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I Liga - Women Slovakia Round 13 2026

Trenčín W vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W

Trenčín W Home · Elo 1,469
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dukla Banská Bystrica W Away · Elo 1,426
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Trenčín W win
Trenčín W winPick
85.3%
Draw
10.2%
Dukla Banská Bystrica W win
4.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.2%
No54.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.589.2%
Under 2.510.8%

How much we know

Trenčín W history37 matches
Dukla Banská Bystrica W history13 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (85.3%). Picks in that band won 83.1% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 177 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Trenčín W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Trenčín W are rated 43 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,469 against 1,426. On rating alone Trenčín W would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Trenčín W score far more

    1.46 goals a game over 37 matches for Trenčín W, against 0.62 over 13 for Dukla Banská Bystrica W.

  • Trenčín W concede fewer

    Trenčín W concede 1.78 a game, Dukla Banská Bystrica W 3.31.

  • Dukla Banská Bystrica W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    59% of Trenčín W matches, against 69% for Dukla Banská Bystrica W. The model puts this match at 89% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Trenčín W
Dukla Banská Bystrica W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1469.2
ELO
1426.1
37
ELO · Matches
13
1469.2
Current Team ELO
1426.1
1426.1
Current Opponent ELO
1469.2
43.10
Current ELO Difference
-43.10
0.56
Expected score
0.44
37
History Matches
13
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.29
47.48
Overperformance
38.69
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.27
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.00
3.20
Goals for per game
0.40
1.20
Goals against per game
5.40
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.40
1.90
Goals for per game
0.60
1.30
Goals against per game
3.80
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.60
2.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.80
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.80
1.27
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.86
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
3.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.34
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
13
1.24
PPG
0.38
35.1%
Win rate
7.7%
18.9%
Draw rate
15.4%
45.9%
Loss rate
76.9%
75.7%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
59.5%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
37.8%
Over 3.5 rate
46.2%
2.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.10
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
7
1.68
PPG
0.14
52.6%
Win rate
0.0%
10.5%
Draw rate
14.3%
36.8%
Loss rate
85.7%
78.9%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
57.9%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
36.8%
Over 3.5 rate
57.1%
2.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.55
19
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.46
Goals for per game
0.62
64.9%
Scoring rate
46.2%
43.2%
BTTS rate
46.2%
1.74
Goals for per game
0.29
73.7%
Scoring rate
28.6%
42.1%
BTTS rate
28.6%
6.50
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
37
History Matches
13
1.46
Goals Mean
0.62
1.72
Goals Std
0.74
64.9%
Scored 1+ rate
46.2%
35.1%
Scored 2+ rate
15.4%
18.9%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.74
Venue Goals Mean
0.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.78
Goals against per game
3.31
70.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.26
Goals against per game
4.29
63.2%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
7.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
13
1.78
Conceded Mean
3.31
1.90
Conceded Std
2.70
45.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
69.2%
27.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
53.8%
1.26
Venue Conceded Mean
4.29
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
35.1%
Failed-to-score rate
53.8%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
71.4%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
29.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
35.1%
Failed-to-score rate
53.8%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
71.4%
29.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
13
0.95
Result entropy
0.63
2.92
Goal Difference Std
3.10
5.35
Stability score
37.46
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
37
Eligible Matches
13
9
Lead Matches
1
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
1.00
13
Trailing Matches
7
15.4%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
37
Halftime Coverage Matches
13
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.31
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.31
0.89
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.31
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.85
Rest days
83.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
13
Normal Rest History Matches
4
1.62
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.75
23
Long Rest History Matches
7
1.09
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
5.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
6.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-6.00
3
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.03
Portability PPG Std
—
0.06
Portability PPG Range
—
94.62
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
13
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO43.10
PPG0.86
GF0.84
GA-1.52
PPG3.00
PPG1.54
PPG2.00
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches24
Clean-sheet rate29.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate36.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.45
History Matches24
Goals Mean0.84
Goals Std0.98
Scored 1+ rate18.7%
Scored 2+ rate19.8%
Scored 3+ rate18.9%
Venue Goals Mean1.45
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std1.63
History Matches24
Conceded Mean-1.52
Conceded Std-0.80
Clean-sheet rate29.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.23
Conceded 3+ rate-0.27
Venue Conceded Mean-3.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.59
History Matches24
Result entropy0.32
Goal Difference Std-0.18
Stability score-32.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.33
Eligible Matches24
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.33
Lead Points Retention-0.26
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate1.1%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches24
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean12.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.87
Long Rest History Matches16
Long Rest Points Per Match0.94
Current Team ELO43.10
Current Opponent ELO-43.10
Current ELO Difference86.21
Expected score0.12
History Matches24
Residual Mean0.25
Overperformance8.79
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Trenčín W

W
Trenčín W1–0Komárno W7 Nov · home
Pick: Trenčín W 53% · hit
L
Ružomberok W2–0Trenčín W31 Oct · away
Pick: Trenčín W 47% · missed
W
Trenčín W2–1Petržalka W24 Oct · home
Pick: Trenčín W 75% · hit
L
Trenčín W0–4Spartak Myjava W21 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 70% · hit
W
Trenčín W3–1Tatran Prešov W17 Oct · home
Pick: Trenčín W 57% · hit

Dukla Banská Bystrica W

W
Dukla Banská Bystrica W3–2Slovan Bratislava W7 Nov · home
Pick: Slovan Bratislava W 88% · missed
L
Komárno W3–1Dukla Banská Bystrica W31 Oct · away
Pick: Komárno W 87% · hit
L
Dukla Banská Bystrica W1–4Spartak Myjava W24 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 93% · hit
L
Ružomberok W2–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W17 Oct · away
Pick: Ružomberok W 79% · hit
L
Slovan Bratislava W7–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W29 Aug · away
Pick: Slovan Bratislava W 95% · hit

About this match

Trenčín W and Dukla Banská Bystrica W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Trenčín W win 85.3%, draw 10.2%, Dukla Banská Bystrica W win 4.5%. The pick is Trenčín W win. Over 2.5 goals: 89.2%. Both teams to score: 45.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.