ScoreProb
Oberliga - Niederrhein Germany Niederrhein - 12 2026

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. vs SSVg Velbert

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. Home · Elo 1,472
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
SSVg Velbert Away · Elo 1,460
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: SSVg Velbert win
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. win
29.0%
Draw
22.9%
SSVg Velbert winPick
48.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.9%
No42.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%

How much we know

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. history36 matches
SSVg Velbert history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why SSVg Velbert are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,472 against 1,460. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • SSVg Velbert score more

    1.33 goals a game over 36 matches for Viktoria Jüchen-Garz., against 1.54 over 54 for SSVg Velbert.

  • Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. concede fewer

    Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. concede 1.36 a game, SSVg Velbert 1.80.

  • SSVg Velbert games more often go over 2.5 goals

    53% of Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. matches, against 70% for SSVg Velbert. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.
SSVg Velbert
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1472.3
ELO
1459.8
36
ELO · Matches
54
1472.3
Current Team ELO
1459.8
1459.8
Current Opponent ELO
1472.3
12.47
Current ELO Difference
-12.47
0.52
Expected score
0.48
36
History Matches
54
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.04
47.27
Overperformance
47.05
-0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
2.40
Goals against per game
2.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
1.00
0.80
Goals for per game
1.50
2.00
Goals against per game
2.40
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.40
1.55
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.11
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.99
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.84
Overall performance9 signals
90
36
Matches
54
1.22
PPG
1.26
30.6%
Win rate
35.2%
30.6%
Draw rate
20.4%
38.9%
Loss rate
44.4%
69.4%
Over 1.5 rate
79.6%
52.8%
Over 2.5 rate
70.4%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
46.3%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.41
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
28
1.59
PPG
1.36
41.2%
Win rate
35.7%
35.3%
Draw rate
28.6%
23.5%
Loss rate
35.7%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
67.9%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
47.1%
Over 3.5 rate
39.3%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
17
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.33
Goals for per game
1.54
63.9%
Scoring rate
74.1%
52.8%
BTTS rate
55.6%
1.71
Goals for per game
1.32
76.5%
Scoring rate
78.6%
58.8%
BTTS rate
57.1%
0.00
Goals for per game
2.50
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
36
History Matches
54
1.33
Goals Mean
1.54
1.41
Goals Std
1.46
63.9%
Scored 1+ rate
74.1%
36.1%
Scored 2+ rate
37.0%
19.4%
Scored 3+ rate
24.1%
1.71
Venue Goals Mean
1.32
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.36
Goals against per game
1.80
72.2%
Conceding rate
74.1%
1.29
Goals against per game
1.50
70.6%
Conceding rate
67.9%
3.00
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
36
History Matches
54
1.36
Conceded Mean
1.80
1.29
Conceded Std
1.58
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
57.4%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.8%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
36.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.9%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
36.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.9%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
36
History Matches
54
0.99
Result entropy
0.96
1.94
Goal Difference Std
2.41
0.62
Stability score
4.24
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
36
Eligible Matches
53
8
Lead Matches
14
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.76
11
Trailing Matches
19
9.1%
Non-loss rate
15.8%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
5.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
36
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.56
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
0.78
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.06
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
85.83
Rest days
77.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
18
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.22
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.22
17
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.24
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals
170
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
1
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
3
Competition Season Count
5
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.68
—
Portability PPG Range
1.37
—
Portability Score
42.24
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
36
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO12.47
PPG-0.04
GF-0.20
GA-0.44
PPG-3.00
PPG0.23
PPG0.00
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-18
Clean-sheet rate1.9%
Failed-to-score rate10.2%
History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate2.1%
History Matches-18
Goals Mean-0.20
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.01
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.21
History Matches-18
Conceded Mean-0.44
Conceded Std-0.29
Clean-sheet rate1.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.24
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean-0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.56
History Matches-18
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.47
Stability score-3.62
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.85
Eligible Matches-17
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate3.6%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate3.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-17
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.36
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-5.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days7.90
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.00
Long Rest History Matches-10
Long Rest Points Per Match0.01
Current Team ELO12.47
Current Opponent ELO-12.47
Current ELO Difference24.95
Expected score0.04
History Matches-18
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.16

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.

W
Solingen-Wald1–2Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.25 Oct · away
Pick: Solingen-Wald 49% · missed
D
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.1–1KFC Uerdingen 0518 Oct · home
Pick: KFC Uerdingen 05 54% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

SSVg Velbert

W
SSVg Velbert4–1Holzheimer SG25 Oct · home
Pick: SSVg Velbert 66% · hit
W
Solingen-Wald2–3SSVg Velbert18 Oct · away
Pick: SSVg Velbert 41% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. and SSVg Velbert meet in Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. win 29.0%, draw 22.9%, SSVg Velbert win 48.1%. The pick is SSVg Velbert win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.7%. Both teams to score: 57.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.