ScoreProb
NB III - Northeast Hungary Northeast - 15 2026

DEAC vs Cigand SE

DEAC Home · Elo 1,644
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Cigand SE Away · Elo 1,628
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: DEAC win
DEAC winPick
47.9%
Draw
25.4%
Cigand SE win
26.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.1%
No45.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%

How much we know

DEAC history53 matches
Cigand SE history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why DEAC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,644 against 1,628. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.13 goals a game over 53 matches for DEAC, against 2.02 over 53 for Cigand SE.

  • Defences are close

    DEAC concede 0.98 a game, Cigand SE 1.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    55% of DEAC matches, against 60% for Cigand SE. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
DEAC
Cigand SE
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1644.4
ELO
1627.8
53
ELO · Matches
53
1644.4
Current Team ELO
1627.8
1627.8
Current Opponent ELO
1644.4
16.59
Current ELO Difference
-16.59
0.52
Expected score
0.48
53
History Matches
53
0.13
Residual Mean
0.11
59.53
Overperformance
58.17
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
3.00
PPG
2.40
3.60
Goals for per game
2.00
0.80
Goals against per game
0.40
100.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
2.40
PPG
2.00
2.70
Goals for per game
2.20
1.00
Goals against per game
0.80
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.78
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
0.89
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.01
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
53
2.11
PPG
1.96
64.2%
Win rate
58.5%
18.9%
Draw rate
20.8%
17.0%
Loss rate
20.8%
81.1%
Over 1.5 rate
79.2%
54.7%
Over 2.5 rate
60.4%
41.5%
Over 3.5 rate
37.7%
1.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
28
2.00
PPG
1.71
61.5%
Win rate
50.0%
15.4%
Draw rate
21.4%
23.1%
Loss rate
28.6%
80.8%
Over 1.5 rate
82.1%
53.8%
Over 2.5 rate
67.9%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
35.7%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
26
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.13
Goals for per game
2.02
84.9%
Scoring rate
83.0%
49.1%
BTTS rate
52.8%
2.08
Goals for per game
1.89
80.8%
Scoring rate
85.7%
38.5%
BTTS rate
64.3%
3.25
Goals for per game
1.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
53
History Matches
53
2.13
Goals Mean
2.02
1.44
Goals Std
1.47
84.9%
Scored 1+ rate
83.0%
69.8%
Scored 2+ rate
60.4%
32.1%
Scored 3+ rate
32.1%
2.08
Venue Goals Mean
1.89
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.98
Goals against per game
1.00
58.5%
Conceding rate
60.4%
0.85
Goals against per game
1.25
50.0%
Conceding rate
67.9%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
53
History Matches
53
0.98
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.05
Conceded Std
0.99
28.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.2%
7.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.4%
0.85
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
41.5%
Clean-sheet rate
39.6%
15.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
41.5%
Clean-sheet rate
39.6%
15.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
41.5%
Clean-sheet rate
39.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
53
0.82
Result entropy
0.88
1.74
Goal Difference Std
1.71
18.03
Stability score
12.04
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
47
24
Lead Matches
19
95.8%
Lead Win Rate
89.5%
0.97
Lead Points Retention
0.91
6
Trailing Matches
7
16.7%
Non-loss rate
57.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
28.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.40
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.36
1.18
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.15
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.92
Rest days
76.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
27
Normal Rest History Matches
36
2.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.03
23
Long Rest History Matches
16
2.04
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.94
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
3.00
PPG
2.25
100.0%
Win rate
75.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.30
4
Current Competition Matches
4
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.25
2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.25
6
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.20
1.25
Portability PPG Range
0.48
51.89
Portability Score
71.78
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO16.59
PPG0.15
GF0.11
GA-0.02
PPG0.75
PPG0.29
PPG0.60
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate1.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate17.9%
Failed-to-score rate4.9%
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.11
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate1.9%
Scored 2+ rate9.4%
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.02
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate1.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.02
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.03
Stability score5.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.01
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate6.4%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.40
Trailing Win Rate-0.29
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.27
Portability PPG Range0.77
Portability Score-19.89
Rest days-0.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.12
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match0.11
Current Team ELO16.59
Current Opponent ELO-16.59
Current ELO Difference33.19
Expected score0.05
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

DEAC

W
Tiszaújváros0–1DEAC31 Oct · away
Pick: DEAC 73% · hit
L
DEAC0–3Ózd Sajóvölgye24 Oct · home
Pick: DEAC 67% · missed
W
Eger1–3DEAC17 Oct · away
Pick: DEAC 54% · hit
L
DEAC1–2Gödöllő30 Aug · home
Pick: DEAC 73% · missed
D
Kisvárda II1–1DEAC26 Aug · away
Pick: DEAC 45% · missed

Cigand SE

W
Cigand SE2–1Füzesabony31 Oct · home
Pick: Cigand SE 64% · hit
L
Cigand SE1–2Paks28 Oct · home
Pick: Cigand SE 40% · missed
W
Diósgyőr II0–3Cigand SE24 Oct · away
Pick: Cigand SE 59% · hit
W
Cigand SE6–0Hajdúnánás17 Oct · home
Pick: Cigand SE 83% · hit
W
Cigand SE3–1Tarpa30 Aug · home
Pick: Cigand SE 69% · hit

About this match

DEAC and Cigand SE meet in NB III - Northeast on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: DEAC win 47.9%, draw 25.4%, Cigand SE win 26.7%. The pick is DEAC win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.1%. Both teams to score: 54.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.