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4. liga - Divizie F Czechia Group F - 1 2026

Opava II vs Břidličná

Opava II Home · Elo 1,499
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Břidličná Away · Elo 1,428
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Opava II win
Opava II winPick
57.5%
Draw
19.3%
Břidličná win
23.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.1%
Under 2.530.9%

How much we know

Opava II history47 matches
Břidličná history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.5%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Opava II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Opava II are rated 71 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,499 against 1,428. On rating alone Opava II would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Opava II score more

    1.79 goals a game over 47 matches for Opava II, against 1.34 over 50 for Břidličná.

  • Defences are close

    Opava II concede 1.81 a game, Břidličná 1.90.

  • Opava II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    68% of Opava II matches, against 54% for Břidličná. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Opava II
Břidličná@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1498.6
ELO
1428.1
47
ELO · Matches
50
1498.6
Current Team ELO
1428.1
1428.1
Current Opponent ELO
1498.6
70.59
Current ELO Difference
-70.59
0.60
Expected score
0.40
47
History Matches
50
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.07
50.15
Overperformance
45.16
0.35
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.80
2.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.00
Goals against per game
2.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
0.60
2.90
Goals for per game
0.90
1.20
Goals against per game
2.30
70.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.51
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.27
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.68
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
50
1.23
PPG
1.10
31.9%
Win rate
28.0%
27.7%
Draw rate
26.0%
40.4%
Loss rate
46.0%
89.4%
Over 1.5 rate
82.0%
68.1%
Over 2.5 rate
54.0%
51.1%
Over 3.5 rate
44.0%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
24
1.13
PPG
0.96
29.2%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
20.8%
45.8%
Loss rate
54.2%
95.8%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.2%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
45.8%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
24
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.79
Goals for per game
1.34
85.1%
Scoring rate
74.0%
70.2%
BTTS rate
62.0%
1.75
Goals for per game
1.17
91.7%
Scoring rate
75.0%
79.2%
BTTS rate
58.3%
3.00
Goals for per game
0.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
47
History Matches
50
1.79
Goals Mean
1.34
1.32
Goals Std
1.23
85.1%
Scored 1+ rate
74.0%
55.3%
Scored 2+ rate
36.0%
19.1%
Scored 3+ rate
14.0%
1.75
Venue Goals Mean
1.17
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.81
Goals against per game
1.90
80.9%
Conceding rate
82.0%
2.04
Goals against per game
2.25
87.5%
Conceding rate
79.2%
1.33
Goals against per game
3.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
47
History Matches
50
1.81
Conceded Mean
1.90
1.44
Conceded Std
1.55
53.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.0%
23.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.0%
2.04
Venue Conceded Mean
2.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.1%
Clean-sheet rate
18.0%
14.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
19.1%
Clean-sheet rate
18.0%
14.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
19.1%
Clean-sheet rate
18.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
50
0.99
Result entropy
0.97
2.04
Goal Difference Std
1.96
1.14
Stability score
3.16
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
50
10
Lead Matches
14
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.86
16
Trailing Matches
19
18.8%
Non-loss rate
15.8%
6.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.91
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
0.98
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.06
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.78
Rest days
84.72
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.18
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.10
23
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.39
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
0.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.67
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.53
Portability PPG Std
0.60
1.13
Portability PPG Range
1.43
48.76
Portability Score
45.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO70.59
PPG0.13
GF0.45
GA-0.09
PPG2.33
PPG0.17
PPG1.40
PPG1.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate1.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-3
Goals Mean0.45
Goals Std0.09
Scored 1+ rate11.1%
Scored 2+ rate19.3%
Scored 3+ rate5.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.58
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.68
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean-0.09
Conceded Std-0.11
Clean-sheet rate1.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Conceded Mean-0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.40
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.08
Stability score-2.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.05
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate1.4%
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate3.0%
Trailing Win Rate6.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.33
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.08
Portability PPG Range-0.30
Portability Score3.40
Rest days-0.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.08
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.39
Current Team ELO70.59
Current Opponent ELO-70.59
Current ELO Difference141.2
Expected score0.20
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance4.99
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.52

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Opava II

L
Opava II2–3Zabreh1 Nov · home
Pick: Opava II 52% · missed
L
Opava II1–3Hlučín24 Oct · home
Pick: Opava II 48% · missed
W
Frýdlant1–4Opava II17 Oct · away
Pick: Opava II 48% · hit
L
Opava II0–3Kravare29 Aug · home
Pick: Opava II 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Břidličná

W
Břidličná6–2Frýdlant7 Nov · home
Pick: Břidličná 45% · hit
L
Stonava2–1Břidličná31 Oct · away
Pick: Stonava 52% · hit
L
Břidličná0–1Valašské Meziříčí24 Oct · home
Pick: Valašské Meziříčí 48% · hit
L
Frydek-Mistek B4–2Břidličná18 Oct · away
Pick: Frydek-Mistek B 41% · hit
W
Břidličná3–1Bílovec29 Aug · home
Pick: Bílovec 51% · missed

About this match

Opava II and Břidličná meet in 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Opava II win 57.5%, draw 19.3%, Břidličná win 23.2%. The pick is Opava II win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.1%. Both teams to score: 62.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.