Opava U19 vs Pardubice U19
Match result probability Model pick: Opava U19 win
Opava U19 winPick
45.6%
Draw
19.4%
Pardubice U19 win
35.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes66.2%
No33.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.574.5%
Under 2.525.5%
How much we know
Opava U19 history17 matches
Pardubice U19 history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Opava U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 09:45 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 10:45 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.6%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Opava U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Opava U19 are rated 43 Elo points higher
Elo 1,497 against 1,454. On rating alone Opava U19 would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.
-
Opava U19 score more
1.82 goals a game over 17 matches for Opava U19, against 1.59 over 49 for Pardubice U19.
-
Defences are close
Opava U19 concede 1.94 a game, Pardubice U19 1.86.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
76% of Opava U19 matches, against 73% for Pardubice U19. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Pardubice U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1497.1
ELO
1454.5
17
ELO · Matches
49
1497.1
Current Team ELO
1454.5
1454.5
Current Opponent ELO
1497.1
42.62
Current ELO Difference
-42.62
0.56
Expected score
0.44
17
History Matches
49
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.04
48.95
Overperformance
47.13
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.24
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.20
1.80
Goals against per game
2.60
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
0.50
2.10
Goals for per game
1.70
2.30
Goals against per game
2.60
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.45
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.11
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.04
Overall performance9 signals 90
17
Matches
49
1.29
PPG
1.18
41.2%
Win rate
32.7%
5.9%
Draw rate
20.4%
52.9%
Loss rate
46.9%
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
89.8%
76.5%
Over 2.5 rate
73.5%
58.8%
Over 3.5 rate
44.9%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals 100
7
Matches
23
1.71
PPG
0.87
57.1%
Win rate
17.4%
0.0%
Draw rate
34.8%
42.9%
Loss rate
47.8%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
82.6%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
69.6%
57.1%
Over 3.5 rate
47.8%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.74
7
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.82
Goals for per game
1.59
82.4%
Scoring rate
75.5%
70.6%
BTTS rate
67.3%
1.86
Goals for per game
1.22
71.4%
Scoring rate
65.2%
57.1%
BTTS rate
65.2%
4.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
17
History Matches
49
1.82
Goals Mean
1.59
1.25
Goals Std
1.32
82.4%
Scored 1+ rate
75.5%
58.8%
Scored 2+ rate
46.9%
29.4%
Scored 3+ rate
24.5%
1.86
Venue Goals Mean
1.22
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.94
Goals against per game
1.86
88.2%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.57
Goals against per game
2.00
85.7%
Conceding rate
87.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
17
History Matches
49
1.94
Conceded Mean
1.86
1.06
Conceded Std
1.21
70.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
59.2%
29.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.6%
1.57
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
17
History Matches
49
0.79
Result entropy
0.95
1.81
Goal Difference Std
1.89
20.93
Stability score
4.90
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
17
Eligible Matches
49
5
Lead Matches
17
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
70.6%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.75
9
Trailing Matches
15
11.1%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
17
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.82
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.88
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.92
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.71
1.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
85.07
Rest days
84.07
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
8
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
8
Long Rest History Matches
15
0.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.53
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
4
3.00
PPG
0.50
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.83
2
Current Competition Matches
4
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.50
2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.75
2
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.37
—
Portability PPG Range
0.90
—
Portability Score
57.64
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
17
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO42.62
PPG0.11
GF0.23
GA0.08
PPG2.50
PPG0.84
PPG1.40
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-32
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-16
Clean-sheet rate1.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-32
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std-0.08
Scored 1+ rate6.8%
Scored 2+ rate11.9%
Scored 3+ rate4.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.64
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.35
History Matches-32
Conceded Mean0.08
Conceded Std-0.16
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate11.4%
Conceded 3+ rate0.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.43
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.21
History Matches-32
Result entropy-0.16
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score16.03
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.04
Eligible Matches-32
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate29.4%
Lead Points Retention0.25
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches-32
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches-2
Current Competition PPG2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.25
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-23
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.63
Long Rest History Matches-7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.78
Current Team ELO42.62
Current Opponent ELO-42.62
Current ELO Difference85.23
Expected score0.12
History Matches-32
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.31
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Opava U19
L
Opava U193–4Sigma Olomouc U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 43% · hit W
Slavia Praha U192–3Opava U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Opava U19 44% · hit W
Opava U194–0Zbrojovka Brno U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Opava U19 47% · hit W
Opava U194–2České Budějovice U199 Sep · home
Pick: Opava U19 54% · hit L
Opava U191–3Dukla Praha U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Opava U19 49% · missed Pardubice U19
L
Pardubice U190–2Mladá Boleslav U197 Nov · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 52% · hit W
Slovácko U190–4Pardubice U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Pardubice U19 50% · hit L
Hradec Králové U192–0Pardubice U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 66% · hit W
Zlín U190–1Pardubice U1926 Aug · away
Pick: Pardubice U19 47% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Opava U19 and Pardubice U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 10:45 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Opava U19 win 45.6%, draw 19.4%, Pardubice U19 win 35.0%. The pick is Opava U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.5%. Both teams to score: 66.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.