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4. liga - Divizie F Czechia Group F - 1 2026

Jiskra Rýmařov vs Šumperk

Jiskra Rýmařov Home · Elo 1,491
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Šumperk Away · Elo 1,464
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Jiskra Rýmařov win
Jiskra Rýmařov winPick
50.4%
Draw
21.3%
Šumperk win
28.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.8%
No41.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%

How much we know

Jiskra Rýmařov history50 matches
Šumperk history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.4%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Jiskra Rýmařov are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Jiskra Rýmařov are rated 27 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,491 against 1,464. On rating alone Jiskra Rýmařov would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Jiskra Rýmařov score far more

    1.98 goals a game over 50 matches for Jiskra Rýmařov, against 1.28 over 50 for Šumperk.

  • Šumperk concede fewer

    Jiskra Rýmařov concede 1.98 a game, Šumperk 1.44.

  • Jiskra Rýmařov games more often go over 2.5 goals

    66% of Jiskra Rýmařov matches, against 50% for Šumperk. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jiskra Rýmařov
Šumperk@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1491.3
ELO
1464.4
50
ELO · Matches
50
1491.3
Current Team ELO
1464.4
1464.4
Current Opponent ELO
1491.3
26.91
Current ELO Difference
-26.91
0.54
Expected score
0.46
50
History Matches
50
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.04
49.03
Overperformance
47.43
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.80
2.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.40
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.90
2.10
Goals for per game
0.80
1.50
Goals against per game
1.90
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.58
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.87
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.70
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
50
1.50
PPG
1.22
46.0%
Win rate
30.0%
12.0%
Draw rate
32.0%
42.0%
Loss rate
38.0%
82.0%
Over 1.5 rate
68.0%
66.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.0%
2.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
25
1.46
PPG
1.36
45.8%
Win rate
36.0%
8.3%
Draw rate
28.0%
45.8%
Loss rate
36.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
68.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
48.0%
62.5%
Over 3.5 rate
32.0%
2.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.91
24
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.98
Goals for per game
1.28
84.0%
Scoring rate
70.0%
66.0%
BTTS rate
48.0%
2.13
Goals for per game
1.48
83.3%
Scoring rate
76.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
52.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
50
1.98
Goals Mean
1.28
1.57
Goals Std
1.28
84.0%
Scored 1+ rate
70.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
32.0%
34.0%
Scored 3+ rate
14.0%
2.13
Venue Goals Mean
1.48
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.98
Goals against per game
1.44
82.0%
Conceding rate
62.0%
2.25
Goals against per game
1.44
83.3%
Conceding rate
64.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
50
1.98
Conceded Mean
1.44
1.63
Conceded Std
1.54
56.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.0%
30.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.0%
2.25
Venue Conceded Mean
1.44
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
50
0.89
Result entropy
1.00
2.29
Goal Difference Std
1.85
11.16
Stability score
0.47
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
49
15
Lead Matches
13
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
53.8%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.62
20
Trailing Matches
16
15.0%
Non-loss rate
18.8%
5.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.94
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
1.02
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
1.04
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
0.96
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
83.94
Rest days
82.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
29
Normal Rest History Matches
25
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.20
20
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.70
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.25
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
1.33
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.38
Portability PPG Std
0.12
0.83
Portability PPG Range
0.26
56.94
Portability Score
81.12
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO26.91
PPG0.28
GF0.70
GA0.54
PPG0.67
PPG0.10
PPG0.60
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.70
Goals Std0.29
Scored 1+ rate14.0%
Scored 2+ rate18.0%
Scored 3+ rate20.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.65
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.60
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.54
Conceded Std0.09
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Conceded 2+ rate12.0%
Conceded 3+ rate12.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.81
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.84
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.11
Goal Difference Std0.44
Stability score10.70
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.31
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate39.5%
Lead Points Retention0.34
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.04
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.26
Portability PPG Range0.57
Portability Score-24.17
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.11
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.45
Current Team ELO26.91
Current Opponent ELO-26.91
Current ELO Difference53.82
Expected score0.08
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.59
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jiskra Rýmařov

D
Jiskra Rýmařov2–2Nový Jičín31 Oct · home
Pick: Jiskra Rýmařov 50% · missed
L
Pustá Polom2–0Jiskra Rýmařov25 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Rýmařov 45% · missed
W
Jiskra Rýmařov5–0Bílovec17 Oct · home
Pick: Jiskra Rýmařov 48% · hit
D
Valašské Meziříčí2–2Jiskra Rýmařov29 Aug · away
Pick: Jiskra Rýmařov 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Šumperk

W
Hlučín1–2Šumperk30 Oct · away
Pick: Hlučín 60% · missed
D
Kravare1–1Šumperk25 Oct · away
Pick: Kravare 52% · missed
D
Šumperk0–0Nový Jičín18 Oct · home
Pick: Šumperk 38% · missed
D
Šumperk1–1Bílovec4 Oct · home
Pick: Šumperk 47% · missed
W
Frýdlant1–5Šumperk29 Aug · away
Pick: Šumperk 47% · hit

About this match

Jiskra Rýmařov and Šumperk meet in 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Jiskra Rýmařov win 50.4%, draw 21.3%, Šumperk win 28.3%. The pick is Jiskra Rýmařov win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.5%. Both teams to score: 58.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.