ScoreProb
Elitettan Sweden Round 25 2026

KIF Örebro W vs Linköping W

KIF Örebro W Home · Elo 1,607
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Linköping W Away · Elo 1,518
Behrn Arena Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: KIF Örebro W win
KIF Örebro W winPick
48.9%
Draw
22.3%
Linköping W win
28.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.7%
No41.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.9%
Under 2.535.1%

How much we know

KIF Örebro W history45 matches
Linköping W history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why KIF Örebro W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • KIF Örebro W are rated 89 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,607 against 1,518. On rating alone KIF Örebro W would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • KIF Örebro W score far more

    2.18 goals a game over 45 matches for KIF Örebro W, against 1.40 over 47 for Linköping W.

  • KIF Örebro W concede fewer

    KIF Örebro W concede 1.29 a game, Linköping W 1.83.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    71% of KIF Örebro W matches, against 72% for Linköping W. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
KIF Örebro W
Linköping W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1607.0
ELO
1518.0
45
ELO · Matches
47
1607.0
Current Team ELO
1518.0
1518.0
Current Opponent ELO
1607.0
88.96
Current ELO Difference
-88.96
0.63
Expected score
0.37
45
History Matches
47
0.11
Residual Mean
0.01
57.60
Overperformance
50.97
0.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.34
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.40
1.40
Goals for per game
2.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
2.70
PPG
2.50
2.00
Goals for per game
2.40
0.80
Goals against per game
1.10
90.0%
Win rate
80.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
1.60
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.68
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
47
2.00
PPG
1.26
62.2%
Win rate
36.2%
13.3%
Draw rate
17.0%
24.4%
Loss rate
46.8%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
89.4%
71.1%
Over 2.5 rate
72.3%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.4%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
26
2.05
PPG
1.04
66.7%
Win rate
30.8%
4.8%
Draw rate
11.5%
28.6%
Loss rate
57.7%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
88.5%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
38.1%
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
2.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
21
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.18
Goals for per game
1.40
82.2%
Scoring rate
74.5%
53.3%
BTTS rate
59.6%
2.05
Goals for per game
1.23
76.2%
Scoring rate
69.2%
42.9%
BTTS rate
61.5%
2.07
Goals for per game
2.07
86.7%
Scoring rate
93.3%
46.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
45
History Matches
47
2.18
Goals Mean
1.40
1.64
Goals Std
1.21
82.2%
Scored 1+ rate
74.5%
64.4%
Scored 2+ rate
40.4%
33.3%
Scored 3+ rate
17.0%
2.05
Venue Goals Mean
1.23
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.29
Goals against per game
1.83
66.7%
Conceding rate
83.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.81
61.9%
Conceding rate
88.5%
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
45
History Matches
47
1.29
Conceded Mean
1.83
1.22
Conceded Std
1.34
40.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.3%
15.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.7%
1.33
Venue Conceded Mean
1.81
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.0%
17.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
38.1%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
6.7%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.0%
17.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
38.1%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
47
0.83
Result entropy
0.93
2.17
Goal Difference Std
2.17
17.33
Stability score
6.74
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
47
22
Lead Matches
15
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.89
11
Trailing Matches
21
27.3%
Non-loss rate
19.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
1.18
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.06
Rest days
75.21
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
21
Normal Rest History Matches
24
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
21
Long Rest History Matches
22
2.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.27
Competition & season17 signals
170
15
Matches
15
2.27
PPG
2.40
73.3%
Win rate
73.3%
6.7%
Draw rate
20.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
6.7%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
73.3%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.34
15
Current Competition Matches
15
2.27
Current Competition PPG
2.40
0.87
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.07
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.90
Portability PPG Std
0.73
1.93
Portability PPG Range
1.78
35.81
Portability Score
40.55
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO88.96
PPG0.74
GF0.77
GA-0.54
PPG-0.13
PPG1.01
PPG0.00
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate26.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.77
Goals Std0.42
Scored 1+ rate7.8%
Scored 2+ rate24.0%
Scored 3+ rate16.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.82
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.10
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.54
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.15
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean-0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.12
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.11
Goal Difference Std0.00
Stability score10.59
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate13.3%
Lead Points Retention0.11
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate8.2%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean0.32
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.31
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.13
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.20
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.16
Portability PPG Range0.15
Portability Score-4.73
Rest days1.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.71
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.82
Current Team ELO88.96
Current Opponent ELO-88.96
Current ELO Difference177.9
Expected score0.25
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance6.63
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

KIF Örebro W

L
KIF Örebro W0–2Gamla Upsala W31 Oct · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 80% · missed
W
Alingsås W0–2KIF Örebro W24 Oct · away
Pick: KIF Örebro W 67% · hit
W
KIF Örebro W7–2Jitex W17 Oct · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 69% · hit
W
KIF Örebro W2–1Umeå W29 Aug · home
Pick: KIF Örebro W 53% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Linköping W

L
Linköping W0–2Trelleborg W31 Oct · home
Pick: Linköping W 57% · missed
L
Sandviken W3–2Linköping W25 Oct · away
Pick: Linköping W 78% · missed
D
Linköping W0–0Umeå W17 Oct · home
Pick: Linköping W 45% · missed
L
Linköping W1–4Göteborg W29 Aug · home
Pick: Göteborg W 41% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

KIF Örebro W and Linköping W meet in Elitettan on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Behrn Arena. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: KIF Örebro W win 48.9%, draw 22.3%, Linköping W win 28.7%. The pick is KIF Örebro W win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.9%. Both teams to score: 58.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.