ScoreProb
Central Youth League Poland Round 14 2026

Escola Varsovia U19 vs Śląsk Wrocław U19

Escola Varsovia U19 Home · Elo 1,517
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Śląsk Wrocław U19 Away · Elo 1,530
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Śląsk Wrocław U19 win
Escola Varsovia U19 win
32.3%
Draw
20.5%
Śląsk Wrocław U19 winPick
47.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.2%
Under 2.529.8%

How much we know

Escola Varsovia U19 history46 matches
Śląsk Wrocław U19 history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Śląsk Wrocław U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,517 against 1,530. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Escola Varsovia U19 score more

    2.22 goals a game over 46 matches for Escola Varsovia U19, against 1.96 over 47 for Śląsk Wrocław U19.

  • Śląsk Wrocław U19 concede fewer

    Escola Varsovia U19 concede 2.00 a game, Śląsk Wrocław U19 1.62.

  • Escola Varsovia U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    80% of Escola Varsovia U19 matches, against 70% for Śląsk Wrocław U19. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Escola Varsovia U19
Śląsk Wrocław U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1517.1
ELO
1530.0
46
ELO · Matches
47
1517.1
Current Team ELO
1530.0
1530.0
Current Opponent ELO
1517.1
-12.88
Current ELO Difference
12.88
0.48
Expected score
0.52
46
History Matches
47
0.01
Residual Mean
0.03
51.02
Overperformance
52.03
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
1.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.60
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.40
1.80
Goals for per game
1.30
1.40
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.42
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.14
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.37
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
47
1.46
PPG
1.57
43.5%
Win rate
42.6%
15.2%
Draw rate
29.8%
41.3%
Loss rate
27.7%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.1%
80.4%
Over 2.5 rate
70.2%
63.0%
Over 3.5 rate
53.2%
2.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
24
1.91
PPG
1.08
59.1%
Win rate
25.0%
13.6%
Draw rate
33.3%
27.3%
Loss rate
41.7%
86.4%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
86.4%
Over 2.5 rate
70.8%
72.7%
Over 3.5 rate
58.3%
2.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
22
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.22
Goals for per game
1.96
80.4%
Scoring rate
83.0%
73.9%
BTTS rate
66.0%
3.14
Goals for per game
1.71
90.9%
Scoring rate
83.3%
77.3%
BTTS rate
75.0%
0.33
Goals for per game
0.33
33.3%
Scoring rate
33.3%
33.3%
BTTS rate
33.3%
46
History Matches
47
2.22
Goals Mean
1.96
2.08
Goals Std
1.34
80.4%
Scored 1+ rate
83.0%
54.3%
Scored 2+ rate
61.7%
37.0%
Scored 3+ rate
34.0%
3.14
Venue Goals Mean
1.71
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.00
Goals against per game
1.62
91.3%
Conceding rate
76.6%
1.77
Goals against per game
2.08
86.4%
Conceding rate
87.5%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
46
History Matches
47
2.00
Conceded Mean
1.62
1.44
Conceded Std
1.39
56.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.8%
26.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.3%
1.77
Venue Conceded Mean
2.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
23.4%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
17.0%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
9.1%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
23.4%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
17.0%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
9.1%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
23.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
47
0.92
Result entropy
0.98
2.81
Goal Difference Std
2.02
7.72
Stability score
1.71
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
37
Eligible Matches
40
11
Lead Matches
12
81.8%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.89
14
Trailing Matches
13
28.6%
Non-loss rate
38.5%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
37
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.86
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
1.14
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.20
1.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.85
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.17
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
23
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.48
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.57
20
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.64
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
0.67
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
66.7%
100.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.67
-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
3
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.72
Portability PPG Std
0.67
1.60
Portability PPG Range
1.64
40.86
Portability Score
42.69
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-12.88
PPG-0.12
GF0.26
GA0.38
PPG-0.67
PPG0.83
PPG-0.40
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate2.5%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate1.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.26
Goals Std0.75
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate2.9%
Venue Goals Mean1.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.24
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.38
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate9.7%
Conceded 3+ rate4.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.06
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.79
Stability score6.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.84
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.39
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.04
Portability Score-1.84
Rest days0.17
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.01
Current Team ELO-12.88
Current Opponent ELO12.88
Current ELO Difference-25.76
Expected score-0.04
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-1.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Escola Varsovia U19

W
Talent Warszawa U190–4Escola Varsovia U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Talent Warszawa U19 51% · missed
D
Escola Varsovia U191–1Legia Warszawa U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 62% · missed
L
Lech Poznań U193–0Escola Varsovia U1918 Oct · away
Pick: Lech Poznań U19 62% · hit
D
Escola Varsovia U190–0Zagłębie Lubin U1914 Oct · home
Pick: Zagłębie Lubin U19 43% · missed
W
Escola Varsovia U191–0Arkonia U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Escola Varsovia U19 41% · hit

Śląsk Wrocław U19

L
Legia Warszawa U195–1Śląsk Wrocław U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 70% · hit
L
Śląsk Wrocław U191–2Wisła Kraków U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Śląsk Wrocław U19 45% · missed
W
Zagłębie Lubin U190–1Śląsk Wrocław U1918 Oct · away
Pick: Zagłębie Lubin U19 41% · missed
W
Śląsk Wrocław U191–0Korona Kielce U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Śląsk Wrocław U19 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Escola Varsovia U19 and Śląsk Wrocław U19 meet in Central Youth League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Escola Varsovia U19 win 32.3%, draw 20.5%, Śląsk Wrocław U19 win 47.2%. The pick is Śląsk Wrocław U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.2%. Both teams to score: 68.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.