ScoreProb
U19 Bundesliga Germany Preliminary 2026

Hallescher FC U19 vs Union Berlin U19

Hallescher FC U19 Home · Elo 1,457
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Union Berlin U19 Away · Elo 1,565
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Union Berlin U19 win
Hallescher FC U19 win
33.1%
Draw
19.4%
Union Berlin U19 winPick
47.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes69.5%
No30.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.5%
Under 2.522.5%

How much we know

Hallescher FC U19 history41 matches
Union Berlin U19 history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Union Berlin U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Union Berlin U19 are rated 107 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,565 against 1,457. On rating alone Union Berlin U19 would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Union Berlin U19 score more

    1.88 goals a game over 41 matches for Hallescher FC U19, against 2.15 over 40 for Union Berlin U19.

  • Union Berlin U19 concede fewer

    Hallescher FC U19 concede 2.51 a game, Union Berlin U19 1.85.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    80% of Hallescher FC U19 matches, against 73% for Union Berlin U19. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hallescher FC U19
Union Berlin U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1457.4
ELO
1564.8
41
ELO · Matches
40
1457.4
Current Team ELO
1564.8
1564.8
Current Opponent ELO
1457.4
-107.5
Current ELO Difference
107.5
0.35
Expected score
0.65
41
History Matches
40
-0.06
Residual Mean
0.08
45.90
Overperformance
55.45
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
1.80
Goals for per game
2.20
2.00
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
2.10
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
0.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.18
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals
90
41
Matches
40
1.10
PPG
1.65
31.7%
Win rate
50.0%
14.6%
Draw rate
15.0%
53.7%
Loss rate
35.0%
92.7%
Over 1.5 rate
97.5%
80.5%
Over 2.5 rate
72.5%
61.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
3.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.15
Venue performance10 signals
100
18
Matches
20
1.17
PPG
1.55
38.9%
Win rate
45.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
61.1%
Loss rate
35.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
95.0%
88.9%
Over 2.5 rate
65.0%
55.6%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
3.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.18
18
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.88
Goals for per game
2.15
75.6%
Scoring rate
85.0%
65.9%
BTTS rate
75.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.90
72.2%
Scoring rate
80.0%
61.1%
BTTS rate
70.0%
1.67
Goals for per game
2.25
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
41
History Matches
40
1.88
Goals Mean
2.15
1.89
Goals Std
1.49
75.6%
Scored 1+ rate
85.0%
46.3%
Scored 2+ rate
65.0%
24.4%
Scored 3+ rate
37.5%
2.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.90
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.51
Goals against per game
1.85
87.8%
Conceding rate
87.5%
2.28
Goals against per game
1.70
88.9%
Conceding rate
85.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.50
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
41
History Matches
40
2.51
Conceded Mean
1.85
1.84
Conceded Std
1.28
70.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
39.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.0%
2.28
Venue Conceded Mean
1.70
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
24.4%
Failed-to-score rate
15.0%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
24.4%
Failed-to-score rate
15.0%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
41
History Matches
40
0.89
Result entropy
0.91
3.10
Goal Difference Std
2.15
10.84
Stability score
9.11
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
41
Eligible Matches
40
15
Lead Matches
15
73.3%
Lead Win Rate
73.3%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.78
17
Trailing Matches
13
17.6%
Non-loss rate
23.1%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
23.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.90
1.07
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.25
1.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
17
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.53
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.81
22
Long Rest History Matches
17
0.73
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.47
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
4
2.00
PPG
2.50
66.7%
Win rate
75.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.43
3
Current Competition Matches
4
2.00
Current Competition PPG
2.50
0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.75
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.76
1.08
Portability PPG Range
1.80
52.91
Portability Score
39.56
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
41
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-107.5
PPG-0.55
GF-0.27
GA0.66
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.38
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate9.4%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate7.8%
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.27
Goals Std0.40
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.19
Scored 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Goals Mean0.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.65
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.66
Conceded Std0.56
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Conceded 2+ rate20.7%
Conceded 3+ rate4.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.58
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.95
Stability score1.74
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.40
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.41
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.42
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.32
Portability PPG Range-0.72
Portability Score13.35
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.28
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.74
Current Team ELO-107.5
Current Opponent ELO107.5
Current ELO Difference-214.9
Expected score-0.30
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-9.55
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hallescher FC U19

D
Energie Cottbus U193–3Hallescher FC U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Energie Cottbus U19 61% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Union Berlin U19

W
Union Berlin U192–0Babelsberg U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Union Berlin U19 63% · hit
W
Union Berlin U194–3Energie Cottbus U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Energie Cottbus U19 42% · missed
W
Carl Zeiss Jena U190–3Union Berlin U1918 Oct · away
Pick: Union Berlin U19 47% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hallescher FC U19 and Union Berlin U19 meet in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hallescher FC U19 win 33.1%, draw 19.4%, Union Berlin U19 win 47.4%. The pick is Union Berlin U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.5%. Both teams to score: 69.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.