Marumo Gallants U23 vs TS Galaxy U23
Match result probability Model pick: TS Galaxy U23 win
Marumo Gallants U23 win
33.9%
Draw
22.9%
TS Galaxy U23 winPick
43.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes60.7%
No39.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.561.6%
Under 2.538.4%
How much we know
Marumo Gallants U23 history39 matches
TS Galaxy U23 history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours TS Galaxy U23
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 07:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 08:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.2%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why TS Galaxy U23 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,484 against 1,478. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.59 goals a game over 39 matches for Marumo Gallants U23, against 1.44 over 39 for TS Galaxy U23.
-
Defences are close
Marumo Gallants U23 concede 1.82 a game, TS Galaxy U23 1.72.
-
Marumo Gallants U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals
69% of Marumo Gallants U23 matches, against 56% for TS Galaxy U23. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
TS Galaxy U23@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1484.1
ELO
1478.0
39
ELO · Matches
39
1484.1
Current Team ELO
1478.0
1478.0
Current Opponent ELO
1484.1
6.11
Current ELO Difference
-6.11
0.51
Expected score
0.49
39
History Matches
39
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.04
49.19
Overperformance
47.40
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
2.40
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.10
1.30
Goals for per game
1.40
1.90
Goals against per game
2.10
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.27
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.58
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals 90
39
Matches
39
1.31
PPG
1.23
38.5%
Win rate
33.3%
15.4%
Draw rate
23.1%
46.2%
Loss rate
43.6%
87.2%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
56.4%
41.0%
Over 3.5 rate
35.9%
2.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.57
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
22
1.43
PPG
1.14
42.9%
Win rate
27.3%
14.3%
Draw rate
31.8%
42.9%
Loss rate
40.9%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
76.2%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
47.6%
Over 3.5 rate
45.5%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
21
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.59
Goals for per game
1.44
69.2%
Scoring rate
79.5%
53.8%
BTTS rate
59.0%
1.76
Goals for per game
1.41
76.2%
Scoring rate
77.3%
66.7%
BTTS rate
59.1%
39
History Matches
39
1.59
Goals Mean
1.44
1.60
Goals Std
1.15
69.2%
Scored 1+ rate
79.5%
41.0%
Scored 2+ rate
41.0%
25.6%
Scored 3+ rate
15.4%
1.76
Venue Goals Mean
1.41
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.82
Goals against per game
1.72
79.5%
Conceding rate
76.9%
1.90
Goals against per game
1.95
85.7%
Conceding rate
77.3%
39
History Matches
39
1.82
Conceded Mean
1.72
1.39
Conceded Std
1.38
64.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.8%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.2%
1.90
Venue Conceded Mean
1.95
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
30.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
30.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
39
History Matches
39
0.92
Result entropy
0.97
2.31
Goal Difference Std
1.57
7.85
Stability score
2.92
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
28
Eligible Matches
31
9
Lead Matches
9
77.8%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.74
9
Trailing Matches
11
0.0%
Non-loss rate
18.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
28
Halftime Coverage Matches
31
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
1.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
189.0
Rest days
189.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
20
1.16
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.30
19
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.53
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.08
Portability PPG Std
0.17
0.16
Portability PPG Range
0.35
86.40
Portability Score
74.29
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
39
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO6.11
PPG0.08
GF0.15
GA0.10
PPG0.29
PPG0.00
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate10.3%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate1.1%
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.15
Goals Std0.45
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate10.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.35
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.25
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.10
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate10.3%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.20
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std0.75
Stability score4.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.67
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate11.1%
Lead Points Retention0.11
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.18
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.09
Portability PPG Range-0.19
Portability Score12.11
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.14
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.30
Current Team ELO6.11
Current Opponent ELO-6.11
Current ELO Difference12.21
Expected score0.02
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance1.79
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Marumo Gallants U23
L
Marumo Gallants U230–1Richards Bay U231 Nov · home
Pick: Richards Bay U23 45% · hit L
Marumo Gallants U234–5Stellenbosch U2325 Oct · home
Pick: Stellenbosch U23 48% · hit D
Marumo Gallants U231–1Sekhukhune United U234 Oct · home
Pick: Sekhukhune United U23 44% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
TS Galaxy U23
D
TS Galaxy U232–2Chippa United U237 Nov · home
Pick: TS Galaxy U23 64% · missed L
Golden Arrows U232–0TS Galaxy U2331 Oct · away
Pick: Golden Arrows U23 41% · hit W
Kruger United U230–1TS Galaxy U2324 Oct · away
Pick: Kruger United U23 37% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Marumo Gallants U23 and TS Galaxy U23 meet in Diski Challenge on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 08:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Marumo Gallants U23 win 33.9%, draw 22.9%, TS Galaxy U23 win 43.2%. The pick is TS Galaxy U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.6%. Both teams to score: 60.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.