ScoreProb
Oberliga - Niederrhein Germany Niederrhein - 12 2026

Monheim vs Solingen-Wald

Monheim Home · Elo 1,490
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Solingen-Wald Away · Elo 1,500
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Monheim win
Monheim winPick
62.2%
Draw
16.9%
Solingen-Wald win
20.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.5%
No38.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.0%
Under 2.526.0%

How much we know

Monheim history55 matches
Solingen-Wald history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.2%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Monheim are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,490 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Solingen-Wald score more

    1.73 goals a game over 55 matches for Monheim, against 2.00 over 2 for Solingen-Wald.

  • Defences are close

    Monheim concede 1.91 a game, Solingen-Wald 2.00.

  • Solingen-Wald games more often go over 2.5 goals

    71% of Monheim matches, against 100% for Solingen-Wald. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Monheim
Solingen-Wald
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1490.1
ELO
1499.6
55
ELO · Matches
2
1490.1
Current Team ELO
1499.6
1499.6
Current Opponent ELO
1490.1
-9.48
Current ELO Difference
9.48
0.49
Expected score
0.51
55
History Matches
2
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.01
49.73
Overperformance
49.90
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
1.40
PPG
1.50
1.40
Goals for per game
2.00
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
10
Matches
2
1.30
PPG
1.50
1.40
Goals for per game
2.00
2.10
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.92
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.00
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.76
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
2.24
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
55
Matches
2
1.33
PPG
1.50
36.4%
Win rate
50.0%
23.6%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
90.9%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
70.9%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
52.7%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
1
1.38
PPG
0.00
37.9%
Win rate
0.0%
24.1%
Draw rate
0.0%
37.9%
Loss rate
100.0%
89.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
69.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
48.3%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
29
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.73
Goals for per game
2.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
69.1%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.62
Goals for per game
2.00
82.8%
Scoring rate
100.0%
69.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
55
History Matches
2
1.73
Goals Mean
2.00
1.30
Goals Std
0.00
80.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
52.7%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
27.3%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.62
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.91
Goals against per game
2.00
87.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.76
Goals against per game
3.00
82.8%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
55
History Matches
2
1.91
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.32
Conceded Std
1.00
60.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
23.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
1.76
Venue Conceded Mean
3.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
12.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
17.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
12.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
17.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
12.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
55
History Matches
2
0.98
Result entropy
0.63
2.01
Goal Difference Std
1.00
2.12
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
55
Eligible Matches
2
16
Lead Matches
0
81.3%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.85
Lead Points Retention
—
26
Trailing Matches
1
38.5%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
15.4%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.93
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
1.02
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.50
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
32
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
22
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.36
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
2.00
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
4
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.26
Portability PPG Std
—
0.55
Portability PPG Range
—
65.85
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
55
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-9.48
PPG-0.17
GF-0.27
GA-0.09
PPG0.50
PPG1.38
PPG-0.10
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches53
Clean-sheet rate12.7%
Failed-to-score rate20.0%
History Matches28
Clean-sheet rate17.2%
Failed-to-score rate17.2%
History Matches53
Goals Mean-0.27
Goals Std1.30
Scored 1+ rate-0.20
Scored 2+ rate-0.47
Scored 3+ rate27.3%
Venue Goals Mean-0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.92
History Matches53
Conceded Mean-0.09
Conceded Std0.32
Clean-sheet rate12.7%
Conceded 2+ rate10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.26
Venue Conceded Mean-1.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.76
History Matches53
Result entropy0.35
Goal Difference Std1.01
Stability score-34.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.24
Eligible Matches53
Lead Matches16
Trailing Matches25
Non-loss rate38.5%
Trailing Win Rate15.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches53
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.48
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.50
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches31
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.69
Long Rest History Matches22
Current Team ELO-9.48
Current Opponent ELO9.48
Current ELO Difference-18.96
Expected score-0.03
History Matches53
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance-0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Monheim

W
KFC Uerdingen 050–1Monheim24 Oct · away
Pick: KFC Uerdingen 05 55% · missed
W
Monheim4–2Meerbusch18 Oct · home
Pick: Monheim 57% · hit
D
SC St. Tönis3–3Monheim30 Aug · away
Pick: SC St. Tönis 52% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Solingen-Wald

L
Solingen-Wald1–2Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.25 Oct · home
Pick: Solingen-Wald 49% · missed
L
Solingen-Wald2–3SSVg Velbert18 Oct · home
Pick: SSVg Velbert 41% · hit
W
Solingen-Wald4–3Meerbusch4 Oct · home
Pick: Solingen-Wald 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Monheim and Solingen-Wald meet in Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Monheim win 62.2%, draw 16.9%, Solingen-Wald win 20.8%. The pick is Monheim win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.0%. Both teams to score: 61.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.