Teplice U19 vs Karviná U19
Match result probability Model pick: Teplice U19 win
Teplice U19 winPick
47.2%
Draw
23.0%
Karviná U19 win
29.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes65.9%
No34.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.572.0%
Under 2.528.0%
How much we know
Teplice U19 history4 matches
Karviná U19 history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Teplice U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.2%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Teplice U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,523 against 1,518. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Teplice U19 score more
2.75 goals a game over 4 matches for Teplice U19, against 1.85 over 33 for Karviná U19.
-
Defences are close
Teplice U19 concede 1.75 a game, Karviná U19 1.70.
-
Teplice U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals
100% of Teplice U19 matches, against 67% for Karviná U19. The model puts this match at 72% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Karviná U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1523.0
ELO
1517.9
4
ELO · Matches
33
1523.0
Current Team ELO
1517.9
1517.9
Current Opponent ELO
1523.0
5.10
Current ELO Difference
-5.10
0.51
Expected score
0.49
4
History Matches
33
0.24
Residual Mean
0.03
54.04
Overperformance
51.81
0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.03
Recent form16 signals 160
4
Matches
5
2.25
PPG
1.80
2.75
Goals for per game
1.80
1.75
Goals against per game
2.00
75.0%
Win rate
60.0%
4
Matches
10
2.25
PPG
1.70
2.75
Goals for per game
2.10
1.75
Goals against per game
2.20
75.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.75
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.09
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.09
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.66
0.51
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.21
Overall performance9 signals 90
4
Matches
33
2.25
PPG
1.61
75.0%
Win rate
51.5%
0.0%
Draw rate
6.1%
25.0%
Loss rate
42.4%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.8%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
48.5%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
Venue performance10 signals 100
1
Matches
16
0.00
PPG
1.19
0.0%
Win rate
37.5%
0.0%
Draw rate
6.3%
100.0%
Loss rate
56.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
56.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.87
1
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.75
Goals for per game
1.85
100.0%
Scoring rate
87.9%
75.0%
BTTS rate
60.6%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.63
100.0%
Scoring rate
81.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
56.3%
2.75
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
75.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
4
History Matches
33
2.75
Goals Mean
1.85
1.09
Goals Std
1.18
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
87.9%
75.0%
Scored 2+ rate
60.6%
75.0%
Scored 3+ rate
24.2%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.63
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.75
Goals against per game
1.70
75.0%
Conceding rate
72.7%
2.00
Goals against per game
2.13
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.75
Goals against per game
3.00
75.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
4
History Matches
33
1.75
Conceded Mean
1.70
1.09
Conceded Std
1.57
75.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.4%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.3%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
2.13
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
4
History Matches
33
0.51
Result entropy
0.80
1.41
Goal Difference Std
1.99
48.81
Stability score
20.32
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
4
Eligible Matches
33
1
Lead Matches
13
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
76.9%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.79
0
Trailing Matches
6
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
33
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.94
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
1.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.91
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.17
Rest days
85.15
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
2
Normal Rest History Matches
16
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.81
0
Long Rest History Matches
16
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.31
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
3
2.25
PPG
1.00
75.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.30
4
Current Competition Matches
3
2.25
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.33
1
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.33
—
Portability PPG Range
0.67
—
Portability Score
60.00
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
4
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO5.10
PPG0.64
GF0.90
GA0.05
PPG1.25
PPG-1.19
PPG0.45
PPG0.55
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-29
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches-29
Goals Mean0.90
Goals Std-0.09
Scored 1+ rate12.1%
Scored 2+ rate14.4%
Scored 3+ rate50.8%
Venue Goals Mean-0.63
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.65
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches-29
Conceded Mean0.05
Conceded Std-0.48
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate32.6%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.45
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.57
History Matches-29
Result entropy-0.28
Goal Difference Std-0.57
Stability score28.49
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.80
Eligible Matches-29
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate23.1%
Lead Points Retention0.21
Trailing Matches-6
Halftime Coverage Matches-29
First Half Goals For Mean0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean0.84
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days-0.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.19
Long Rest History Matches-16
Current Team ELO5.10
Current Opponent ELO-5.10
Current ELO Difference10.21
Expected score0.01
History Matches-29
Residual Mean0.21
Overperformance2.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Teplice U19
L
České Budějovice U193–2Teplice U197 Nov · away
Pick: Teplice U19 44% · missed L
Zbrojovka Brno U195–0Teplice U194 Nov · away
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno U19 44% · hit L
Teplice U190–6Viktoria Plzeň U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 49% · hit L
Teplice U191–4Hradec Králové U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 44% · hit W
Sparta Praha U191–2Teplice U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 57% · missed Karviná U19
D
Karviná U192–2Zlín U196 Nov · home
Pick: Karviná U19 57% · missed D
Baník Ostrava U192–2Karviná U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Ostrava U19 66% · missed D
Karviná U191–1Dukla Praha U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Dukla Praha U19 53% · missed L
Karviná U191–2Sparta Praha U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 51% · hit L
Zbrojovka Brno U193–0Karviná U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Karviná U19 43% · missed About this match
Teplice U19 and Karviná U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Teplice U19 win 47.2%, draw 23.0%, Karviná U19 win 29.8%. The pick is Teplice U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 72.0%. Both teams to score: 65.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.