Polokwane City U23 vs Chippa United U23
Match result probability Model pick: Polokwane City U23 win
Polokwane City U23 winPick
60.3%
Draw
17.7%
Chippa United U23 win
22.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes49.7%
No50.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%
How much we know
Polokwane City U23 history38 matches
Chippa United U23 history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Polokwane City U23
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 07:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 08:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.3%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why Polokwane City U23 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Polokwane City U23 are rated 55 Elo points higher
Elo 1,395 against 1,340. On rating alone Polokwane City U23 would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.
-
Chippa United U23 score far more
0.68 goals a game over 38 matches for Polokwane City U23, against 1.08 over 37 for Chippa United U23.
-
Polokwane City U23 concede fewer
Polokwane City U23 concede 1.76 a game, Chippa United U23 2.84.
-
Chippa United U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals
50% of Polokwane City U23 matches, against 68% for Chippa United U23. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Chippa United U23@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1395.0
ELO
1339.8
38
ELO · Matches
37
1395.0
Current Team ELO
1339.8
1339.8
Current Opponent ELO
1395.0
55.21
Current ELO Difference
-55.21
0.58
Expected score
0.42
38
History Matches
37
-0.13
Residual Mean
-0.20
41.38
Overperformance
37.29
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.20
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
0.00
0.80
Goals for per game
0.80
2.40
Goals against per game
4.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
0.60
PPG
0.30
0.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.90
Goals against per game
3.20
10.0%
Win rate
10.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.20
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.71
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
1.35
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.10
Overall performance9 signals 90
38
Matches
37
0.74
PPG
0.51
15.8%
Win rate
13.5%
26.3%
Draw rate
10.8%
57.9%
Loss rate
75.7%
78.9%
Over 1.5 rate
86.5%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
67.6%
23.7%
Over 3.5 rate
51.4%
1.58
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.52
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
15
0.80
PPG
0.67
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
6.7%
60.0%
Loss rate
73.3%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
45.0%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.92
20
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.68
Goals for per game
1.08
47.4%
Scoring rate
59.5%
44.7%
BTTS rate
59.5%
0.80
Goals for per game
1.13
55.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
55.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
38
History Matches
37
0.68
Goals Mean
1.08
0.83
Goals Std
1.36
47.4%
Scored 1+ rate
59.5%
18.4%
Scored 2+ rate
24.3%
2.6%
Scored 3+ rate
10.8%
0.80
Venue Goals Mean
1.13
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.76
Goals against per game
2.84
86.8%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.60
Goals against per game
3.13
95.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
38
History Matches
37
1.76
Conceded Mean
2.84
1.18
Conceded Std
2.09
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
78.4%
31.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.5%
1.60
Venue Conceded Mean
3.13
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
52.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.5%
5.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
45.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
52.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.5%
5.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
45.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
38
History Matches
37
0.87
Result entropy
0.66
1.58
Goal Difference Std
2.52
12.69
Stability score
34.29
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
32
Eligible Matches
21
4
Lead Matches
1
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
1.00
15
Trailing Matches
9
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
0.28
First Half Goals For Mean
0.29
0.81
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.14
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
189.0
Rest days
189.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
23
Normal Rest History Matches
17
0.78
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.65
14
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.71
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.42
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.06
0.18
Portability PPG Range
0.12
84.42
Portability Score
89.40
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
38
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO55.21
PPG0.22
GF-0.40
GA-1.07
PPG0.13
PPG0.60
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate13.2%
Failed-to-score rate12.1%
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Failed-to-score rate5.0%
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.40
Goals Std-0.53
Scored 1+ rate-0.12
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.18
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-1.07
Conceded Std-0.91
Clean-sheet rate13.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.28
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-1.53
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.58
History Matches1
Result entropy0.22
Goal Difference Std-0.94
Stability score-21.60
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.52
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.76
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.25
Lead Points Retention-0.17
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.24
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range0.07
Portability Score-4.99
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.14
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.29
Current Team ELO55.21
Current Opponent ELO-55.21
Current ELO Difference110.4
Expected score0.16
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Polokwane City U23
D
Mamelodi Sundowns U231–1Polokwane City U2331 Oct · away
Pick: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 67% · missed W
Milford FC U230–1Polokwane City U2325 Oct · away
Pick: Milford FC U23 39% · missed W
Polokwane City U232–1AmaZulu U2317 Oct · home
Pick: AmaZulu U23 42% · missed L
Polokwane City U232–3Golden Arrows U234 Oct · home
Pick: Golden Arrows U23 43% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Chippa United U23
D
TS Galaxy U232–2Chippa United U237 Nov · away
Pick: TS Galaxy U23 64% · missed D
Chippa United U231–1Milford FC U2331 Oct · home
Pick: Chippa United U23 58% · missed L
Mamelodi Sundowns U233–0Chippa United U2325 Oct · away
Pick: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 82% · hit W
Chippa United U234–1Sekhukhune United U2317 Oct · home
Pick: Sekhukhune United U23 63% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Polokwane City U23 and Chippa United U23 meet in Diski Challenge on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 08:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Polokwane City U23 win 60.3%, draw 17.7%, Chippa United U23 win 22.0%. The pick is Polokwane City U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.2%. Both teams to score: 49.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.