ScoreProb
NB III - Northeast Hungary Northeast - 15 2026

Füzesabony vs Tiszafuredi VSE

Füzesabony Home · Elo 1,462
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tiszafuredi VSE Away · Elo 1,546
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Füzesabony win
Füzesabony winPick
44.2%
Draw
24.6%
Tiszafuredi VSE win
31.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.7%
No46.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.552.2%
Under 2.547.8%

How much we know

Füzesabony history50 matches
Tiszafuredi VSE history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Füzesabony are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Tiszafuredi VSE are rated 84 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,546 against 1,462. On rating alone Tiszafuredi VSE would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Tiszafuredi VSE score far more

    1.12 goals a game over 50 matches for Füzesabony, against 1.94 over 51 for Tiszafuredi VSE.

  • Tiszafuredi VSE concede fewer

    Füzesabony concede 1.52 a game, Tiszafuredi VSE 1.31.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    48% of Füzesabony matches, against 55% for Tiszafuredi VSE. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Füzesabony
Tiszafuredi VSE
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1462.1
ELO
1545.7
50
ELO · Matches
51
1462.1
Current Team ELO
1545.7
1545.7
Current Opponent ELO
1462.1
-83.58
Current ELO Difference
83.58
0.38
Expected score
0.62
50
History Matches
51
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.04
47.07
Overperformance
52.93
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
1.20
Goals for per game
0.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.50
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.62
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
1.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.48
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
51
1.16
PPG
1.69
30.0%
Win rate
49.0%
26.0%
Draw rate
21.6%
44.0%
Loss rate
29.4%
68.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.4%
48.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.9%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
37.3%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
26
0.92
PPG
1.73
20.8%
Win rate
50.0%
29.2%
Draw rate
23.1%
50.0%
Loss rate
26.9%
54.2%
Over 1.5 rate
69.2%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
20.8%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
24
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.12
Goals for per game
1.94
62.0%
Scoring rate
76.5%
48.0%
BTTS rate
52.9%
0.71
Goals for per game
1.96
45.8%
Scoring rate
69.2%
33.3%
BTTS rate
42.3%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
75.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
50
History Matches
51
1.12
Goals Mean
1.94
1.14
Goals Std
1.69
62.0%
Scored 1+ rate
76.5%
32.0%
Scored 2+ rate
49.0%
14.0%
Scored 3+ rate
35.3%
0.71
Venue Goals Mean
1.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.52
Goals against per game
1.31
78.0%
Conceding rate
68.6%
1.46
Goals against per game
1.15
70.8%
Conceding rate
57.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
51
1.52
Conceded Mean
1.31
1.53
Conceded Std
1.24
34.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.2%
18.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.7%
1.46
Venue Conceded Mean
1.15
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.4%
38.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
54.2%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
22.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.4%
38.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
42.3%
54.2%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
22.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
51
0.98
Result entropy
0.95
1.94
Goal Difference Std
2.06
2.36
Stability score
5.31
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
47
11
Lead Matches
19
63.6%
Lead Win Rate
89.5%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.91
17
Trailing Matches
12
17.6%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
0.55
First Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
0.59
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.15
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.85
Rest days
75.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
31
Normal Rest History Matches
33
1.26
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.76
17
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.12
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.47
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
0.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
4
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.37
Portability PPG Std
0.85
1.00
Portability PPG Range
2.25
57.32
Portability Score
36.96
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-83.58
PPG-0.53
GF-0.82
GA0.21
PPG1.50
PPG-0.81
PPG0.80
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate14.5%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate23.4%
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.82
Goals Std-0.54
Scored 1+ rate-0.14
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Goals Mean-1.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.62
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.21
Conceded Std0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate4.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.20
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.12
Stability score-2.95
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.31
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.05
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate-0.26
Lead Points Retention-0.19
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.56
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.50
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.48
Portability PPG Range-1.25
Portability Score20.37
Rest days7.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.35
Current Team ELO-83.58
Current Opponent ELO83.58
Current ELO Difference-167.2
Expected score-0.24
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-5.86
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Füzesabony

L
Cigand SE2–1Füzesabony31 Oct · away
Pick: Cigand SE 64% · hit
D
Füzesabony2–2Tiszaújváros24 Oct · home
Pick: Füzesabony 47% · missed
L
Ózd Sajóvölgye4–2Füzesabony17 Oct · away
Pick: Ózd Sajóvölgye 47% · hit
W
Füzesabony3–0Mátészalka29 Aug · home
Pick: Füzesabony 45% · hit
L
Gödöllő1–0Füzesabony26 Aug · away
Pick: Gödöllő 40% · hit

Tiszafuredi VSE

W
Tiszafuredi VSE2–1Diósgyőr II31 Oct · home
Pick: Tiszafuredi VSE 45% · hit
L
Hajdúnánás2–1Tiszafuredi VSE25 Oct · away
Pick: Hajdúnánás 38% · hit
D
Tiszafuredi VSE0–0Mátészalka17 Oct · home
Pick: Tiszafuredi VSE 52% · missed
W
Tiszafuredi VSE2–1Salgótarjáni BTC29 Aug · home
Pick: Tiszafuredi VSE 60% · hit
L
Tiszafuredi VSE0–2Cigand SE26 Aug · home
Pick: Cigand SE 49% · hit

About this match

Füzesabony and Tiszafuredi VSE meet in NB III - Northeast on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Füzesabony win 44.2%, draw 24.6%, Tiszafuredi VSE win 31.1%. The pick is Füzesabony win. Over 2.5 goals: 52.2%. Both teams to score: 53.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.