Petržalka W vs Spartak Myjava W
Match result probability Model pick: Spartak Myjava W win
Petržalka W win
3.7%
Draw
5.2%
Spartak Myjava W winPick
91.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes49.9%
No50.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.584.9%
Under 2.515.1%
How much we know
Petržalka W history38 matches
Spartak Myjava W history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Spartak Myjava W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 13:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 14:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (91.1%). Picks in that band won 83.1% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 177 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.
Why Spartak Myjava W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Spartak Myjava W are rated 266 Elo points higher
Elo 1,695 against 1,429. On rating alone Spartak Myjava W would be expected to take 82% of the points on offer.
-
Spartak Myjava W score far more
1.47 goals a game over 38 matches for Petržalka W, against 4.51 over 45 for Spartak Myjava W.
-
Spartak Myjava W concede fewer
Petržalka W concede 3.24 a game, Spartak Myjava W 0.76.
-
Spartak Myjava W games more often go over 2.5 goals
71% of Petržalka W matches, against 80% for Spartak Myjava W. The model puts this match at 85% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Spartak Myjava W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1428.9
ELO
1695.2
38
ELO · Matches
45
1428.9
Current Team ELO
1695.2
1695.2
Current Opponent ELO
1428.9
-266.3
Current ELO Difference
266.3
0.18
Expected score
0.82
38
History Matches
45
-0.09
Residual Mean
0.22
43.88
Overperformance
65.36
-0.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
2.40
1.00
Goals for per game
5.20
4.20
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.30
PPG
2.70
0.80
Goals for per game
6.80
5.70
Goals against per game
1.00
10.0%
Win rate
90.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
6.80
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
3.31
5.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
3.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
3.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.99
Overall performance9 signals 90
38
Matches
45
1.11
PPG
2.53
31.6%
Win rate
82.2%
15.8%
Draw rate
6.7%
52.6%
Loss rate
11.1%
89.5%
Over 1.5 rate
97.8%
71.1%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
65.8%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
3.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
19
Matches
20
0.84
PPG
2.35
21.1%
Win rate
75.0%
21.1%
Draw rate
10.0%
57.9%
Loss rate
15.0%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
95.0%
63.2%
Over 2.5 rate
65.0%
57.9%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.91
19
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.47
Goals for per game
4.51
71.1%
Scoring rate
97.8%
57.9%
BTTS rate
51.1%
1.26
Goals for per game
3.30
73.7%
Scoring rate
95.0%
57.9%
BTTS rate
60.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
8.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
38
History Matches
45
1.47
Goals Mean
4.51
1.39
Goals Std
3.12
71.1%
Scored 1+ rate
97.8%
39.5%
Scored 2+ rate
86.7%
26.3%
Scored 3+ rate
66.7%
1.26
Venue Goals Mean
3.30
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
3.24
Goals against per game
0.76
86.8%
Conceding rate
53.3%
3.16
Goals against per game
0.80
84.2%
Conceding rate
65.0%
3.50
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
38
History Matches
45
3.24
Conceded Mean
0.76
3.09
Conceded Std
0.92
57.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
13.3%
47.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.7%
3.16
Venue Conceded Mean
0.80
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
46.7%
28.9%
Failed-to-score rate
2.2%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
5.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
46.7%
28.9%
Failed-to-score rate
2.2%
15.8%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
5.0%
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
46.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
38
History Matches
45
0.90
Result entropy
0.53
3.90
Goal Difference Std
3.47
9.59
Stability score
46.69
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
38
Eligible Matches
43
8
Lead Matches
32
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
1.00
19
Trailing Matches
2
15.8%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
5.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
2.26
1.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.26
0.82
Second Half Goals For Mean
2.35
1.66
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.49
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.21
Rest days
84.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
8
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
12
Normal Rest History Matches
16
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.69
24
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.60
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
7.50
3
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.40
Portability PPG Std
0.69
0.81
Portability PPG Range
1.80
55.33
Portability Score
42.00
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
38
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-266.3
PPG-1.43
GF-3.04
GA2.48
PPG-3.00
PPG-1.51
PPG-1.80
PPG-2.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.34
Failed-to-score rate26.7%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate21.3%
History Matches-7
Goals Mean-3.04
Goals Std-1.73
Scored 1+ rate-0.27
Scored 2+ rate-0.47
Scored 3+ rate-0.40
Venue Goals Mean-2.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean-6.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-2.44
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean2.48
Conceded Std2.17
Clean-sheet rate-0.34
Conceded 2+ rate44.6%
Conceded 3+ rate40.7%
Venue Conceded Mean2.36
Recent 10 Conceded Mean4.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std2.25
History Matches-7
Result entropy0.37
Goal Difference Std0.43
Stability score-37.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches-24
Lead Win Rate-0.25
Lead Points Retention-0.17
Trailing Matches17
Non-loss rate-0.34
Trailing Win Rate5.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean-1.60
First Half Goals Against Mean1.32
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.53
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.17
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-10.50
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.29
Portability PPG Range-0.99
Portability Score13.34
Rest days0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-7
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.69
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.48
Current Team ELO-266.3
Current Opponent ELO266.3
Current ELO Difference-532.6
Expected score-0.64
History Matches-7
Residual Mean-0.32
Overperformance-21.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.48
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Petržalka W
L
Z. Moravce-Vrable W11–1Petržalka W7 Nov · away
Pick: Z. Moravce-Vrable W 63% · hit L
Trenčín W2–1Petržalka W24 Oct · away
Pick: Trenčín W 75% · hit L
Komárno W5–0Petržalka W17 Oct · away
Pick: Komárno W 70% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Spartak Myjava W
L
Spartak Myjava W1–3Hammarby W28 Oct · home
Pick: Hammarby W 45% · hit W
Dukla Banská Bystrica W1–4Spartak Myjava W24 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 93% · hit W
Trenčín W0–4Spartak Myjava W21 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 70% · hit W
Z. Moravce-Vrable W0–5Spartak Myjava W17 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 80% · hit W
Tatran Prešov W1–7Spartak Myjava W29 Aug · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 86% · hit About this match
Petržalka W and Spartak Myjava W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Petržalka W win 3.7%, draw 5.2%, Spartak Myjava W win 91.1%. The pick is Spartak Myjava W win. Over 2.5 goals: 84.9%. Both teams to score: 49.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.