: Füzesabony 47% · missed
L
Tiszaújváros0–4Diósgyőr II17 Oct · home
Pick: Diósgyőr II 40% · hit
W
Tiszaújváros3–2Nyiregyhaza II29 Aug · home
Pick: Tiszaújváros 46% · hit

About this match

Eger and Tiszaújváros meet in NB III - Northeast on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Eger win 58.9%, draw 20.9%, Tiszaújváros win 20.2%. The pick is Eger win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.3%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.