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I Liga - Women Slovakia Round 13 2026

Ružomberok W vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W

Ružomberok W Home · Elo 1,454
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Z. Moravce-Vrable W Away · Elo 1,484
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Ružomberok W win
Ružomberok W winPick
41.6%
Draw
21.7%
Z. Moravce-Vrable W win
36.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.9%
No45.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.9%
Under 2.537.1%

How much we know

Ružomberok W history37 matches
Z. Moravce-Vrable W history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.6%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Ružomberok W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Z. Moravce-Vrable W are rated 30 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,484 against 1,454. On rating alone Z. Moravce-Vrable W would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Ružomberok W score far more

    1.54 goals a game over 37 matches for Ružomberok W, against 0.50 over 2 for Z. Moravce-Vrable W.

  • Defences are close

    Ružomberok W concede 2.22 a game, Z. Moravce-Vrable W 2.00.

  • Ružomberok W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    73% of Ružomberok W matches, against 50% for Z. Moravce-Vrable W. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ružomberok W
Z. Moravce-Vrable W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1453.6
ELO
1483.6
37
ELO · Matches
2
1453.6
Current Team ELO
1483.6
1483.6
Current Opponent ELO
1453.6
-30.03
Current ELO Difference
30.03
0.46
Expected score
0.54
37
History Matches
2
-0.06
Residual Mean
-0.40
46.16
Overperformance
46.37
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.40
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
1.40
PPG
0.00
1.40
Goals for per game
0.50
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
2
1.60
PPG
0.00
1.80
Goals for per game
0.50
2.10
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
1.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.00
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
2
1.19
PPG
0.00
37.8%
Win rate
0.0%
5.4%
Draw rate
0.0%
56.8%
Loss rate
100.0%
86.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
73.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
37.8%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
1
1.42
PPG
0.00
47.4%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
52.6%
Loss rate
100.0%
89.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
73.7%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
36.8%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
19
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.54
Goals for per game
0.50
73.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
59.5%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.84
Goals for per game
0.00
73.7%
Scoring rate
0.0%
57.9%
BTTS rate
0.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
0.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
37
History Matches
2
1.54
Goals Mean
0.50
1.46
Goals Std
0.50
73.0%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
43.2%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
18.9%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.84
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.22
Goals against per game
2.00
86.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.95
Goals against per game
2.00
84.2%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4.50
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
2
2.22
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.74
Conceded Std
0.00
62.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
32.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.95
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
13.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
27.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
13.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
27.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
13.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
2
0.77
Result entropy
0.00
2.41
Goal Difference Std
0.50
22.91
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
37
Eligible Matches
2
7
Lead Matches
0
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.76
Lead Points Retention
—
17
Trailing Matches
1
17.6%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
17.6%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
37
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.95
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.95
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
1.27
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.02
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
13
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
21
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-4.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
3
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.05
Portability PPG Std
—
0.11
Portability PPG Range
—
90.10
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-30.03
PPG1.19
GF1.04
GA0.22
PPG0.00
PPG1.42
PPG1.40
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches35
Clean-sheet rate13.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches18
Clean-sheet rate15.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.74
History Matches35
Goals Mean1.04
Goals Std0.96
Scored 1+ rate23.0%
Scored 2+ rate43.2%
Scored 3+ rate18.9%
Venue Goals Mean1.84
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std1.16
History Matches35
Conceded Mean0.22
Conceded Std1.74
Clean-sheet rate13.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.38
Conceded 3+ rate32.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.87
History Matches35
Result entropy0.77
Goal Difference Std1.91
Stability score-77.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.86
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.29
Eligible Matches35
Lead Matches7
Trailing Matches16
Non-loss rate17.6%
Trailing Win Rate17.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches35
First Half Goals For Mean0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean0.45
Second Half Goals For Mean0.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.50
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches12
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.15
Long Rest History Matches21
Current Team ELO-30.03
Current Opponent ELO30.03
Current ELO Difference-60.06
Expected score-0.09
History Matches35
Residual Mean0.34
Overperformance-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.44

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ružomberok W

L
Spartak Trnava W3–0Ružomberok W7 Nov · away
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 63% · hit
W
Ružomberok W2–0Trenčín W31 Oct · home
Pick: Trenčín W 47% · missed
L
Komárno W3–0Ružomberok W24 Oct · away
Pick: Komárno W 59% · hit
W
Ružomberok W2–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W17 Oct · home
Pick: Ružomberok W 79% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Z. Moravce-Vrable W

W
Z. Moravce-Vrable W11–1Petržalka W7 Nov · home
Pick: Z. Moravce-Vrable W 63% · hit
D
Tatran Prešov W1–1Z. Moravce-Vrable W31 Oct · away
Pick: Tatran Prešov W 65% · missed
L
Z. Moravce-Vrable W2–5Slovan Bratislava W24 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Bratislava W 47% · hit
L
Z. Moravce-Vrable W0–5Spartak Myjava W17 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 80% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Ružomberok W and Z. Moravce-Vrable W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Ružomberok W win 41.6%, draw 21.7%, Z. Moravce-Vrable W win 36.7%. The pick is Ružomberok W win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.9%. Both teams to score: 54.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.