Kruger United U23 vs Siwelele U23
Match result probability Model pick: Siwelele U23 win
Kruger United U23 win
32.3%
Draw
25.7%
Siwelele U23 winPick
41.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.9%
No47.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%
How much we know
Kruger United U23 history0 matches
Siwelele U23 history27 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Siwelele U23
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 07:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 08:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.9%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Siwelele U23 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Siwelele U23 are rated 54 Elo points higher
Elo 1,554 against 1,500. On rating alone Siwelele U23 would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Siwelele U23@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1553.5
0
ELO · Matches
27
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1553.5
1553.5
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-53.53
Current ELO Difference
53.53
0.42
Expected score
0.58
0
History Matches
27
—
Residual Mean
0.10
—
Overperformance
55.78
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
1.60
—
Goals against per game
1.40
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.70
—
Goals for per game
1.80
—
Goals against per game
1.80
—
Win rate
50.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.33
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.10
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
27
—
PPG
1.89
—
Win rate
55.6%
—
Draw rate
22.2%
—
Loss rate
22.2%
—
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
70.4%
—
Over 3.5 rate
37.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
13
—
PPG
1.69
—
Win rate
46.2%
—
Draw rate
30.8%
—
Loss rate
23.1%
—
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
—
Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
—
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
0
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.96
—
Scoring rate
88.9%
—
BTTS rate
66.7%
—
Goals for per game
1.54
—
Scoring rate
84.6%
—
BTTS rate
61.5%
0
History Matches
27
—
Goals Mean
1.96
—
Goals Std
1.20
—
Scored 1+ rate
88.9%
—
Scored 2+ rate
63.0%
—
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.54
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.22
—
Conceding rate
74.1%
—
Goals against per game
1.38
—
Conceding rate
69.2%
0
History Matches
27
—
Conceded Mean
1.22
—
Conceded Std
1.17
—
Conceded 2+ rate
25.9%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
14.8%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.38
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
—
Failed-to-score rate
11.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
—
Failed-to-score rate
11.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
27
—
Result entropy
0.91
—
Goal Difference Std
1.88
—
Stability score
9.43
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
16
0
Lead Matches
6
—
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.89
0
Trailing Matches
2
—
Non-loss rate
100.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
100.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
16
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
189.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
15
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.13
0
Long Rest History Matches
11
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.73
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
27
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-53.53
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-27
History Matches-13
History Matches-27
History Matches-27
History Matches-27
Eligible Matches-16
Lead Matches-6
Trailing Matches-2
Halftime Coverage Matches-16
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-15
Long Rest History Matches-11
Current Team ELO-53.53
Current Opponent ELO53.53
Current ELO Difference-107.1
Expected score-0.15
History Matches-27
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Kruger United U23
L
Richards Bay U233–1Kruger United U237 Nov · away
Pick: Richards Bay U23 67% · hit L
Durban City U231–0Kruger United U231 Nov · away
Pick: Durban City U23 60% · hit L
Kruger United U230–1TS Galaxy U2324 Oct · home
Pick: Kruger United U23 37% · missed D
Kruger United U231–1Orlando Pirates U2318 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 34% · hit L
Milford FC U233–1Kruger United U234 Oct · away
Pick: Milford FC U23 50% · hit Siwelele U23
L
Siwelele U230–1Durban City U237 Nov · home
Pick: Siwelele U23 42% · missed L
Siwelele U230–2Kaizer Chiefs U231 Nov · home
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs U23 49% · hit W
AmaZulu U230–1Siwelele U2324 Oct · away
Pick: AmaZulu U23 46% · missed D
Stellenbosch U230–0Siwelele U2318 Oct · away
Pick: Stellenbosch U23 53% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Kruger United U23 and Siwelele U23 meet in Diski Challenge on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 08:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Kruger United U23 win 32.3%, draw 25.7%, Siwelele U23 win 41.9%. The pick is Siwelele U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 52.5%. Both teams to score: 52.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.