ScoreProb
U19 league Türkiye Round 11 2026

Eyupspor U19 vs Kocaelispor U19

Eyupspor U19 Home · Elo 1,500
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kocaelispor U19 Away · Elo 1,510
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eyupspor U19 win
Eyupspor U19 winPick
38.2%
Draw
33.9%
Kocaelispor U19 win
27.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.6%
Under 2.539.4%

How much we know

Eyupspor U19 history2 matches
Kocaelispor U19 history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.2%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Eyupspor U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,500 against 1,510. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Eyupspor U19 score more

    3.00 goals a game over 2 matches for Eyupspor U19, against 2.00 over 2 for Kocaelispor U19.

  • Kocaelispor U19 concede fewer

    Eyupspor U19 concede 2.00 a game, Kocaelispor U19 1.00.

  • Eyupspor U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Eyupspor U19 matches, against 50% for Kocaelispor U19. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eyupspor U19
Kocaelispor U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1500.2
ELO
1509.9
2
ELO · Matches
2
1500.2
Current Team ELO
1509.9
1509.9
Current Opponent ELO
1500.2
-9.67
Current ELO Difference
9.67
0.49
Expected score
0.51
2
History Matches
2
0.01
Residual Mean
0.25
50.05
Overperformance
52.25
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.25
Recent form16 signals
160
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
2.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
2.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
3.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.00
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
3.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
1.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
4.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2
History Matches
2
3.00
Goals Mean
2.00
1.00
Goals Std
0.00
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
4.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
0.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
2
History Matches
2
2.00
Conceded Mean
1.00
2.00
Conceded Std
1.00
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
0.00
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
2
History Matches
2
0.63
Result entropy
0.63
3.00
Goal Difference Std
1.00
36.91
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
2
Eligible Matches
2
1
Lead Matches
1
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
1
Trailing Matches
1
0.0%
Non-loss rate
100.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
1.50
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
2.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
1.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
75.88
Rest days
74.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
1
Normal Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
0
Long Rest History Matches
1
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
3.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
2
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-9.67
PPG-0.50
GF1.00
GA1.00
PPG-0.50
PPG2.00
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate100.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean1.00
Goals Std1.00
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate50.0%
Venue Goals Mean2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std1.00
History Matches0
Conceded Mean1.00
Conceded Std1.00
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate50.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.00
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std2.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.00
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-1.00
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean1.50
Second Half Goals For Mean0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days1.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches1
Long Rest History Matches-1
Current Team ELO-9.67
Current Opponent ELO9.67
Current ELO Difference-19.34
Expected score-0.03
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.24
Overperformance-2.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.24

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eyupspor U19

W
Eyupspor U191–0Kasimpasa U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Kasimpasa U19 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kocaelispor U19

W
Alanyaspor U191–5Kocaelispor U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Kocaelispor U19 45% · hit
W
Kocaelispor U192–0Amedspor U1924 Aug · home
Pick: Kocaelispor U19 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Eyupspor U19 and Kocaelispor U19 meet in U19 league on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Eyupspor U19 win 38.2%, draw 33.9%, Kocaelispor U19 win 27.9%. The pick is Eyupspor U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.6%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.