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I Liga - Women Slovakia Round 13 2026

Komárno W vs Spartak Trnava W

Komárno W Home · Elo 1,477
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Spartak Trnava W Away · Elo 1,484
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Spartak Trnava W win
Komárno W win
36.8%
Draw
26.2%
Spartak Trnava W winPick
37.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.7%
No46.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%

How much we know

Komárno W history36 matches
Spartak Trnava W history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.0%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why Spartak Trnava W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,477 against 1,484. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Spartak Trnava W score more

    1.08 goals a game over 36 matches for Komárno W, against 1.45 over 38 for Spartak Trnava W.

  • Defences are close

    Komárno W concede 1.92 a game, Spartak Trnava W 1.79.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Komárno W matches, against 53% for Spartak Trnava W. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Komárno W
Spartak Trnava W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1476.9
ELO
1484.1
36
ELO · Matches
38
1476.9
Current Team ELO
1484.1
1484.1
Current Opponent ELO
1476.9
-7.15
Current ELO Difference
7.15
0.49
Expected score
0.51
36
History Matches
38
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.03
47.74
Overperformance
48.00
0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.24
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.40
1.80
Goals for per game
1.80
2.20
Goals against per game
0.60
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
2.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.30
1.40
Goals against per game
0.50
60.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.35
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.50
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.81
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals
90
36
Matches
38
1.17
PPG
1.32
33.3%
Win rate
36.8%
16.7%
Draw rate
21.1%
50.0%
Loss rate
42.1%
80.6%
Over 1.5 rate
73.7%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
52.6%
30.6%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
2.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.97
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
21
1.59
PPG
1.24
47.1%
Win rate
33.3%
17.6%
Draw rate
23.8%
35.3%
Loss rate
42.9%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
41.2%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
17.6%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.19
17
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.08
Goals for per game
1.45
58.3%
Scoring rate
78.9%
44.4%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.35
Goals for per game
1.05
64.7%
Scoring rate
71.4%
41.2%
BTTS rate
42.9%
2.50
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
36
History Matches
38
1.08
Goals Mean
1.45
1.14
Goals Std
1.33
58.3%
Scored 1+ rate
78.9%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
31.6%
13.9%
Scored 3+ rate
18.4%
1.35
Venue Goals Mean
1.05
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.92
Goals against per game
1.79
86.1%
Conceding rate
65.8%
1.29
Goals against per game
2.05
76.5%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.50
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
36
History Matches
38
1.92
Conceded Mean
1.79
1.59
Conceded Std
2.44
47.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.1%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.7%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
2.05
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
13.9%
Clean-sheet rate
34.2%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
13.9%
Clean-sheet rate
34.2%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
13.9%
Clean-sheet rate
34.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
36
History Matches
38
0.92
Result entropy
0.96
2.25
Goal Difference Std
2.97
7.94
Stability score
3.50
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
36
Eligible Matches
38
6
Lead Matches
15
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.69
18
Trailing Matches
10
27.8%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
36
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.89
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.74
1.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.13
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.10
Rest days
84.25
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
15
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.13
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.47
19
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.32
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.10
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.25
Portability PPG Std
0.36
0.51
Portability PPG Range
0.73
66.30
Portability Score
57.89
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
36
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-7.15
PPG-0.15
GF-0.36
GA0.13
PPG0.00
PPG0.35
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Failed-to-score rate20.6%
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate6.7%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.36
Goals Std-0.19
Scored 1+ rate-0.21
Scored 2+ rate1.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.31
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.15
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.13
Conceded Std-0.85
Clean-sheet rate-0.20
Conceded 2+ rate5.1%
Conceded 3+ rate1.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.69
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.71
Stability score4.43
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.74
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate23.3%
Lead Points Retention0.20
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate7.8%
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.11
Portability PPG Range-0.22
Portability Score8.40
Rest days-0.15
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.22
Current Team ELO-7.15
Current Opponent ELO7.15
Current ELO Difference-14.30
Expected score-0.02
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Komárno W

L
Trenčín W1–0Komárno W7 Nov · away
Pick: Trenčín W 53% · hit
W
Komárno W3–1Dukla Banská Bystrica W31 Oct · home
Pick: Komárno W 87% · hit
W
Komárno W3–0Ružomberok W24 Oct · home
Pick: Komárno W 59% · hit
W
Komárno W5–0Petržalka W17 Oct · home
Pick: Komárno W 70% · hit
L
Komárno W1–2Trenčín W29 Aug · home
Pick: Trenčín W 44% · hit

Spartak Trnava W

W
Spartak Trnava W3–0Ružomberok W7 Nov · home
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 63% · hit
W
Spartak Trnava W2–1Tatran Prešov W24 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 60% · hit
L
Spartak Trnava W2–5Slovan Bratislava W18 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 56% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Komárno W and Spartak Trnava W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Komárno W win 36.8%, draw 26.2%, Spartak Trnava W win 37.0%. The pick is Spartak Trnava W win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.1%. Both teams to score: 53.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.