ScoreProb
3. Lig - Group 1 Türkiye 3. Lig Group 1 - 10 2026

Kartal Bulvarspor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor

Kartal Bulvarspor Home · Elo 1,457
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Zonguldak Kömürspor Away · Elo 1,521
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Zonguldak Kömürspor win
Kartal Bulvarspor win
31.2%
Draw
23.9%
Zonguldak Kömürspor winPick
44.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.6%
No45.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.5%
Under 2.543.5%

How much we know

Kartal Bulvarspor history44 matches
Zonguldak Kömürspor history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Zonguldak Kömürspor are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Zonguldak Kömürspor are rated 63 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,521 against 1,457. On rating alone Zonguldak Kömürspor would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Zonguldak Kömürspor score more

    1.30 goals a game over 44 matches for Kartal Bulvarspor, against 1.47 over 47 for Zonguldak Kömürspor.

  • Zonguldak Kömürspor concede fewer

    Kartal Bulvarspor concede 1.82 a game, Zonguldak Kömürspor 1.17.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    61% of Kartal Bulvarspor matches, against 57% for Zonguldak Kömürspor. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 19 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kartal Bulvarspor
Zonguldak Kömürspor
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1457.4
ELO
1520.9
44
ELO · Matches
47
1457.4
Current Team ELO
1520.9
1520.9
Current Opponent ELO
1457.4
-63.45
Current ELO Difference
63.45
0.41
Expected score
0.59
44
History Matches
47
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.03
46.40
Overperformance
51.91
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.60
1.20
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.10
1.00
Goals for per game
1.50
1.70
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.57
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.35
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.61
Overall performance9 signals
90
44
Matches
47
1.20
PPG
1.53
31.8%
Win rate
42.6%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.5%
43.2%
Loss rate
31.9%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.7%
61.4%
Over 2.5 rate
57.4%
38.6%
Over 3.5 rate
23.4%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.98
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
22
1.48
PPG
1.45
38.1%
Win rate
40.9%
33.3%
Draw rate
22.7%
28.6%
Loss rate
36.4%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
77.3%
47.6%
Over 2.5 rate
59.1%
38.1%
Over 3.5 rate
27.3%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.65
21
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.30
Goals for per game
1.47
77.3%
Scoring rate
70.2%
61.4%
BTTS rate
42.6%
1.24
Goals for per game
1.45
76.2%
Scoring rate
72.7%
52.4%
BTTS rate
54.5%
44
History Matches
47
1.30
Goals Mean
1.47
1.06
Goals Std
1.29
77.3%
Scored 1+ rate
70.2%
36.4%
Scored 2+ rate
46.8%
9.1%
Scored 3+ rate
21.3%
1.24
Venue Goals Mean
1.45
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.82
Goals against per game
1.17
77.3%
Conceding rate
59.6%
1.38
Goals against per game
1.36
66.7%
Conceding rate
72.7%
44
History Matches
47
1.82
Conceded Mean
1.17
1.63
Conceded Std
1.24
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.2%
27.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.9%
1.38
Venue Conceded Mean
1.36
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
40.4%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
40.4%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
40.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
44
History Matches
47
0.98
Result entropy
0.98
1.86
Goal Difference Std
1.98
2.28
Stability score
2.00
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
47
15
Lead Matches
19
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
78.9%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.82
13
Trailing Matches
10
7.7%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.36
0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.85
1.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
203.0
Rest days
203.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
28
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.14
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.54
15
Long Rest History Matches
9
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.56
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.11
Portability PPG Std
0.09
0.22
Portability PPG Range
0.18
82.11
Portability Score
84.68
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
44
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-63.45
PPG-0.33
GF-0.17
GA0.65
PPG0.02
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate6.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.17
Goals Std-0.23
Scored 1+ rate7.1%
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean-0.22
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.79
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.65
Conceded Std0.38
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate13.8%
Conceded 3+ rate12.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.11
Stability score0.28
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.27
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.11
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate-0.12
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.35
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.02
Portability PPG Range0.04
Portability Score-2.57
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.40
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.22
Current Team ELO-63.45
Current Opponent ELO63.45
Current ELO Difference-126.9
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-5.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kartal Bulvarspor

L
İnkılapspor3–2Kartal Bulvarspor31 Oct · away
Pick: Kartal Bulvarspor 41% · missed
L
Kartal Bulvarspor0–1Galata25 Oct · home
Pick: Kartal Bulvarspor 50% · missed
D
Beykoz Anadolu1–1Kartal Bulvarspor18 Oct · away
Pick: Beykoz Anadolu 47% · missed
L
Silivrispor3–2Kartal Bulvarspor7 Oct · away
Pick: Silivrispor 55% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Zonguldak Kömürspor

D
Zonguldak Kömürspor2–2Fatsa Belediyespor31 Oct · home
Pick: Zonguldak Kömürspor 43% · missed
D
Gölcükspor2–2Zonguldak Kömürspor24 Oct · away
Pick: Zonguldak Kömürspor 37% · missed
W
Zonguldak Kömürspor2–1Beykoz İshaklıspor18 Oct · home
Pick: Zonguldak Kömürspor 43% · hit
L
Zonguldak Kömürspor0–1Düzcespor7 Oct · home
Pick: Zonguldak Kömürspor 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kartal Bulvarspor and Zonguldak Kömürspor meet in 3. Lig - Group 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kartal Bulvarspor win 31.2%, draw 23.9%, Zonguldak Kömürspor win 44.9%. The pick is Zonguldak Kömürspor win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.5%. Both teams to score: 54.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.